AI verdict

AI pick Atalanta win probability ~56% confidence Medium best odds 1.70

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Atalanta. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
06.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Hellas Verona vs Atalanta — Football prediction

Italy Football
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
3 : 1
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Hellas Verona face Atalanta on December 6, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hellas Verona 0-1-4, Atalanta 1-1-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Atalanta, an implied 56% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Double chance Atalanta or draw 1.17

Model confidence 82% ~82% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hellas Verona - Atalanta December 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.18 / X 3.73 / 2 1.70
  • 1X2 market: Hellas Verona 18.4% / X 25.6% / Atalanta 56.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1% 13 books · best price +2.9%
1 18.3%
X 25.6%
2 56.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5 48.8%
Under 2.5 51.2%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Market 1 18.4% @ 5.18 / X 25.5% @ 3.73 / 2 56.1% @ 1.70
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Match center

Hellas Verona - Atalanta

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.70 market consensus · line only
X 3.73 market consensus · line only
1 5.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.17 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 2.18 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.22 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 4.51 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.44 18.4%
X 3.80 26.3%
1.70 58.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
5.25 19.1% 5.00 20.0% 5.41 18.5% 5.00 20.0% 4.75 21.1% 5.50 18.2%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.86 25.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.85 26.0%
1.69 59.2% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.94 51.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.15 87.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.22 45.1% 2.21 45.3%
Match center
Hellas Verona
L L D L L
29.11 14:00 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 1:2 DzhenoaDzhenoa
23.11 11:30 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 1:2 Parma KalchoParma Kalcho
08.11 14:00 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 0:0 LechcheLechche
02.11 11:30 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 1:2 InterInter
29.10 17:30 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 1:3 KomoKomo
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
1 Points
Atalanta
W L L L D
30.11 17:00 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 2:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
22.11 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 1:3 NapoliNapoli
09.11 11:30 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 0:3 SassuoloSassuolo
01.11 14:00 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 0:1 UdinezeUdineze
28.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 1:1 MilanMilan
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Hellas Verona - Atalanta

Hellas Verona
1 matches total
Atalanta
Hellas Verona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Atalanta: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Atalanta 1:6 (26.10 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 7 goals (1:6, 26.10 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 1

Match history

26.10 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona
1:6
Atalanta

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Hellas Verona vs Atalanta?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Atalanta. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Hellas Verona vs Atalanta?

Live odds for Hellas Verona vs Atalanta from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Hellas Verona vs Atalanta start?

December 6, 2025.