AI verdict

AI pick Como win probability ~51% best odds 1.91

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Como. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
27.04.2025 10:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Como - Genoa

Italy Football
Como
Como
1 : 0
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Como take on Genoa on April 27, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Como 3-0-1, Genoa 1-1-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Como, an implied 51% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Como - Genoa April 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.91 / X 3.57 / 2 4.46
  • 1X2 market: Como 50.9% / X 27.3% / Genoa 21.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 50.9%
X 27.3%
2 21.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5 46.7%
Under 2.5 53.3%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.04.2025 10:30 UTC
Market 1 50.9% @ 1.91 / X 27.3% @ 3.57 / 2 21.8% @ 4.46
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Match center

Como - Genoa

Form 4/4 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.46 market consensus · line only
X 3.57 market consensus · line only
1 1.91 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.98 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.91 52.4%
X 3.57 28.0%
4.46 22.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.98 50.5%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.24 80.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.09 47.9%
Under 2.5 1.83 54.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.38 72.5%
3.24 30.9%
Match center
Como
W W W L
19.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Como 3:0 LechcheLechche
13.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Como 1:0 TorinoTorino
05.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Como 3:1 MontsaMontsa
31.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Como 1:5 LatsioLatsio
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
9 Points
Genoa
L D W L
23.04 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 0:2 LatsioLatsio
13.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
04.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 1:0 UdinezeUdineze
31.10 17:30 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 0:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.3 Scored
0.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Como - Genoa

Como
0 matches total
Genoa
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Como vs Genoa start?

April 27, 2025.