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2 predictions
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AI verdict
AI pick Yarmouk
win probability ~39%
confidence Low
best odds 2.29
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Yarmouk. Full breakdown below.
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✓ Prematch ready
Prematch data
✓Line
✓Form
✓H2H
✓Prediction
14.08.2026 17:25 UTC
Finished
Kuwait. Division 1
Yarmouk - Al Sulaibikhat
1
:
1
Finished
Yarmouk meet Al Sulaibikhat on August 14, 2026 in the Kuwait. Division 1.
Recent form (W-D-L): Yarmouk 3-2-0, Al Sulaibikhat 3-1-1. The market favourite is Yarmouk at roughly 39%. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 39% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Yarmouk — 39%
Model estimate: win Yarmouk 39.2%, draw 28.4%, win Al Sulaibikhat 32.4%. Model favourite — Yarmouk.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Al Sulaibikhat (odds1.38)
Score 1:2
confidence 58%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs Al-Sulaybikhat: probability 58% vs 72% on the line (odds 1.38)
- • no edge over the line (-14 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Yarmouk - Al Sulaibikhat August 14, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Yarmouk.
Strongest: Yarmouk - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.29 / X 3.08 / 2 2.83
- 1X2 market: Yarmouk 39.1% / X 29.2% / Al Sulaibikhat 31.7%
- Glicko: Yarmouk 39.2% / X 28.4% / Al Sulaibikhat 32.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.1%
12 books · best price +291.3%
1
39.4%
X
28.7%
2
31.9%
Odds source: consensus of 12 books (1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano, Betcity). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Division 1League table
Yarmouk
Al Sulaibikhat
Best price
across 7 books
1
2.38
William Hill
X
3.25
Betano
2
2.90
Bet365
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Yarmouk
W-D-L 6-3-1
Scored 2.27
Conceded 0.99
xG 1.54
xGA 1.17
Al Sulaibikhat
W-D-L 7-3-0
Scored 2.08
Conceded 0.68
xG 1.72
xGA 0.96
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Yarmouk
Rating 1626
Al Sulaibikhat
Rating 1615
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Yarmouk
35%
9.00
Draw
27%
4.80
Al Sulaibikhat
37%
3.70
Handicap
Yarmouk (0.5)
50%
1.67
Al Sulaibikhat (0.5)
50%
1.68
Total
Over 2.5
52%
2.08
Under 2.5
48%
4.20
Both teams to score
Yes
52%
2.00
No
48%
2.02
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Yarmouk
2
:
2
Al Sulaibikhat
12.67
X2.94
22.52
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Start
14.08.2026 17:25 UTC
Market
1 39.2% @ 2.29 / X 29.1% @ 3.08 / 2 31.7% @ 2.83
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community
Yarmouk 50%
📐 Math model
Yarmouk 39%
💹 Market
Yarmouk 39%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center
Yarmouk - Al Sulaibikhat
Yarmouk: win 2.25 Yarmouk: draw 3.30 Al Sulaibikhat win: 2.90 Obschiy Total goals Over 2.5: 1.82 Obschiy Total goals Under 2.5: 1.85 Individualnyy Total goals Yarmouk Over 1.5: 2.15 Individualnyy Total goals Yarmouk Under 1.5: 1.62 Individualnyy Total goals Al Sulaib…
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
8
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 39.2% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.771 / LogLoss 1.258
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 39.2% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.771 / LogLoss 1.258
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Yarmouk
39.4%
39.2%
market and model agree
Draw
28.7%
28.4%
draw risk
Al Sulaibikhat
31.9%
32.4%
1X2: 12 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
39.2% / 28.4% / 32.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,549 / 1,698
Al Yarmouk Mishref / Al-Sulaybikhat
RD
184 / 200
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,182-1,916 / 1,298-2,099
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.73
market consensus · no value · model 32.4%
X
3.27
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.97
market consensus · no value · model 39.2%
Double chance
12
1.20
market consensus · no value · model 71.6%
1X
2.16
market consensus · value +46.1% · model 67.6%
X2
1.30
market consensus · no value · model 60.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.05
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.90
market consensus · line only
2 0
2.35
market consensus · line only
2 0.5
1.68
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.85
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.16
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.92
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.78
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.36 42.4% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.34 42.7% | |
| X | 3.02 33.1% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.02 33.1% | 2.97 33.7% |
| 2.88 34.7% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.77 36.1% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.82 35.5% | 2.77 36.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.02 49.5% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.73 57.8% |
| yes | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 2.00 50.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.11 90.1% |
| 1x | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% |
| x2 | 1.54 64.9% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 0_4 | 70.00 1.4% |
| 0_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_1 | 5.80 17.2% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 1_4 | 60.00 1.7% |
| 1_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
Match center
Yarmouk
Team form
Al Sulaibikhat
10
Matches
10
15
Goals
18
1.5
Per match
1.8
5
Wins
5
2
Draws
3
3
Losses
2
Yarmouk
W
W
D
D
W
Al-Sakhel
3:0
Al-Shamiya
Sporti
0:2
Al-Sakhel
Al-Sakhel
0:0
Burgan
Al-Sakhel
1:1
Khaytan
Yarmuk
0:1
Al-Sakhel
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
0.8
Scored
0.8
Conceded
11
Points
Al Sulaibikhat
W
D
W
W
L
Yarmuk
3:1
Burgan
Yarmuk
0:0
Khaytan
Al-Shamiya
0:3
Yarmuk
Sporti
1:2
Yarmuk
Yarmuk
0:1
Al-Sakhel
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.4
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head history: Yarmouk - Al Sulaibikhat
Yarmouk
8
matches total
Yarmouk: 3 (37.5%)
Draws:2 (25%)
Al Sulaibikhat: 3 (37.5%)
Biggest win
Al Yarmouk Mishref 2:0 (03.05.24, 11:00)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (1:3, 22.04.19, 10:55)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (04.03.24, 09:15)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Al Yarmouk Mishref
0:1
Al-Sulaybikhat
Al Yarmouk Mishref
2:1
Al-Sulaybikhat
Al Yarmouk Mishref
2:0
Al-Sulaybikhat
Al Yarmouk Mishref
1:1
Al-Sulaybikhat
Al Yarmouk Mishref
1:1
Al-Sulaybikhat
Al Yarmouk Mishref
2:1
Al-Sulaybikhat
Al Yarmouk Mishref
1:2
Al-Sulaybikhat
Al Yarmouk Mishref
1:3
Al-Sulaybikhat
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Yarmouk
Team 2
Al Sulaibikhat
Matches in history
39
Biggest draw
3:3
Highest-scoring match
3:3
Division
1 / 27 / 10 / 5 / 12 / 27
34 Cup naslednogo printsa
1 / 1 / 0 / 0 / 2 / 1
Premier League
10 / 4 / 3 / 3 / 12 / 9
Cup Emira
1 / 0 / 0 / 1 / 1 / 2
Unlock the full match prediction
The Yarmouk - Al Sulaibikhat breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yarmouk vs Al Sulaibikhat?
By the PropickAI model, Yarmouk is favoured — about 39% win probability.
What does PropickAI predict for Yarmouk vs Al Sulaibikhat?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Yarmouk. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
When does Yarmouk vs Al Sulaibikhat start?
August 14, 2026.