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AI verdict

AI pick Liberec win probability ~73% confidence High best odds 1.10

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Liberec. Full breakdown below.

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Minsk Cup
Minsk Cup International
28.08.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
28.08.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

Minsk Cup

Dresdner Eislowen vs Liberec — Hockey prediction

International Hockey
Dresdner Eislowen
Dresdner Eislowen
2 : 2
Finished
Liberec
Liberec

Dresdner Eislowen take on Liberec in ice hockey, in Minsk Cup, on 28 August 2026. Our Glicko-2 rating model leans to Liberec: roughly 73% to win. The bookmaker consensus (3 books) implies about 75% for the same outcome. The model puts the chance of a draw at 13%.

Recent form reads: Dresdner Eislowen have 0 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost of their last 1; Liberec have 0 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost of 1. On the Glicko scale it is 1117 for Dresdner Eislowen against 1400 for Liberec - a gap of 284 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is high. That is a 2-point gap to the market. On a hit-rate basis the steadier pick tilts to a covered market on Liberec - double chance looks calmer than a clean win. Key markers: an edge of 284 Glicko rating points, the model's 73% for Liberec. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Liberec — 73%

1 · Dresdner Eislowen14.0%
market 12%
2 · Liberec ✓ Pick72.8%
market 75%

Model estimate: win Dresdner Eislowen 14.0%, win Liberec 72.8%. Model favourite — Liberec.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dresdner Eislowen - Liberec August 28, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liberec.

Line favourite Fonbet: Liberec. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 8.00 / X 6.10 / 2 1.10
  • Glicko: Dresdner Eislowen 14.0% / X 13.2% / Liberec 72.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1% 2 books
1 11.6%
X 13.2%
2 ✓ Pick 75.2%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 7.90 ↓ 7.40
1X2 X 5.90 ↓ 5.80
1X2 2 1.25 ↑ 1.27

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Dresdner Eislowen
12%
110.00
Draw
14%
7.00
Liberec
74%
1.23
Total
Over 6.5
45%
1.97
Under 6.5
55%
3.15

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Dresdner Eislowen

no data

Liberec
5-5LLWWWLLWWL
scored 2.2conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 28.08.2026 17:30 UTC
Market 1 10.4% @ 8.00 / X 13.7% @ 6.10 / 2 75.9% @ 1.10
Form 2 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Liberec 73%
💹 Market Liberec 75%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Dresdner Eislowen - Liberec

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/1 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 72.8% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.303 / LogLoss 2.025
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 44.4% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.798 / LogLoss 1.284
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dresdner Eislowen 11.6% 14.0%
Draw 13.2% 13.2%
Liberec 75.2% 72.8% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / X / P2 14.0% / 13.2% / 72.8% probabilities
Rating 1,117 / 1,400 Dresdner Eislowen / Liberec
RD 291 / 274 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 534-1,699 / 852-1,949 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 72.8%
X 6.10 Fonbet · no value · model 13.2%
1 8.00 market consensus · no value · model 14.0%
Handicap
2 +1 1.32 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 3.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 3.5 1.19 Fonbet · line only
Over 4 1.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
3.05 32.8%
2.00 50.0%
2.25 44.4%
2.10 47.6%
1.52 65.8%
1.08 92.6%
11.00 9.1%
1.32 75.8%
1.72 58.1%
1.57 63.7%
1.65 60.6%
2.35 42.6%
6.30 15.9%
3.85 26.0%
4.30 23.3%
5.10 19.6%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3.5 1.19 84.0%
Over 4 1.15 87.0%
Over 4.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 5 1.42 70.4%
Over 5.5 1.32 75.8%
Over 6 1.93 51.8%
Over 6.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 7 2.90 34.5%
Over 7.5 4.50 22.2%
Over 8 4.60 21.7%
Over 8.5 6.90 14.5%
Under 3.5 4.15 24.1%
Under 4 4.80 20.8%
Under 4.5 2.50 40.0%
Under 5 2.65 37.7%
Under 5.5 3.05 32.8%
Under 6 1.77 56.5%
Under 6.5 3.15 31.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
110.00 0.9% 8.00 12.5% 8.00 12.5%
X 6.10 16.4% 7.00 14.3% 7.00 14.3%
1.10 90.9% 1.23 81.3% 1.23 81.3%
Match center
Dresdner Eislowen
L
23.08 15:00 UTC Friendlies
Dresdner Eislowen 1:5 TaborTabor
0 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
5.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Liberec
L
19.08 15:00 UTC+0 Czechia. Friendlies
Liberec 4:5 Mauntfild
0 Wins
1 Losses
4.0 Scored
5.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dresdner Eislowen vs Liberec?

By the PropickAI model, Liberec is favoured — about 73% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Dresdner Eislowen vs Liberec?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Liberec. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Dresdner Eislowen vs Liberec?

Live odds for Dresdner Eislowen vs Liberec from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Dresdner Eislowen vs Liberec start?

August 28, 2026.