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AI verdict

AI pick Panserraikos win probability ~65% confidence High best odds 1.47

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Panserraikos. Full breakdown below.

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Greece. Cup. Qualification
Greece. Cup. Qualification
19.08.2026 16:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
19.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Not started

Greece. Cup. Qualification

Panserraikos - Panthrakikos

Football
Stadium Dimotiko Stadio Serron
Panserraikos
Panserraikos
- : -
Not started
Panthrakikos
Panthrakikos

Panserraikos meet Panthrakikos on August 19, 2026 in the Greece. Cup. Qualification.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Panserraikos — 65%

1 · Panserraikos ✓ Pick64.8%
market 64%
X · draw22.1%
market 22%
2 · Panthrakikos13.1%
market 14%

Model estimate: win Panserraikos 64.8%, draw 22.1%, win Panthrakikos 13.1%. Model favourite — Panserraikos.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Panserraikos - Panthrakikos August 19, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Panserraikos. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.31 / 2 7.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1% 3 books · best price +2.1%
1 ✓ Pick 64.4%
X 22.0%
2 13.7%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Cup
Best price across 11 books
1 1.45 Betano
X 4.50 Dafabet
2 7.20 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Panserraikos
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 0.98 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.25 xGA 1.16 Corners 0.0
Panthrakikos
W-D-L 6-0-4 Scored 3.44 Conceded 1.14 xG 0.96 xGA 1.58

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Panserraikos
65%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.31
Panthrakikos
14%
7.40
Total
Over 2.5
54%
1.76
Under 2.5
46%
2.00

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Panserraikos 1 : 1 Panthrakikos
11.41
X4.10
26.73

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Stadium Dimotiko Stadio Serron
Start 19.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 64.9% @ 1.47 / X 22.2% @ 4.31 / 2 12.9% @ 7.40
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Panserraikos 65%
💹 Market Panserraikos 64%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Panserraikos - Panthrakikos

Market 3 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Panserraikos 66.1% 64.8% market and model agree
Draw 22.1% 22.1% draw risk
Panthrakikos 11.8% 13.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 64.8% / 22.1% / 13.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Panserraykos / Panthrakikos
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.93 market consensus · no value · model 13.1%
X 4.24 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.43 market consensus · no value · model 64.8%
Double chance
12 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 77.9%
1X 1.07 market consensus · no value · model 86.9%
X2 2.64 market consensus · no value · model 35.2%
Handicap
2 +1 2.04 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.71 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.82 55.0%
yes 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0%
1x 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3%
x2 2.53 39.5% 2.75 36.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.95 51.3%
X 2.41 41.5%
6.70 14.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.67 59.9%
Under 1 2.08 48.1%

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Frequently asked questions

When does Panserraikos vs Panthrakikos start?

August 19, 2026.