AI verdict

AI pick Atalanta win probability ~56% confidence Medium best odds 1.70

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Atalanta. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
06.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Hellas Verona - Atalanta

Italy Football
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
3 : 1
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Hellas Verona face Atalanta on December 6, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hellas Verona 0-1-4, Atalanta 1-1-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Atalanta, an implied 56% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Double chance Atalanta or draw 1.17

Model confidence 82% ~82% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hellas Verona - Atalanta December 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.18 / X 3.73 / 2 1.70
  • 1X2 market: Hellas Verona 18.4% / X 25.6% / Atalanta 56.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1% 13 books · best price +2.9%
1 18.3%
X 25.6%
2 56.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5 48.8%
Under 2.5 51.2%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Market 1 18.4% @ 5.18 / X 25.5% @ 3.73 / 2 56.1% @ 1.70
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Match center

Hellas Verona - Atalanta

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.70 market consensus · line only
X 3.73 market consensus · line only
1 5.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.17 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 2.18 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.22 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 4.51 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.44 18.4%
X 3.80 26.3%
1.70 58.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
5.25 19.1% 5.00 20.0% 5.41 18.5% 5.00 20.0% 4.75 21.1% 5.50 18.2%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.86 25.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.85 26.0%
1.69 59.2% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.94 51.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.15 87.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.22 45.1% 2.21 45.3%
Match center
Hellas Verona
L L D L L
29.11 14:00 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 1:2 DzhenoaDzhenoa
23.11 11:30 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 1:2 Parma KalchoParma Kalcho
08.11 14:00 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 0:0 LechcheLechche
02.11 11:30 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 1:2 InterInter
29.10 17:30 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 1:3 KomoKomo
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
1 Points
Atalanta
W L L L D
30.11 17:00 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 2:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
22.11 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 1:3 NapoliNapoli
09.11 11:30 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 0:3 SassuoloSassuolo
01.11 14:00 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 0:1 UdinezeUdineze
28.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 1:1 MilanMilan
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Hellas Verona - Atalanta

Hellas Verona
1 matches total
Atalanta
Hellas Verona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Atalanta: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Atalanta 1:6 (26.10 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 7 goals (1:6, 26.10 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 1

Match history

26.10 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona
1:6
Atalanta

Frequently asked questions

When does Hellas Verona vs Atalanta start?

December 6, 2025.