AI verdict

AI pick Lazio win probability ~51% confidence Low best odds 1.89

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Lazio. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.05.2025 10:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Empoli - Lazio

Italy Football
Empoli
Empoli
0 : 1
Finished
Lazio
Lazio

Empoli go head-to-head with Lazio on May 4, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Empoli 0-2-3, Lazio 3-2-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Lazio at roughly 51%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Empoli - Lazio May 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.25 / X 3.68 / 2 1.89
  • 1X2 market: Empoli 22.7% / X 26.2% / Lazio 51.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 22.7%
X 26.2%
2 51.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 51.2%
Under 2.5 48.8%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.05.2025 10:30 UTC
Market 1 22.7% @ 4.25 / X 26.2% @ 3.68 / 2 51.1% @ 1.89
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Match center

Empoli - Lazio

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.89 market consensus · line only
X 3.68 market consensus · line only
1 4.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.97 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.25 23.5%
X 3.68 27.2%
1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.97 50.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 2.5 1.99 50.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.11 32.2%
1.40 71.4%
Match center
Empoli
L D L D L
27.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
20.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 2:2 VenetsiyaVenetsiya
14.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 0:3 NapoliNapoli
06.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 0:0 KalyariKalyari
30.10 17:30 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 0:3 InterInter
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Lazio
D W D W W
28.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 2:2 Parma KalchoParma Kalcho
23.04 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 2:0 DzhenoaDzhenoa
13.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 1:1 RomaRoma
06.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
31.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 5:1 KomoKomo
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Empoli - Lazio

Empoli
1 matches total
Lazio
Empoli: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lazio: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Latsio 1:2 (06.10 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 06.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

06.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Empoli
1:2
Latsio

Frequently asked questions

When does Empoli vs Lazio start?

May 4, 2025.