Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
22.11.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Rennes - Monaco

France Futbol
Rennes
Rennes
4 : 1
Finished
Monaco
Monaco

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rennes - Monaco 22 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rennes.

Line favourite market consensus: Rennes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.52 / X 3.62 / 2 2.62
  • 1X2 market: Rennes 37.6% / X 26.2% / Monaco 36.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 37.6%
X 26.2%
2 36.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 61.6%
Under 2.5 38.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.11.2025 18:00 UTC
Match center

Rennes - Monaco

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.63 market consensus · line only
X 3.63 market consensus · line only
1 2.52 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.51 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.49 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.51 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.01 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.63 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.44 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.56 39.1%
Х 3.73 26.8%
П2 2.71 36.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.48 40.3% 2.45 40.8% 2.66 37.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.52 39.7%
Х 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.70 27.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8%
П2 2.64 37.9% 2.65 37.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.65 37.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.65 37.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.62 38.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.63 38.0% 2.58 38.8% 2.82 35.5%
yes 1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.54 64.9%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Rennes
W W D L D
07.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 Paris FCParis FC
02.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 4:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 ToulouseToulouse
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:2 NiceNice
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 AuxerreAuxerre
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Monaco
L L W W D
08.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:4 LensLens
01.11 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:1 Paris FCParis FC
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 5:3 NantesNantes
25.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:0 ToulouseToulouse
18.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:1 AngersAngers
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRennes - Monaco

Rennes
1 matches total
Monaco
Rennes: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Monaco: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Monaco 1:2 (05.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 05.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes
1:2
Monaco