AI verdict

AI pick Lens win probability ~39% confidence Low best odds 2.46

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Lens. Full breakdown below.

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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
16.08.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lens vs Lyon — Football prediction

France Football
Lens
Lens
0 : 1
Finished
Lyon
Lyon

Lens meet Lyon on August 16, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lens 3-1-1, Lyon 2-0-3. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Lens, an implied 39% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Lyon August 16, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.46 / X 3.55 / 2 2.90
  • 1X2 market: Lens 39.4% / X 27.3% / Lyon 33.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1% 18 books · best price +5.6%
1 40.3%
X 26.8%
2 32.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 56.7%
Under 2.5 43.3%

Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.08.2025 15:00 UTC
Market 1 39.4% @ 2.46 / X 27.3% @ 3.55 / 2 33.4% @ 2.90
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Match center

Lens - Lyon

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.90 Fonbet · line only
X 3.55 Fonbet · line only
1 2.46 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.55 Fonbet · line only
12 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.85 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.41 41.5%
X 3.61 27.7%
2.98 33.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.35 42.6% 2.33 42.9% 2.47 40.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.37 42.2%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.62 27.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.45 29.0%
2.85 35.1% 2.92 34.3% 2.99 33.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.95 33.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.35 42.6% 2.37 42.2% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.37 42.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4%
Match center
Lens
W D W L W
17.05 19:00 UTC Liga 1
Lens 4:0 MonakoMonako
10.05 19:00 UTC Liga 1
Lens 1:1 TuluzaTuluza
04.05 15:15 UTC Liga 1
Lens 2:1 LionLion
27.04 15:15 UTC Liga 1
Lens 0:4 OserOser
20.04 15:15 UTC Liga 1
Lens 3:1 BrestBrest
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Lyon
W L L W L
17.05 19:00 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 2:0 AnzheAnzhe
10.05 19:00 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 0:2 MonakoMonako
04.05 15:15 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 1:2 LansLans
26.04 19:05 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 4:1 RennesRennes
20.04 18:45 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 1:2 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Lens - Lyon

Lens
2 matches total
Lyon
Lens: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Lyon: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Lans 2:1 (04.05 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 04.05 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (15.09 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

04.05 15:15 UTC Liga 1
Lans
2:1
Lion
15.09 18:45 UTC Liga 1
Lans
0:0
Lion

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Lens vs Lyon?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Lens. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Lens vs Lyon?

Live odds for Lens vs Lyon from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Lens vs Lyon start?

August 16, 2025.