Match center
Start
31.08.2025 18:45 UTC
31.08.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Lyon - Marseille
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lyon - Marseille 31 августа 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.
Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.89 / X 3.50 / 2 2.36
- 1X2 market: Lyon 32.8% / X 27.1% / Marseille 40.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.5%
1
32.8%
X
27.1%
2
40.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5
55.7%
Under 2.5
44.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lyon - Marseille
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.37
market consensus · line only
X
3.50
market consensus · line only
1
2.90
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.41
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.59
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.44
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.19
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.35
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.63
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.70
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.14
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.36
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.56
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.03 33.0% |
| Х | 3.48 28.7% |
| П2 | 2.41 41.5% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.90 34.5% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.94 34.0% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.05 32.8% |
| Х | 3.50 28.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% |
| П2 | 2.34 42.7% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.45 40.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.38 42.0% | 2.67 37.5% | 2.41 41.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.39 41.8% |
| yes | 1.53 65.4% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.60 62.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% |
| home_draw | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.61 62.1% |
Match center
Lyon
W
W
W
L
L
23.08 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
3:0
Metz
Metz
16.08 15:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
1:0
Lens
Lens
17.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
2:0
Angers
Angers
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
0:2
Monaco
Monaco
04.05 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
1:2
Lens
Lens
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.8
Conceded
9
Points
Marseille
W
L
W
W
D
23.08 15:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
5:2
Paris FC
Paris FC
15.08 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
0:1
Rennes
Rennes
17.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
4:2
Rennes
Rennes
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
3:1
Le Havre
Le Havre
04.05 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
1:1
Lille
Lille
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLyon - Marseille
Lyon
1
matches total
Lyon: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Marseille: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Marseille 2:3 (22.09 18:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (2:3, 22.09 18:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
22.09 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Lion
2:3
Marseille