AI verdict

AI pick Napoli win probability ~82% confidence High best odds 1.19

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Napoli. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
23.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Napoli vs Cagliari — Football prediction

Italy Football
Napoli
Napoli
2 : 0
Finished
Cagliari
Cagliari

Napoli go head-to-head with Cagliari on May 23, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Napoli 3-2-0, Cagliari 2-0-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Napoli the favourite at about 82%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napoli - Cagliari May 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.19 / X 7.50 / 2 17.50
  • 1X2 market: Napoli 81.5% / X 12.9% / Cagliari 5.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 81.5%
X 12.9%
2 5.5%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Market 1 81.5% @ 1.19 / X 12.9% @ 7.50 / 2 5.5% @ 17.50
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Match center

Napoli - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.50 market consensus · line only
1 1.19 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.79 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.19 84.0%
X 7.50 13.3%
17.50 5.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 4.79 20.9%
home_away 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.04 96.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 3.5 1.63 61.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.06 94.3%
12.28 8.1%
Match center
Napoli
D D W W W
18.05 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Napoli 0:0 Parma KalchoParma Kalcho
11.05 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Napoli 2:2 DzhenoaDzhenoa
03.05 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Napoli 1:0 LechcheLechche
27.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Napoli 2:0 TorinoTorino
19.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Napoli 1:0 MontsaMontsa
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.4 Conceded
11 Points
Cagliari
W L L W L
18.05 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Cagliari 3:0 VenetsiyaVenetsiya
10.05 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Cagliari 1:3 KomoKomo
03.05 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Cagliari 1:2 UdinezeUdineze
28.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Cagliari 2:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
23.04 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Cagliari 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Napoli - Cagliari

Napoli
1 matches total
Cagliari
Napoli: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cagliari: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Napoli 4:0 (15.09 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (4:0, 15.09 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 4

Match history

15.09 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Napoli
4:0
Kalyari

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Napoli vs Cagliari?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Napoli. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Napoli vs Cagliari?

Live odds for Napoli vs Cagliari from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Napoli vs Cagliari start?

May 23, 2025.