AI verdict

AI pick Rapperswill win probability ~40% best odds 2.30

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Rapperswill. Full breakdown below.

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Minsk Cup
Minsk Cup International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Minsk Cup

Rapperswill vs Motor Ceske Budejovice — Hockey prediction

International Hockey
Rapperswill
Rapperswill
7 : 2
Finished
Motor Ceske Budejovice
Motor Ceske Budejovice

Rapperswill host Motor Ceske Budejovice in ice hockey, in Minsk Cup, on 28 August 2026. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model makes Rapperswill the favourite, with a win probability of about 40%. The bookmaker consensus (3 books) implies about 40% for the same outcome. The model puts the chance of a draw at 21%.

Latest form: Rapperswill 0 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost; Motor Ceske Budejovice 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost. On the Glicko scale it is 1178 for Rapperswill against 1622 for Motor Ceske Budejovice - a gap of 444 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 444 Glicko rating points, the model's 40% for Rapperswill. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Rapperswill40%

1 · Rapperswill40.1%
2 · Motor Ceske Budejovice39.2%

Model estimate: win Rapperswill 40.1%, win Motor Ceske Budejovice 39.2%. Model favourite — Rapperswill.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rapperswill - Motor Ceske Budejovice August 28, 2026

Hockey math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rapperswill.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rapperswill. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.30 / X 4.30 / 2 2.35
  • Glicko: Rapperswill 40.1% / X 20.6% / Motor Ceske Budejovice 39.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8% 3 books
1 40.0%
X 21.4%
2 38.6%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.30 → 2.30
1X2 X 4.40 ↓ 4.30
1X2 2 2.35 → 2.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Rapperswill
40%
2.30
Draw
21%
4.30
Motor Ceske Budejovice
39%
2.38
Total
Over 5.5
50%
1.85
Under 5.5
50%
1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Rapperswill

no data

Motor Ceske Budejovice
4-6LWLWLLWLWL
scored 2.8conceded 2.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 28.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 39.8% @ 2.30 / X 21.3% @ 4.30 / 2 38.9% @ 2.35
Form 5 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Rapperswill 40%
💹 Market Rapperswill 40%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Rapperswill - Motor Ceske Budejovice

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 7:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 40.1% fact: home hit / ROI 130.0% / Brier 0.555 / LogLoss 0.913
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 35.2% fact: home hit / ROI 130.0% / Brier 0.630 / LogLoss 1.043
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rapperswill 40.0% 40.1% market and model agree
Draw 21.4% 20.6%
Motor Ceske Budejovice 38.6% 39.2%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / X / P2 40.1% / 20.6% / 39.2% probabilities
Rating 1,178 / 1,622 Rapperswill / Motor Ceske Budejovice
RD 257 / 175 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 664-1,692 / 1,273-1,971 strength interval

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 Fonbet · no value · model 39.2%
X 4.30 Fonbet · no value · model 20.6%
1 2.30 Fonbet · no value · model 40.1%
Handicap
2 -1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.75 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 3.5 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Over 4 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
1.33 75.2%
1.19 84.0%
2.70 37.0%
3.00 33.3%
4.15 24.1%
4.60 21.7%
1.83 54.6%
2.75 36.4%
3.05 32.8%
4.20 23.8%
1.40 71.4%
1.35 74.1%
1.19 84.0%
1.16 86.2%
1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 3.5 1.17 85.5%
Over 4 1.20 83.3%
Over 4.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 5 1.57 63.7%
Over 5.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 6 2.25 44.4%
Over 6.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 7 3.55 28.2%
Over 7.5 3.95 25.3%
Under 3.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 4 3.90 25.6%
Under 4.5 2.65 37.7%
Under 5 2.25 44.4%
Under 5.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 6 1.55 64.5%
Under 6.5 1.42 70.4%
Under 7 1.25 80.0%
Under 7.5 1.20 83.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5%
X 4.30 23.3% 4.30 23.3% 4.30 23.3%
2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.38 42.0%
Match center
Rapperswill
L L
15.08 15:30 UTC+0 Switzerland. Friendlies
Rapperswill 1:7 TsugTsug
14.08 16:30 UTC+0 Switzerland. Friendlies
Rapperswill 1:7 KlotenKloten
0 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
7.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Motor Ceske Budejovice
L W
27.08 17:30 UTC Friendlies
Motor Ceske Budejovice 0:3 TsugTsug
22.08 15:00 UTC Friendlies
Motor Ceske Budejovice 5:2 VenaVena
1 Wins
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
2.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rapperswill vs Motor Ceske Budejovice?

By the PropickAI model, Rapperswill is favoured — about 40% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Rapperswill vs Motor Ceske Budejovice?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Rapperswill. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Rapperswill vs Motor Ceske Budejovice?

Live odds for Rapperswill vs Motor Ceske Budejovice from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Rapperswill vs Motor Ceske Budejovice start?

August 28, 2026.