AI verdict

AI pick Como win probability ~66% confidence High best odds 1.44

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Como. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
27.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Como - Cremonese

Italy Football
Como
Como
1 : 1
Finished
Cremonese
Cremonese

Como meet Cremonese on September 27, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Como 2-1-2, Cremonese 2-2-0. The bookmaker line makes Como the favourite at about 66%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Como - Cremonese September 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 4.51 / 2 7.40
  • 1X2 market: Como 66.0% / X 21.1% / Cremonese 12.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5% 14 books · best price +2.1%
1 65.8%
X 21.2%
2 13.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 52.5%
Under 2.5 47.5%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Market 1 66.1% @ 1.44 / X 21.1% @ 4.51 / 2 12.9% @ 7.40
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Match center

Como - Cremonese

Form 5/4 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.43 market consensus · line only
X 4.51 market consensus · line only
1 1.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.80 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.82 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.53 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.45 69.0%
X 4.57 21.9%
7.88 12.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.43 69.9% 1.46 68.5% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0%
X 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.79 20.9% 4.33 23.1% 4.33 23.1% 4.75 21.1%
7.25 13.8% 7.30 13.7% 7.40 13.5% 7.00 14.3% 7.00 14.3% 8.00 12.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.79 55.9%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 2.03 49.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.75 36.4% 2.87 34.8% 2.70 37.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.87 34.8% 2.74 36.5%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.19 84.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.09 91.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Como
W D L W L
21.09 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Como 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
15.09 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Como 1:1 DzhenoaDzhenoa
30.08 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Como 0:1 BolonyaBolonya
24.08 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Como 2:0 LatsioLatsio
23.05 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Como 0:2 InterInter
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Cremonese
D D W W
21.09 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Cremonese 0:0 Parma KalchoParma Kalcho
15.09 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Cremonese 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
29.08 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Cremonese 3:2 SassuoloSassuolo
23.08 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Cremonese 2:1 MilanMilan
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Como - Cremonese

Como
0 matches total
Cremonese
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Como vs Cremonese start?

September 27, 2025.