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AI verdict

AI pick Lazio win probability ~44% confidence Low best odds 2.21

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Lazio. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
23.04.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
23.04.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa vs Lazio — Football prediction

Italy Football
Genoa
Genoa
0 : 2
Finished
Lazio
Lazio

Genoa take on Lazio on April 23, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Genoa 1-2-2, Lazio 3-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Lazio, an implied 44% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - Lazio April 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.88 / X 3.15 / 2 2.21
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 25.1% / X 30.9% / Lazio 44.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 25.1%
X 30.9%
2 44.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 41.0%
Under 2.5 59.0%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.04.2025 16:30 UTC
Market 1 25.1% @ 3.88 / X 30.9% @ 3.15 / 2 44.0% @ 2.21
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Match center

Genoa - Lazio

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.21 market consensus · line only
X 3.15 market consensus · line only
1 3.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.29 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.74 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.88 25.8%
X 3.15 31.8%
2.21 45.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.29 77.5%
home_away 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.74 57.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.36 42.4%
Under 2.5 1.64 61.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.67 37.5%
1.52 65.8%
Match center
Genoa
D W L L D
13.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
04.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 1:0 UdinezeUdineze
31.10 17:30 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 0:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
27.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 0:3 LatsioLatsio
19.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 2:2 BolonyaBolonya
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Lazio
D W W W L
13.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 1:1 RomaRoma
06.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
31.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 5:1 KomoKomo
27.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 3:0 DzhenoaDzhenoa
19.10 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Lazio 0:1 YuventusYuventus
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Genoa - Lazio

Genoa
1 matches total
Lazio
Genoa: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lazio: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Latsio 0:3 (27.10 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 27.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

27.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Dzhenoa
0:3
Latsio

More predictions

Lazio – Genoa 30.08 Genoa – Como 06.09 Udinese – Lazio 07.09 Genoa – Frosinone 13.09 Fiorentina – Frosinone 29.08 Monza – Udinese 29.08

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Genoa vs Lazio?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Lazio. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Genoa vs Lazio?

Live odds for Genoa vs Lazio from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Genoa vs Lazio start?

April 23, 2025.