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NSI Runavik — FC Lugano

Football 13.08.2026 17:30 UTC
Favourite FC Lugano best odds 1.31

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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UEFA Conference League
UEFA Conference League
3 qualifying round. 2 match 13.08.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form ✓H2H –Prediction
13.08.2026 17:30 UTC 3 qualifying round. 2 match
Finished

UEFA Conference League

NSI Runavik - FC Lugano

Football
NSI Runavik
NSI Runavik
2 : 2
Finished
FC Lugano
FC Lugano

NSI Runavik take on FC Lugano on August 13, 2026 in the UEFA Conference League.

Recent form (W-D-L): NSI Runavik 2-0-1, FC Lugano 2-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2FC Lugano (odds1.28) Score 0:2 confidence 62% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Lugano 🇨🇭: probability 62% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.28)
  • • no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 0:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction NSI Runavik - FC Lugano August 13, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Lugano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 9.20 / X 5.50 / 2 1.31

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6% 5 books
1 10.4%
X 18.0%
2 71.7%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Europa Conference League
League table
NSI Runavik
#258 ptsGP 62-2-27:8
FC Lugano
#710 ptsGP 43-1-010:3
Best price across 14 books
1 8.00 Superbet
X 5.50 Superbet
2 1.42 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
NSI Runavik
W-D-L 3-2-4 Scored 1.22 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.06 xGA 2.00 Corners 3.0
FC Lugano
W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 2.24 Conceded 1.42 xG 2.00 xGA 0.92 Corners 5.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
NSI Runavik
Rating 1529
FC Lugano
Rating 1863

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
NSI Runavik
10%
9.20
Draw
18%
5.50
FC Lugano
72%
1.31
Total
Over 1.5
52%
1.75
Under 1.5
48%
1.93
Both teams to score
Yes
43%
2.65
No
57%
1.83

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

NSI Runavik 1 : 3 FC Lugano
17.13
X5.00
21.43

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification

Qualification round 1
Af Elbasani6
Bate Borisov5
FK Mornar3
Atletic Club3
Glentoran3
FC RFS2
FK Decic2
Liepaja2
Mondorf-Les-Bains2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Una Strassen1
La Fiorita2
Runavik2
Spartans3
Connah's Quay3
Ballkani2
Vllaznia Shkoder7
Malisheva1
Bohemians D.2
St Josephs0
Alashkert Yerevan8
FC Yelimai9
Hegelmann Kaunas4
Paide1
Dila Gori4
Virtus1
Vikingur5
Stjarnan3
Europa1
Shkendija Tetovo5
Sarajevo3
Inter Turku2
Pen-y-Bont3
FC Coloma1
Nomme3
Linfield2
Zira3
Kutaisi3
Differdange3
Ilves1
Velez Mostar1
Milsami2
Dinamo Minsk5
Sileks Kratovo8
Marsaxlokk1
Pyunik Yerevan3
Dinamo City1
Astana5
Caernarfon5
Levadia Tallinn5
Petrovac3
Zalgiris Vilnius4
Qualification round 2
Ajax5
Vojvodina Novi Sad5
Sutjeska Niksic4
Maxline Vitebsk2
Dinamo City4
Aluminij Kidricevo1
ETO Gyor3
Bissen7
Zalgiris Vilnius10
Dinamo Tbilisi2
Petrocub Hincesti6
Banja Luka3
Noah Yerevan3
Zimbru2
Braga4
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo1
Zrinjski Mostar3
Valur Reykjavik2
Ludogorets4
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
New Saints4
Tallinna4
HB Torshavn2
Motherwell3
SK Rapid7
FC Coloma5
Ilves8
Stjarnan5
Gent4
Cherkasy2
Sion5
Bate Borisov1
Copenhagen5
Polissya Zhytomyr4
Velez Mostar1
Dunajska Streda3
Zira2
Paide1
Ballkani9
Bohemians D.8
FK Vardar Skopje7
Riga FC5
Tobol5
Panevezys4
CFR Cluj4
Alashkert Yerevan1
KF Dukagjini2
Lugano5
Dinamo Minsk2
Baku5
Inter Turku3
Basaksehir1
Koper4
Runavik9
Derry City1
Rijeka1
CSKA 19485
Trnava3
Atletic Club4
Vaduz2
Valletta3
Czestochowa5
IF Vestri5
FC RFS2
Auda6
FCSB4
Una Strassen4
Partizan Belgrade1
Beitar Jerusalem6
Larnaca7
Coleraine5
HJK Helsinki3
Nordsjaelland7
GAIS0
Pyunik Yerevan1
Debreceni0
Austria3
Liepaja3
Varazdin5
Jablonec2
Katowice5
Zilina2
Levadia Tallinn2
Goteborg5
Nomme7
Shelbourne3
Panathinaikos3
Paksi4
Brann5
Uni Cluj3
Shkendija Tetovo5
Bravo Ljubljana2
Apollon Limassol3
Dila Gori4
Drita3
Floriana2
Hibernian6
Malisheva1
Qualification round 3
Tre Fiori6
Drita4
IC Escaldes2
Tallinna4
Jablonec3
FC RFS2
Lugano4
Runavik2
Bohemians D.3
Midtjylland4
Paide3
SK Rapid4
Hibernian2
Shkendija Tetovo1
Inter Turku4
Vaduz3
Rijeka2
Ilves1
Braga1
Dinamo Minsk0
Auda5
Dinamo City0
Zalgiris Vilnius6
Hajduk5
Ajax5
Shelbourne3
Valur Reykjavik5
Nordsjaelland2
Hapoel Tel Aviv4
Katowice1
HJK Helsinki3
Motherwell1
Goteborg1
Gent2
Debreceni5
Copenhagen4
Enschede9
Dunajska Streda3
Partizan Belgrade4
Tobol2
CFR Cluj2
Tromsoe6
Czestochowa0
Hammarby1
Brann2
Apollon Limassol5
Riga FC2
ETO Gyor1
Noah Yerevan4
Sion3
Panathinaikos2
CSKA 19483
Beitar Jerusalem6
Austria6
Banja Luka5
Maxline Vitebsk5
Dynamo Kyiv3
Qarabag0
Tiraspol6
St. Gallen4

