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Lazio — Mantova

Football 16.08.2026 19:15 UTC
Favourite Lazio best odds 1.33 Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Italy. Serie B
Italy. Serie B
Round of 64 16.08.2026 19:15 UTC Match prediction
16.08.2026 19:15 UTC Round of 64
Finished

Italy. Serie B

Lazio vs Mantova — Football prediction

Football
Lazio
Lazio
0 : 2
Finished
Mantova
Mantova

Lazio go head-to-head with Mantova on August 16, 2026 in the Italy. Serie B.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Double chance — Lazio or draw 1.05

Model confidence 91% ~93% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Lazio (odds1.32) Score 2:1 confidence 56% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Latsio: probability 56% vs 76% on the line (odds 1.32)
  • • no edge over the line (-19 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Mantova August 16, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.33 / X 5.30 / 2 10.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1% 5 books
1 71.7%
X 17.8%
2 10.5%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Coppa Italia
League table
Lazio
#230 ptsGP 10-0-10:2
Mantova
#53 ptsGP 11-0-02:0
Best price across 12 books
1 1.32 Betano
X 5.80 Dafabet
2 11.00 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Lazio
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.08 Conceded 1.24 xG 0.96 xGA 1.35 Corners 4.1
Mantova
W-D-L 2-0-3 Scored 1.00 Conceded 2.41 xG 1.03 xGA 1.65 Corners 3.6

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Lazio
72%
1.33
Draw
18%
5.30
Mantova
11%
10.30
Total
Over 1.5
49%
1.86
Under 1.5
51%
1.81
Both teams to score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.68

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

LazioMantova
  • 4' Goal Mantova
  • 5' Goal Mantova
  • 7' Goal Lazio
  • 10' Goal Lazio
  • 11' Goal Mantova
  • 14' Goal Mantova
  • 15' Goal Lazio
  • 17' Goal Lazio
  • 21' Goal Lazio
  • 21' Yellow card Mantova
  • 25' Yellow card Lazio
  • 33' Goal Mantova
  • 35' Goal Lazio
  • 35' Goal Lazio
  • 38' Goal Lazio
  • 39' Goal Lazio
  • 44' Goal Mantova
  • 45' Goal Lazio
  • 45' Goal Mantova
  • 48' Red card Lazio
  • 51' Goal Mantova
  • 53' Goal Mantova
  • 56' Yellow card Lazio
  • 56' Substitution Mantova
  • 57' Substitution Mantova
  • 58' Substitution Mantova
  • 59' Goal Mantova
  • 63' Red card Mantova
  • 64' Substitution Lazio
  • 65' Goal Mantova
  • 67' Goal Mantova
  • 70' Goal Mantova
  • 71' Substitution Lazio
  • 71' Substitution Lazio
  • 73' Goal Mantova
  • 74' Substitution Mantova
  • 75' Goal Mantova
  • 75' Goal Mantova
  • 79' Yellow card Lazio
  • 79' Substitution Lazio
  • 79' Substitution Lazio
  • 85' Substitution Mantova
  • 88' Goal Mantova
  • 90' Goal Mantova
  • 90' Goal Mantova
  • 90' Goal Mantova
  • 90' Goal Mantova
  • 90' Goal Mantova
  • 90' Goal Mantova

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Lazio 2 : 2 Mantova
11.27
X5.30
210.20

