Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
21.09.2024 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lille - Strasbourg

France Futbol
Lille
Lille
3 : 3
Finished
Strasbourg
Strasbourg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lille - Strasbourg 21 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.56 / X 4.41 / 2 6.04
  • 1X2 market: Lille 62.0% / X 22.0% / Strasbourg 16.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 62.0%
X 21.9%
2 16.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 54.6%
Under 2.5 45.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.09.2024 15:00 UTC
Match center

Lille - Strasbourg

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.04 market consensus · line only
X 4.41 market consensus · line only
1 1.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.56 64.1%
Х 4.41 22.7%
П2 6.04 16.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.56 39.1%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.16 86.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.78 56.2%
ТМ 2.5 2.14 46.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.22 82.0%
П2 4.70 21.3%
Match center
Lille
L L
13.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:1 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
01.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Strasbourg
D
15.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:1 AngersAngers
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLille - Strasbourg

Lille
0 matches total
Strasbourg
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history