AI verdict

AI pick Pinskiye Yastreby win probability ~51%

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Pinskiye Yastreby. Full breakdown below.

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Belarus. V.Tsyplakov Cup
Belarus. V.Tsyplakov Cup International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
14.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Belarus. V.Tsyplakov Cup

International

Pinskiye Yastreby - Rytsari Lida

International Hockey
Pinskiye Yastreby
Pinskiye Yastreby
4 : 4
Finished
Rytsari Lida
Rytsari Lida

Pinskiye Yastreby face Rytsari Lida on August 14, 2026 in the Belarus. V.Tsyplakov Cup, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Pinskiye Yastreby 1-0-0, Rytsari Lida 1-0-1. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 51% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Pinskiye Yastreby51%

1 · Pinskiye Yastreby50.9%
2 · Rytsari Lida49.1%

Model estimate: win Pinskiye Yastreby 50.9%, win Rytsari Lida 49.1%. Model favourite — Pinskiye Yastreby.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Pinskiye Yastreby (odds2.08) Score 3:2 Over 4.5 (odds1.70) Handicap H1 +0 (odds1.75) confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • Pinskie Yastreby: forma VP (1)
  • Rytsari Lida: forma PVPP (1-3)
  • liniya na pik P1 2.10→2.08 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • Model backs Pinskie Yastreby: probability 51% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.08)
  • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 3:2
  • Total: Over 4.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • at line 4.5 (odds 1.70)
  • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.75).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pinskiye Yastreby - Rytsari Lida August 14, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Pinskiye Yastreby 50.9% / Rytsari Lida 49.1%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.10 ↓ 2.00
1X2 X 4.80 ↑ 5.00
1X2 2 2.33 ↑ 2.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Form 5 matches
Match center

Pinskiye Yastreby - Rytsari Lida

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/2 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 4:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pinskiye Yastreby 44.8% 50.9% market and model agree
Draw 17.9% -
Rytsari Lida 37.3% 49.1%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 50.9% / 49.1% probabilities
Rating 1,341 / 1,231 Pinskiye Yastreby / Rytsari Lida
RD 286 / 219 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 769-1,912 / 794-1,669 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 49.1%
Handicap
2 -1 1.53 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.80 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Over 11.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.38 72.5%
3.25 30.8%
1.20 83.3%
2.35 42.6%
7.90 12.7%
4.05 24.7%
7.50 13.3%
2.80 35.7%
1.30 76.9%
4.00 25.0%
3.60 27.8%
8.50 11.8%
6.10 16.4%
1.53 65.4%
1.05 95.2%
1.20 83.3%
1.06 94.3%
1.09 91.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.07 93.5%
Over 3.5 1.06 94.3%
Over 4 1.42 70.4%
Over 4.5 1.08 92.6%
Over 5 2.05 48.8%
Over 5.5 1.15 87.0%
Over 6 1.58 63.3%
Over 6.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 7 2.20 45.5%
Over 7.5 3.65 27.4%
Over 8 3.30 30.3%
Over 8.5 6.80 14.7%
Over 9.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 10.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 11.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 2.5 6.60 15.2%
Under 10.5 1.03 97.1%
Under 11.5 1.04 96.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
36.00 2.8%
X 18.00 5.6%
1.03 97.1%
Match center
Pinskiye Yastreby
W
08.08 10:00 UTC Belarus. Cup V.Tsyplakova
Pinskiye Yastreby 2:0 Progress Grodno
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Rytsari Lida
L W
01.08 10:30 UTC Belarus. Cup V.Tsyplakova
Rytsari Lida 2:4 Medvedi VitebskMedvedi Vitebsk
30.07 14:00 UTC Belarus. Cup V.Tsyplakova
Rytsari Lida 5:2 Medvedi VitebskMedvedi Vitebsk
1 Wins
1 Losses
3.5 Scored
3.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pinskiye Yastreby vs Rytsari Lida?

By the PropickAI model, Pinskiye Yastreby is favoured — about 51% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Pinskiye Yastreby vs Rytsari Lida?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Pinskiye Yastreby. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Pinskiye Yastreby vs Rytsari Lida start?

August 14, 2026.