AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Marseille. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
31.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Match prediction
Ligue 1
Lyon face Marseille on August 31, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.
Recent form (W-D-L): Lyon 3-0-1, Marseille 2-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Marseille, an implied 40% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match markets| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 3.03 33.0% | |
| X | 3.48 28.7% |
| 2.41 41.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.90 34.5% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.94 34.0% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.05 32.8% | |
| X | 3.50 28.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 2.34 42.7% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.45 40.8% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.38 42.0% | 2.67 37.5% | 2.41 41.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.39 41.8% |
| yes | 1.53 65.4% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.60 62.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% |
| home_draw | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.61 62.1% |
Lyon
Metz
Lans
Anzhe
Monako
Marseille
Parizh
Rennes
Khavre
Lill
Full head-to-head history: Lyon - Marseille
Liga 1
The Lyon - Marseille breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Marseille. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
Live odds for Lyon vs Marseille from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
August 31, 2025.
