Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
14.12.2025 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lens - Nice

France Futbol
Lens
Lens
2 : 0
Finished
Nice
Nice

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lens - Nice 14 декабря 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lens.

Line favourite market consensus: Lens. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 4.60 / 2 5.87
  • 1X2 market: Lens 63.2% / X 20.6% / Nice 16.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 63.2%
X 20.6%
2 16.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 62.4%
Under 2.5 37.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.12.2025 16:15 UTC
Match center

Lens - Nice

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.86 market consensus · line only
X 4.61 market consensus · line only
1 1.51 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.58 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.37 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.51 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.56 64.1%
Х 4.68 21.4%
П2 5.72 17.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.52 65.8% 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7%
Х 4.33 23.1% 4.65 21.5% 4.98 20.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.70 21.3%
П2 5.80 17.2% 6.20 16.1% 6.66 15.0% 5.75 17.4% 5.50 18.2% 5.80 17.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.17 46.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.17 46.1% 2.33 42.9%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.63 61.4% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.45 40.8% 2.77 36.1% 2.50 40.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.68 37.3%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0%
Match center
Lens
W W W W W
06.12 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 NantesNantes
30.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:1 AngersAngers
22.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:0 StrasbourgStrasbourg
08.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 4:1 MonacoMonaco
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:0 LorientLorient
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
15 Points
Nice
L L L L L
07.12 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:1 AngersAngers
30.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:3 LorientLorient
21.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:5 MarseilleMarseille
09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:2 MetzMetz
01.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.4 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLens - Nice

Lens
1 matches total
Nice
Lens: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Nice: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (28.09 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

28.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens
0:0
Nice