AI verdict

AI pick Marseille win probability ~41% confidence Low best odds 2.38

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Marseille. Full breakdown below.

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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
22.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lyon vs Marseille — Football prediction

France Football
Lyon
Lyon
2 : 3
Finished
Marseille
Marseille

Lyon take on Marseille on September 22, 2024 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lyon 0-1-0, Marseille 1-0-0. The market favourite is Marseille at roughly 41%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - Marseille September 22, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.97 / X 3.68 / 2 2.38
  • 1X2 market: Lyon 32.7% / X 26.4% / Marseille 40.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 32.7%
X 26.4%
2 40.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 57.9%
Under 2.5 42.1%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Market 1 32.7% @ 2.97 / X 26.4% @ 3.68 / 2 40.8% @ 2.38
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Match center

Lyon - Marseille

Form 1/1 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.38 market consensus · line only
X 3.68 market consensus · line only
1 2.97 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.64 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.97 33.7%
X 3.68 27.2%
2.38 42.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.64 61.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 2.5 2.31 43.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.17 46.1%
1.75 57.1%
Match center
Lyon
D
15.09 18:45 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 0:0 LansLans
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Marseille
W
14.09 15:00 UTC Liga 1
Marseille 2:0 NitstsaNitstsa
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Lyon - Marseille

Lyon
0 matches total
Marseille
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Lyon vs Marseille?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Marseille. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Lyon vs Marseille?

Live odds for Lyon vs Marseille from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Lyon vs Marseille start?

September 22, 2024.