AI verdict

AI pick Lyon win probability ~63% confidence High best odds 1.53

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Lyon. Full breakdown below.

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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.05.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lyon vs Lens — Football prediction

France Football
Lyon
Lyon
1 : 2
Finished
Lens
Lens

Lyon take on Lens on May 4, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lyon 3-0-1, Lens 2-0-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Lyon, an implied 63% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - Lens May 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / X 4.74 / 2 5.76
  • 1X2 market: Lyon 63.0% / X 20.3% / Lens 16.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 63.0%
X 20.3%
2 16.7%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.05.2025 15:15 UTC
Market 1 63.0% @ 1.53 / X 20.3% @ 4.74 / 2 16.7% @ 5.76
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Match center

Lyon - Lens

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.76 market consensus · line only
X 4.74 market consensus · line only
1 1.53 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.66 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.53 65.4%
X 4.74 21.1%
5.76 17.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.66 37.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.16 86.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.34 42.7%
Under 3.5 1.64 61.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.22 82.0%
4.59 21.8%
Match center
Lyon
W L W W
26.04 19:05 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 4:1 RennesRennes
20.04 18:45 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 1:2 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
13.04 18:45 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 3:1 OserOser
05.04 19:05 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 2:1 LillLill
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.3 Conceded
9 Points
Lens
L W L W L
27.04 15:15 UTC Liga 1
Lens 0:4 OserOser
20.04 15:15 UTC Liga 1
Lens 3:1 BrestBrest
11.04 18:45 UTC Liga 1
Lens 0:2 Reims
06.04 13:00 UTC Liga 1
Lens 1:0 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
26.10 19:00 UTC Liga 1
Lens 0:2 LillLill
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Lyon - Lens

Lyon
1 matches total
Lens
Lyon: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Lens: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (15.09 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

15.09 18:45 UTC Liga 1
Lion
0:0
Lans

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Lyon vs Lens?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Lyon. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Lyon vs Lens?

Live odds for Lyon vs Lens from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Lyon vs Lens start?

May 4, 2025.