AI verdict

AI pick Bars win probability ~50%

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Bars. Full breakdown below.

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Club Friendly Games
Club Friendly Games International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
14.08.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Club Friendly Games

Bars - CSK VVS Samara

International Hockey
Bars
Bars
1 : 0
Finished
CSK VVS Samara
CSK VVS Samara

Bars meet CSK VVS Samara on August 14, 2026 in the Club Friendly Games, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Bars50%

1 · Bars50.3%
2 · CSK VVS Samara49.7%

Model estimate: win Bars 50.3%, win CSK VVS Samara 49.7%. Model favourite — Bars.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Bars (odds1.55) Score 3:2 Under 5.5 (odds1.73) Handicap H2 +1.5 (odds1.80) confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • TsSK VVS Samara: forma N (0-1)
  • liniya na pik P1 1.50→1.55 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • Model backs Bars: probability 50% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.55)
  • no edge over the line (-14 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 3:2
  • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • at line 5.5 (odds 1.73)
  • Handicap F2 +1.5: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.80).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bars - CSK VVS Samara August 14, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Bars 50.3% / CSK VVS Samara 49.7%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.50 ↑ 1.62
1X2 X 4.80 ↓ 4.40
1X2 2 4.90 ↓ 4.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Bars

no data

CSK VVS Samara
2-8LLLLLLWLWL
scored 2.2conceded 2.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 14.08.2026 11:00 UTC
Form 1 matches
Match center

Bars - CSK VVS Samara

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.3% fact: home hit / ROI 62.0% / Brier 0.494 / LogLoss 0.687
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.1% fact: home hit / ROI 62.0% / Brier 0.498 / LogLoss 0.692
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bars 57.3% 50.3% market and model agree
Draw 21.1% -
CSK VVS Samara 21.6% 49.7%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 50.3% / 49.7% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,493 Bars / CSK VVS Samara
RD 350 / 264 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 965-2,021 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 50.3%
Handicap
2 -1 1.95 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.20 Fonbet · line only
2 0 8.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 1.5 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 2.5 4.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.12 89.3%
1.10 90.9%
1.75 57.1%
3.45 29.0%
2.40 41.7%
8.50 11.8%
4.40 22.7%
9.00 11.1%
1.05 95.2%
5.20 19.2%
5.90 17.0%
1.95 51.3%
1.27 78.7%
1.50 66.7%
1.05 95.2%
1.17 85.5%
1.04 96.2%
8.00 12.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 1.5 4.30 23.3%
Over 2.5 4.60 21.7%
Over 3.5 7.50 13.3%
Over 4 1.23 81.3%
Over 4.5 8.00 12.5%
Over 5 1.62 61.7%
Over 5.5 8.50 11.8%
Over 6 2.35 42.6%
Over 6.5 5.90 17.0%
Over 7 3.70 27.0%
Over 7.5 4.15 24.1%
Under 1.5 1.18 84.8%
Under 2.5 1.16 86.2%
Under 3.5 1.06 94.3%
Under 4 3.70 27.0%
Under 4.5 1.05 95.2%
Under 5 2.15 46.5%
Under 5.5 1.04 96.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.06 94.3%
X 5.50 18.2%
56.00 1.8%
Match center
Bars
D
13.08 15:30 UTC+0 Predsezonnye turniry
Bars 3:3 Neftyanik AlmetevskNeftyanik Almetevsk
0 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
CSK VVS Samara
D
13.08 15:30 UTC+0 Predsezonnye turniry
CSK VVS Samara 3:3 Neftyanik AlmetevskNeftyanik Almetevsk
0 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBars - CSK VVS Samara

Bars
0 matches total
CSK VVS Samara
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bars vs CSK VVS Samara?

By the PropickAI model, Bars is favoured — about 50% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Bars vs CSK VVS Samara?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Bars. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Bars vs CSK VVS Samara start?

August 14, 2026.