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Fratria — Marek

Football 25.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Favourite Marek best odds 8.30

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Bulgaria. Division 2
Bulgaria. Division 2
25.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Bulgaria. Division 2

Fratria vs Marek — Football prediction

Football
Fratria
Fratria
0 : 1
Finished
Marek
Marek

Fratria take on Marek on July 25, 2026 in the Bulgaria. Division 2.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Fratria (odds1.42) Score 2:0 confidence 63% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Fratria: probability 63% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.42)
  • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fratria - Marek July 25, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Marek. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.36 / X 5.50 / 2 1.08

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1% 3 books
1 66.9%
X 20.7%
2 12.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Fratria 1 : 1 Marek
11.47
X3.65
26.79

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 25.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 39.9% @ 1.36 / X 9.9% @ 5.50 / 2 50.2% @ 1.08
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Match center

Fratria - Marek

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 66.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.238 / LogLoss 2.038
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 66.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.238 / LogLoss 2.038
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 66.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.238 / LogLoss 2.038
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 66.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.238 / LogLoss 2.038
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.08 Fonbet · line only
X 5.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.35 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1X 5.90 Fonbet · line only
X2 2.75 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1 2.00 market consensus · line only
2 0 5.25 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.75 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.12 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.57 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.25 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.57 63.7%
yes 2.25 44.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.12 89.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.11 90.1%
1x 1.02 98.0% 1.06 94.3% 5.90 17.0%
x2 2.60 38.5% 2.90 34.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.88 53.2%
X 2.24 44.6%
7.50 13.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.87 53.5%
Under 1 1.83 54.6%
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Fratria - Marek

Fratria
0 matches total
Marek
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Fratria vs Marek?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Marek. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Fratria vs Marek?

Live odds for Fratria vs Marek from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Fratria vs Marek start?

July 25, 2026.