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.08.2026 23:39 UTC
1 10%
X 21%
2 69% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Win Lugano (2)
Per AI data H2H: 0-0-1
Claude updated12.08.2026 14:04 UTC
1 16%
X 22%
2 62% ✓ favourite
Score0:2 Total goals: Under 3.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance X2 (draw or win Lugano)
Per AI data H2H: 0-1

AI consensus:2

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 10% 21% 69% 0:2 Under 2.5 No Win Lugano (2)
Claude 16% 22% 62% 0:2 Under 3.5 No Double chance X2 (draw or win Lugano)

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Match center
Stadium Tersvedlur
Start 13.08.2026 17:30 UTC
Market 1 10.3% @ 9.20 / X 17.3% @ 5.50 / 2 72.4% @ 1.31
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Match center

NSI Runavik - FC Lugano

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Runavik - Lugano, 13 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Conference League UEFA 2026/2027, 3rd Qualifying round. second leg. Runavik - Lugano, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 70.2% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.185 / LogLoss 1.732
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 70.2% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.185 / LogLoss 1.732
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 70.2% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.185 / LogLoss 1.732
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 70.2% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.185 / LogLoss 1.732
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.29 market consensus · line only
X 5.22 market consensus · line only
1 8.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 2.60 market consensus · line only
X2 1.05 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
yes 2.65 37.7% 2.65 37.7% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
1x 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 1.89 52.9% 1.89 52.9%
x2 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
8.20 12.2%
X 2.76 36.2%
1.68 59.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.27 44.1%
Under 1.5 1.59 62.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-1, avg 3.0 gls
2026-08-13 · Runavik 2:2 Lugano
2026-08-06 · Runavik 0:2 Lugano
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 11 (Winline) · X 5.5 (Betcity) · 2 1.3 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 8.5 5.2 1.3
Winline 11 5.4 1.29
Fonbet 8.5 5.2 1.3
Betcity 8.6 5.5 1.27
Liga Stavok 11 5.4 1.26
Source: ruscore · line comparison
NSI Runavik
L W W
07.08 18:30 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
NSI Runavik 0:2 Lugano 🇨🇭Lugano 🇨🇭
31.07 16:45 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
NSI Runavik 3:1 Koper 🇸🇮
16.07 15:30 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
NSI Runavik 2:1 Khamrun 🇲🇹
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points
FC Lugano
W W
07.08 18:30 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
FC Lugano 2:0 Runavik (Far)Runavik (Far)
29.07 12:30 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
FC Lugano 5:1 Dukadzhini (Kos)Dukadzhini (Kos)
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: NSI Runavik - FC Lugano

NSI Runavik
1 matches total
FC Lugano
NSI Runavik: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FC Lugano: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Lugano 🇨🇭 0:2 (07.08 18:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 07.08 18:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

07.08 18:30 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Runavik (Far)
0:2
Lugano 🇨🇭
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 NSI Runavik
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 FC Lugano
NSI Runavik Team comparison FC Lugano
5 Games 3
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 0
6 Scored 8
7 Conceded 1
7 Points 9
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
8.6 Shots on goal 21.67
3.6 Shots on target 8.33
0.2 Sendoffs 0 Goly Petur Knudsen Semmi Skyutte 1:0 29' Marius Kryger Lindh Petur Knudsen 2:0 61' Yanis Siminyani Mattiya Dzanotti 2:1 67' Kevin Bekhrens Renato Shteffen 2 80' Nakazaniya Emil Joensen 82'

Runavik Lugano 5 Games 3 2 Wins 3 1 Draws 0 2 Losses 0 6 Scored 8 7 Conceded 1 7 Points 9 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 8.6 Shots on goal 21.67 3.6 Udary v stvor 8.33 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.4 Uglovye 9 1.8 Offsaydy 2.33 8.6 Foly 16.33 41.8 % vladeniya myachom 67.67 1.8 Warnings 0.67 0.2 Sendoffs 0 Goly Petur Knudsen Semmi Skyutte 1:0 29' Marius Kryger Lindh Petur Knudsen 2:0 61' Yanis Siminyani Mattiya Dzanotti 2:1 67' Kevin Bekhrens Renato Shteffen 2 80' Nakazaniya Emil Joensen 82'

More predictions

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Frequently asked questions

When does NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano start?

August 13, 2026.