AI verdict

AI pick K-Espoo win probability ~51%

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to K-Espoo. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Finland. Friendly
Finland. Friendly International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
14.08.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Finland. Friendly

K-Espoo - Tappara

International Hockey
K-Espoo
K-Espoo
2 : 0
Finished
Tappara
Tappara

K-Espoo face Tappara on August 14, 2026 in the Finland. Friendly, International.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 51% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 K-Espoo51%

1 · K-Espoo50.7%
2 · Tappara49.3%

Model estimate: win K-Espoo 50.7%, win Tappara 49.3%. Model favourite — K-Espoo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1K-Espoo (odds3.20) Score 3:2 Under 5.5 (odds1.80) Handicap H1 +1 (odds1.75) confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct
  • Tappara 🇫🇮: forma PN (0-1)
  • Model backs K-Espoo: probability 51% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.20)
  • edge over the line +19 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 3:2
  • Total: Under 5.5: model expects a total of ~5 goals
  • at line 5.5 (odds 1.80)
  • Handicap F1 +1: score forecast 3:2 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.75).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction K-Espoo - Tappara August 14, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: K-Espoo 50.7% / Tappara 49.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 26.9%
1 77.3%
2 3.8%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 3.20 ↓ 2.90
1X2 X 4.40 ↓ 4.05
1X2 2 1.75 ↑ 1.93

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

K-Espoo

no data

Tappara
7-3WWLLWWLWWW
scored 2.3conceded 1.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 14.08.2026 14:30 UTC
Form 2 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model K-Espoo 51%
💹 Market K-Espoo 77%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

K-Espoo - Tappara

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/1 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.7% fact: home hit / ROI 190.0% / Brier 0.486 / LogLoss 0.679
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.2% fact: home hit / ROI 190.0% / Brier 0.496 / LogLoss 0.689
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
K-Espoo 31.1% 50.7% Glicko contrarian
Draw 22.3% -
Tappara 46.7% 49.3% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 50.7% / 49.3% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,417 K-Espoo / Tappara
RD 350 / 249 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 919-1,915 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 4.15 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 50.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
2 0 7.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 1.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 2.5 4.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.55 64.5%
1.06 94.3%
1.25 80.0%
3.65 27.4%
1.07 93.5%
2.35 42.6%
9.00 11.1%
2.25 44.4%
7.50 13.3%
3.45 29.0%
5.10 19.6%
5.10 19.6%
7.10 14.1%
1.25 80.0%
6.70 14.9%
1.52 65.8%
1.04 96.2%
7.50 13.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 1.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 2.5 4.00 25.0%
Over 3.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 4 1.30 76.9%
Over 4.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 5 1.75 57.1%
Over 5.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 6 2.65 37.7%
Over 6.5 4.00 25.0%
Over 7 4.30 23.3%
Over 7.5 4.70 21.3%
Under 1.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 2.5 1.20 83.3%
Under 3.5 1.04 96.2%
Under 4 3.30 30.3%
Under 4.5 1.04 96.2%
Under 5 1.95 51.3%
Under 5.5 1.04 96.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
X 4.15 24.1%
21.00 4.8%
Match center
K-Espoo
L D
08.08 13:00 UTC+0 Finland. Friendlies
K-Espoo 1:2 Yuvyaskyulya
07.08 15:30 UTC+0 World: Club Friendlies
K-Espoo 2:2 Ilves 🇫🇮Ilves 🇫🇮
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Tappara
L
08.08 13:00 UTC Finland. Friendlies
Tappara 1:2 Yuvyaskyulya
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: K-Espoo - Tappara

K-Espoo
0 matches total
Tappara
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in K-Espoo vs Tappara?

By the PropickAI model, K-Espoo is favoured — about 51% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for K-Espoo vs Tappara?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to K-Espoo. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does K-Espoo vs Tappara start?

August 14, 2026.