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket Coppa Italia 26/27

Preliminary Round
Benevento5
Ravenna3
Arezzo2
Union Brescia0
L.R. Vicenza4
Catania5
Ascoli3
Potenza1
1/32
Venezia3
Modena2
Palermo2
Lecce0
Udinese1
Padova0
Cremonese2
Sampdoria0
Catanzaro5
Sudtirol Bolzano6
Sassuolo3
Cesena0
Monza3
Avellino0
Pisa5
Empoli4
Lazio0
Mantova2
Hellas Verona5
Entella4
Frosinone4
Stabia1
Torino1
Carrarese0
Parma Calcio2
Catania0
Fiorentina4
Benevento1
Cagliari1
Arezzo0
Genoa4
Ascoli1
1/16
Genoa0
Sudtirol Bolzano0
Udinese0
Venezia0
Torino0
Monza0
Cagliari0
Hellas Verona0
Mantova0
Palermo0
Cremonese0
Parma Calcio0
Sassuolo0
Frosinone0
Pisa0
Fiorentina0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Olimpiko (Rim, Italy)' 45' 90' 75' 0:1 Francesco Ruocco 90+6' 0:2 Ismale Cajazzo
Start 16.08.2026 19:15 UTC
Market 1 72.5% @ 1.33 / X 18.2% @ 5.30 / 2 9.4% @ 10.30
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Match center

Lazio - Mantova

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Latsio - Mantova, 16 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Cup Italy po futbolu 2026/27, 1/32 finala. Latsio - Mantova, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 69.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.299 / LogLoss 2.133
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 69.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.299 / LogLoss 2.133
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 69.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.299 / LogLoss 2.133
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 69.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.299 / LogLoss 2.133
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.65 market consensus · line only
X 5.24 market consensus · line only
1 1.31 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.05 market consensus · line only
X2 2.47 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.68 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 1.68 59.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.02 49.5% 2.02 49.5% 2.13 47.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%
1x 1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2%
x2 3.07 32.6% 3.10 32.3% 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.67 59.9%
X 2.63 38.0%
9.90 10.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.56 64.1%
Over 1.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 1 2.27 44.1%
Under 1.5 1.57 63.7%
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Lazio - Mantova

Lazio
0 matches total
Mantova
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Lazio
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Mantova
Lazio Team comparison Mantova
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
prezhdeniya 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Francesco Ruocco 0:1 75' Ismale Cajazzo 0:2 90+6'
. Prognoz: Immobile and Lukaku pomogut «Yuventusu» uyti v otryv «Latsio» — «Verona»
. Prognoz: berem koeffitsient 4.30 v matche chempionata Italy «Roma» — «Latsio»
. Prognoz: Immobile zadast zharu v rim

Latsio Mantova 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Francesco Ruocco 0:1 75' Ismale Cajazzo 0:2 90+6' Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Dzhennaro Gattuzo Glavnye trenery No dannykh Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 67% 24% 9% Double chance 46% 37% 17% Materialy po prognozam Amorim or Zakharyan! Kto vyigraet Ligu Evropy? Dubl dlya Indzagi or krasivyy Final dlya Raneri? Chego zhdat ot Kubka Italy «Latsio» — «Lechche». Immobile posporit s «Yuventusom» za vtoroe mesto «Milan» — «Latsio». Rafael Leau v zone riska «Inter» — «Latsio». Immobile na storone «Yuventusa» «Latsio» — «Torino». Obidno za Miranchuka «Latsio» — «Inter». Prognoz: Immobile and Lukaku pomogut «Yuventusu» uyti v otryv «Latsio» — «Verona». Prognoz: berem koeffitsient 4.30 v matche chempionata Italy «Roma» — «Latsio». Prognoz: Immobile zadast zharu v rimskom derbi «Yuventus» — «Latsio». Prognoz: Ronaldu ustroit benefis v Saudovskoy Aravii CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget'

Recent form

Lazio LWWWWW
Mantova WLWLWW

Team form & streaks

Lazio LWWWWW
Mantova WLWLWW

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Match facts

Round: 6 Referee: Mucera, Giuseppe Stadium: Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

More predictions

Lazio – Genoa 31.08 Parma – Cremonese 01.09 Torino – Monza 01.09 Sassuolo – Frosinone 02.09 Udinese – Venezia 02.09

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Lazio vs Mantova?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Lazio. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Lazio vs Mantova?

Live odds for Lazio vs Mantova from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Lazio vs Mantova start?

August 16, 2026.