FreeMatch preview

Portland (w) — LA Sparks

Basketball 02.08.2026 19:30 UTC
Favourite LA Sparks best odds 1.90

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
02.08.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Portland (w) vs LA Sparks — Basketball prediction

Basketball
Portland (w)
Portland (w)
101 : 106
Finished
LA Sparks
LA Sparks

Portland (w) go head-to-head with LA Sparks on August 2, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Portland (w) 1-0-4, LA Sparks 0-0-5. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Portland (w) (odds1.86) Score 82:78 confidence 60% ✗ outcome missed
  • Portlend (Zh): forma PPPPV (1-4)
  • Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh): forma PPPPP (0-5)
  • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • Model backs Portlend (Zh): probability 60% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.86)
  • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portland (w) - LA Sparks August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: LA Sparks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.95 / 2 1.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.1% 3 books · best price +2.2%
1 48.8%
2 51.2%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Portland (w)
#5GP 3815-23
LA Sparks
#6GP 3813-25

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Portland (w)
5-5LWWLWWLLLW
points for 90.9points against 90.0
LA Sparks
3-7WLLLLLLWLW
points for 80.6points against 86.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 19:30 UTC
Market 1 49.4% @ 1.95 / 2 50.6% @ 1.90
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Portland (w) - LA Sparks

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.4% fact: away hit / ROI 90.0% / Brier 0.493 / LogLoss 0.686
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.1% fact: away hit / ROI 90.0% / Brier 0.497 / LogLoss 0.690
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.87 market consensus · line only
1 1.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 183.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Over 184.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.86 53.8%
1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0%
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
1.97 50.8% 1.97 50.8% 1.96 51.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 183.5 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8%
Over 184.5 1.92 52.1% 1.92 52.1%
Over 185.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
Over 186.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 187.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 183.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
Under 184.5 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2%
Under 185.5 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8%
Under 186.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 187.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3%
1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
Match center
Portland (w)
L L L L W
01.08 02:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portland (w) 98:112 Indiana Fiver (Zh)Indiana Fiver (Zh)
29.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portland (w) 83:98 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
23.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portland (w) 97:101 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
18.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portland (w) 93:101 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
16.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portland (w) 75:56 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
89.2 Scored
93.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
LA Sparks
L L L L L
29.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 109:113 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
22.07 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 82:86 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
19.07 15:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 82:90 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
17.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 82:96 Chikago Skay (Zh)Chikago Skay (Zh)
15.07 15:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 87:96 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
0 Wins
5 Losses
88.4 Scored
96.2 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Portland (w) - LA Sparks

Portland (w)
1 matches total
LA Sparks
Portland (w): 0 (0%)
LA Sparks: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh) 72:89 (07.06 21:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 161 points (72:89, 07.06 21:00 UTC) most points in a game

Match history

07.06 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Portlend (Zh)
72:89
Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Portland (w) vs LA Sparks?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to LA Sparks. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Portland (w) vs LA Sparks?

Live odds for Portland (w) vs LA Sparks from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Portland (w) vs LA Sparks start?

August 2, 2026.