Match center
Start
16.08.2025 15:00 UTC
16.08.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Lens - Lyon
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lens - Lyon 16 августа 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.
Line favourite Fonbet: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.46 / X 3.55 / 2 2.90
- 1X2 market: Lens 39.4% / X 27.3% / Lyon 33.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.3%
1
39.4%
X
27.3%
2
33.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5
56.7%
Under 2.5
43.3%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lens - Lyon
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.90
Fonbet · line only
X
3.55
Fonbet · line only
1
2.46
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2
1.55
Fonbet · line only
12
1.30
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.40
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.62
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.30
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
2.85
market consensus · line only
2 +1
4.50
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.68
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.20
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.50
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.53
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.41 41.5% |
| Х | 3.61 27.7% |
| П2 | 2.98 33.6% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.35 42.6% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.37 42.2% |
| Х | 3.55 28.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.62 27.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.45 29.0% |
| П2 | 2.85 35.1% | 2.92 34.3% | 2.99 33.4% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.95 33.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Betway | Bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.35 42.6% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.25 44.4% |
| yes | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.55 64.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betway |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.57 63.7% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.42 70.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.42 70.4% |
Match center
Lens
W
D
W
L
W
17.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
4:0
Monaco
Monaco
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
1:1
Toulouse
Toulouse
04.05 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
2:1
Lion
Lion
27.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
0:4
Auxerre
Auxerre
20.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
3:1
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
10
Points
Lyon
W
L
L
W
L
17.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
2:0
Angers
Angers
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
0:2
Monaco
Monaco
04.05 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
1:2
Lens
Lens
26.04 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
4:1
Rennes
Rennes
20.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
1:2
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLens - Lyon
Lens
2
matches total
Lens: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Lyon: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Lens 2:1 (04.05 15:15 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 04.05 15:15 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
0:0 (15.09 18:45 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
04.05 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lens
2:1
Lion
15.09 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lens
0:0
Lion