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Qarabag — CSKA Sofia

Football 23.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Favourite Qarabag best odds 10.00

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League
2 qualifying round. 1 match 23.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H –Prediction
23.07.2026 14:00 UTC 2 qualifying round. 1 match
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Qarabag - CSKA Sofia

Football
Qarabag
Qarabag
0 : 0
Finished
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia

Qarabag go head-to-head with CSKA Sofia on July 23, 2026 in the UEFA Europa League.

Recent form (W-D-L): Qarabag 1-0-0, CSKA Sofia 0-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Qarabag (odds1.49) Score 2:0 Under 2.5 (odds1.85) ✓ Handicap H1 -1 (odds1.78) confidence 61% ✗ outcome missed
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.50→1.48 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Karabakh 🇦🇿: probability 61% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.49)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:0
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F1 -1: score forecast 2:0 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.78).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Qarabag - CSKA Sofia July 23, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 10.00 / X 1.10 / 2 13.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.4% 4 books · best price +592.0%
1 65.0%
X 21.3%
2 13.7%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Qarabag 3 : 1 CSKA Sofia
11.44
X4.40
26.85

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification

Qualification round 1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Uni Cluj4
Qarabag3
IF Vestri3
Tiraspol0
Aluminij Kidricevo1
Vojvodina Novi Sad4
Ferencvarosi2
Hajduk4
Zilina1
CSKA Sofia4
Derry City4
Qualification round 2
Pafos6
Hajduk0
Tromsoe3
Hradec Kralove2
CSKA Sofia5
Qarabag4
PAOK4
Dynamo Kyiv3
Midtjylland1
Besiktas2
Anderlecht4
Hammarby2
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Tiraspol5
Enschede3
Ferencvarosi4
SL Benfica7
St. Gallen1
Qualification round 3
Jagiellonia3
Rangers2
Salzburg4
Pafos3
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
CSKA Sofia6
Shamrock8
Egnatia Rrogozhine2
Lech Poznan1
Klaksvik5
Lincoln Red Imps2
Omonia Nicosia1
Kuopion Palloseura3
Uni Craiova2
Vikingur Reykjavik6
Thun2
Besiktas1
Hradec Kralove1
Anderlecht3
PAOK3
Gornik Zabrze2
Ferencvarosi1
Heart of Midlothian7
SL Benfica2
Larne2
Iberia1

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:3/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:02 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 16%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Win Karabakh (1)
Per AI data H2H: 1-0
Kimi updated22.07.2026 15:54 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
X 24%
2 18%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1 (Karabakh)
GLM 5.2 updated22.07.2026 15:55 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
X 27%
2 15%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 2-1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 58% 26% 16% 2:0 Under 2.5 No Win Karabakh (1)
Kimi 58% 24% 18% 2:0 Under 2.5 No
GLM 5.2 58% 27% 15% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes 1X

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Match center
Stadium Tofik Bakhramov
Start 23.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 9.2% @ 10.00 / X 83.7% @ 1.10 / 2 7.1% @ 13.00
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Match center

Qarabag - CSKA Sofia

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Karabakh - TsSKA S, 23 iyulya 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Europa League UEFA 2026/2027, 2nd Qualifying round. first leg. Karabakh - TsSKA S, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 1/1 recent games
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 63.1% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.039 / LogLoss 1.540
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 63.1% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.039 / LogLoss 1.540
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.80 market consensus · line only
X 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 5.70 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.04 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.35 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.73 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.11 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.01 99.0% 1.68 59.5%
yes 11.00 9.1% 2.11 47.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 5.70 17.5%
1x 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.03 97.1%
x2 2.60 38.5% 2.65 37.7% 1.04 96.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.01 49.8%
X 2.31 43.3%
6.70 14.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.80 55.6%
Under 1 1.95 51.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-0, avg 0.0 gls
2026-07-23 · Karabakh 0:0 TsSKA Sofiya
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.51 (Liga Stavok) · X 4.5 (Betcity) · 2 7.2 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.5 4.2 6
Winline 1.46 4.2 6.4
Fonbet 1.5 4.2 6
Betcity 1.39 4.5 7.2
Liga Stavok 1.51 4.1 6.2
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

1 Cards total 2
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
5 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
Qarabag
W
16.07 18:00 UTC Europe: Europa League - Qualifying
Qarabag 3:0 Vestri 🇮🇸Vestri 🇮🇸
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
CSKA Sofia
L
16.07 15:30 UTC Europe: Europa League - Qualifying
CSKA Sofia 0:1 Derri Siti (Sir)Derri Siti (Sir)
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Qarabag - CSKA Sofia

Qarabag
0 matches total
CSKA Sofia
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Qarabag
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 CSKA Sofia
Qarabag Team comparison CSKA Sofia
2 Games 2
2 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
6 Scored 5
0 Conceded 3
6 Points 6
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
14.5 Shots on goal 13
4 Shots on target 5.5
Sootnoshenie statisticheskikh dannykh komand Karabakh CSKA S 2 Games 2 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 6 Scored 5 0 Conceded 3 6 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 14.5 Shots on goal 13 4 Udary v stvor 5.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 10.5 Uglovye 6 2 Offsaydy 1.5 4.5 Foly 13.5 72.5 % vladeniya myachom 63.5 0 Warnings 2 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 30.07.2026 Europa League CSKA S –:– Karabakh 2 qualifying round.
2 match Nakazaniya Leandro Godoy 35' Marko Yankovich 37' Fakundo Rodriges 77'

Karabakh CSKA S 2 Games 2 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 6 Scored 5 0 Conceded 3 6 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 14.5 Shots on goal 13 4 Udary v stvor 5.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 10.5 Uglovye 6 2 Offsaydy 1.5 4.5 Foly 13.5 72.5 % vladeniya myachom 63.5 0 Warnings 2 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 30.07.2026 Europa League CSKA S –:– Karabakh 2 qualifying round. 2 match Nakazaniya Leandro Godoy 35' Marko Yankovich 37' Fakundo Rodriges 77'

More predictions

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Frequently asked questions

When does Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia start?

July 23, 2026.