AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Lazio. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →Serie A
Empoli - Lazio
Empoli go head-to-head with Lazio on May 4, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.
Recent form (W-D-L): Empoli 0-2-3, Lazio 3-2-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Lazio at roughly 51%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Empoli - Lazio May 4, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.25 / X 3.68 / 2 1.89
- 1X2 market: Empoli 22.7% / X 26.2% / Lazio 51.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Empoli - Lazio
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 4.25 23.5% | |
| X | 3.68 27.2% |
| 1.89 52.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_away | 1.31 76.3% |
| home_draw | 1.97 50.8% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.99 50.3% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 3.11 32.2% | |
| 1.40 71.4% |
Empoli
Fiorentina
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Lazio
Parma Kalcho
Dzhenoa
Roma
Atalanta
Komo
Full head-to-head history: Empoli - Lazio
Overall statistics
Match history
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The Empoli - Lazio breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
When does Empoli vs Lazio start?
May 4, 2025.