AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Lens. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →Ligue 1
Lens vs Lyon — Football prediction
Lens meet Lyon on August 16, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.
Recent form (W-D-L): Lens 3-1-1, Lyon 2-0-3. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Lens, an implied 39% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lens - Lyon August 16, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.46 / X 3.55 / 2 2.90
- 1X2 market: Lens 39.4% / X 27.3% / Lyon 33.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Lens - Lyon
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.41 41.5% | |
| X | 3.61 27.7% |
| 2.98 33.6% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.35 42.6% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.37 42.2% | |
| X | 3.55 28.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.62 27.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.45 29.0% |
| 2.85 35.1% | 2.92 34.3% | 2.99 33.4% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.95 33.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Betway | Bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.35 42.6% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.25 44.4% |
| yes | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.55 64.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betway |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.57 63.7% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.42 70.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.42 70.4% |
Lens
Monako
Tuluza
Lion
Oser
Brest
Lyon
Anzhe
Monako
Lans
Rennes
Saint Etienne
Full head-to-head history: Lens - Lyon
Overall statistics
Match history
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The Lens - Lyon breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
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- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
What does PropickAI predict for Lens vs Lyon?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Lens. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
What are the bookmaker odds for Lens vs Lyon?
Live odds for Lens vs Lyon from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
When does Lens vs Lyon start?
August 16, 2025.