AI verdict

AI pick Toros win probability ~52%

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Toros. Full breakdown below.

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Club Friendly Games
Club Friendly Games International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
13.08.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Club Friendly Games

Toros - Bars

International Hockey
Toros
Toros
4 : 0
Finished
Bars
Bars

Toros meet Bars on August 13, 2026 in the Club Friendly Games, International.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 52% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Toros52%

1 · Toros51.8%
2 · Bars48.2%

Model estimate: win Toros 51.8%, win Bars 48.2%. Model favourite — Toros.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Toros (odds2.80) Score 3:2 Over 4.5 (odds1.85) Handicap H1 +0 (odds2.15) confidence 52% ✓ outcome correct
  • Toros 🇷🇺: forma VV (2-0)
  • Bars 🇷🇺: forma P (0-1)
  • liniya na pik P1 2.35→2.60 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • Model backs Toros 🇷🇺: probability 52% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.80)
  • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 3:2
  • Total: Over 4.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • at line 4.5 (odds 1.85)
  • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 2.15).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toros - Bars August 13, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Toros 51.8% / Bars 48.2%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.35 ↑ 2.60
1X2 X 3.90 ↓ 3.75
1X2 2 2.50 ↓ 2.30

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Toros
3-7LWLWLLLLWL
scored 2.2conceded 2.7
Bars

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 13.08.2026 11:00 UTC
Form 3 matches
Match center

Toros - Bars

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 4:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 51.8% fact: home hit / ROI 160.0% / Brier 0.464 / LogLoss 0.657
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.5% fact: home hit / ROI 160.0% / Brier 0.490 / LogLoss 0.683
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Toros 35.4% 51.8% Glicko contrarian
Draw 24.6% -
Bars 40.0% 48.2% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 51.8% / 48.2% probabilities
Rating 1,703 / 1,306 Toros / Bars
RD 258 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,187-2,219 / 724-1,888 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 51.8%
Handicap
2 -1 1.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.55 Fonbet · line only
2 0 4.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 1.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Over 2.5 1.14 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
3.65 27.4%
1.07 93.5%
5.30 18.9%
1.19 84.0%
1.16 86.2%
1.09 91.7%
2.55 39.2%
8.50 11.8%
4.30 23.3%
6.60 15.2%
1.25 80.0%
6.90 14.5%
1.12 89.3%
4.10 24.4%
4.60 21.7%
6.20 16.1%
1.05 95.2%
4.05 24.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 1.5 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.5 1.14 87.7%
Over 3 1.17 85.5%
Over 3.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 4 1.50 66.7%
Over 4.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 5 2.25 44.4%
Over 5.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 6 3.75 26.7%
Over 6.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 7.5 12.00 8.3%
Under 1.5 5.40 18.5%
Under 2.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 3 4.40 22.7%
Under 3.5 2.85 35.1%
Under 4 2.40 41.7%
Under 4.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 5 1.55 64.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.09 91.7%
X 7.40 13.5%
31.00 3.2%
Match center
Toros
W W
08.08 13:00 UTC+0 Russia. Friendlies
Toros 1:0 Izhstal 🇷🇺Izhstal 🇷🇺
06.08 13:30 UTC+0 Russia. Friendlies
Toros 2:0 Izhstal 🇷🇺Izhstal 🇷🇺
2 Wins
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Bars
L
05.08 10:00 UTC+0 Russia. Friendlies
Bars 1:3 Olimpiya Kirovo-ChepetskOlimpiya Kirovo-Chepetsk
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToros - Bars

Toros
0 matches total
Bars
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Toros vs Bars?

By the PropickAI model, Toros is favoured — about 52% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Toros vs Bars?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Toros. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Toros vs Bars start?

August 13, 2026.