AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Napoli. Full breakdown below.
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Serie A
Napoli take on Genoa on May 11, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.
Recent form (W-D-L): Napoli 4-1-0, Genoa 1-1-3. Sportsbooks lean towards Napoli, an implied 72% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.
For reference
Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.34 74.6% | |
| X | 5.06 19.8% |
| 10.71 9.3% |
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.51 28.5% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_draw | 1.07 93.5% |
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.10 90.9% | |
| 8.76 11.4% |
Napoli
Lechche
Torino
Montsa
Bolonya
Genoa
Milan
Komo
Latsio
Hellas Verona
Udineze
Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Genoa
The Napoli - Genoa breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
May 11, 2025.
