AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Harris L. Full breakdown below.
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| Harris L | Fenty A | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 54.5% | 55.8% |
| Hard % | 57.4% | 56.2% |
| Clay % | 37% | 52.4% |
| Grass % | 59.1% | 0% |
| Deciding set % | 59.3% | 46.7% |
| Tie-breaks % | 40.9% | 46.7% |
| Titles (total) | 5 | 1 |
| Last 10 | LWLWLLWLWL | WWLLWWLWWW |
Source: scorego-app.com
| Harris L | Fenty A | |
|---|---|---|
| Aces per match | 8.16 | 4.00 |
| Double faults per match | 1.4 | 2.39 |
| Breaks per match | 3.22 | 3.64 |
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
| Lloyd Harris | Andrew Fenty | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 68.8% 11 / 16 Matches | 62.5% 25 / 40 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 64.5% 20 / 31 Matches | 64.7% 44 / 68 Matches |
| Lloyd Harris | Andrew Fenty | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches | 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches | 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches |
| Lloyd Harris | Andrew Fenty | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches | N/A 0 / 0 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches | N/A 0 / 0 Matches |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Lloyd Harris | Andrew Fenty | |
|---|---|---|
| H2H wins | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| Sets | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| Wins this year | 61.5% 16 / 26 Matches | 60.4% 29 / 48 Matches |
| Wins in 12 mo. | 60.5% 26 / 43 Matches | 63.2% 48 / 76 Matches |
| Current rank | 179 | 394 |
Source: tennisstats.com
| Lloyd Harris | Andrew Fenty | |
|---|---|---|
| Prize money (career) | $4,069,356 USD | $26,083 USD |
| Rating | 179 | 394 |
| Age | 29 | 26 |
| Height | 1.93m | 1.93m |
| Weight | 80kg | 88kg |
| Playing hand | Right-handed | Right-handed |
| Lloyd Harris | Andrew Fenty | |
|---|---|---|
| Match Wins | 62 % | 60 % |
| Match Wins (3 Sets) | 60 % | 62 % |
| Wins in Straight Sets | 38 % | 50 % |
| Wins From Behind | 25 % | 11 % |
| Won At Least 1 Set | 85 % | 81 % |
| Set 1 Win | 65 % | 67 % |
| Set 2 Win | 56 % | 65 % |
| Set 3 Win | 55 % | 38 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Lloyd Harris | Andrew Fenty | |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage | 0% | 0% |
| 1st serve points won | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| 2nd serve points won | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Break Points Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| 1st return points won | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| 2nd return points won | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Break Points Converted | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| Service Points Won | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Return Points Won | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Total Points Won | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Last 10 balls | 0 | 0 |
| Match points saved | 0 | 0 |
| Service games won | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Return games won | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Total games won | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
Source:tennisstats.com
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
| Lloyd Harris | Andrew Fenty | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Games in a Set | 10.04 | 9.1 | 9.57 |
| Over 6.5 | 96 % | 91 % | 94 % |
| Over 7.5 | 92 % | 81 % | 87 % |
| Over 8.5 | 84 % | 68 % | 76 % |
| Over 9.5 | 60 % | 38 % | 49 % |
| Over 10.5 | 32 % | 15 % | 24 % |
| Over 11.5 | 32 % | 15 % | 24 % |
| Lloyd Harris | Andrew Fenty | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces Per Match | 8.16 | 4.00 | 12.16 |
| Most Aces in a match | 80 % | 39 % | N/A |
| 1+ | 96 % | 89 % | 97 % |
| 2+ | 92 % | 72 % | 97 % |
| 3+ | 88 % | 61 % | 93 % |
| 4+ | 80 % | 56 % | 88 % |
| 5+ | 80 % | 44 % | 88 % |
| Lloyd Harris | Andrew Fenty | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breaks Per Match | 3.22 | 3.64 | 6.86 |
| Over 0.5 | 96 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 | 96 % | 100 % | 98 % |
| Over 2.5 | 44 % | 100 % | 98 % |
| Over 3.5 | 44 % | 94 % | 98 % |
| Over 4.5 | 32 % | 56 % | 68 % |
| Over 5.5 | 4 % | 0 % | 49 % |
| Lloyd Harris | Andrew Fenty | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tie Breaks Per Match | 0.36 | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| Over 0.5 | 36 % | 23 % | 30 % |
| Over 1.5 | 0 % | 2 % | 1 % |
| Under 0.5 | 64 % | 77 % | 30 % |
| Under 1.5 | 100 % | 98 % | 1 % |
| Lloyd Harris | Andrew Fenty | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Faults Per Match | 1.4 | 2.39 | 3.79 |
| Over 0.5 (1+) | 72 % | 94 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 (2+) | 32 % | 72 % | 88 % |
| Over 2.5 (3+) | 20 % | 39 % | 71 % |
| Over 3.5 (4+) | 8 % | 17 % | 65 % |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 8 % | 17 % | 43 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 0 % | 0 % | 34 % |
| Lloyd Harris | Andrew Fenty | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Points Won Per Match | 7.56 | 8.7 | 16.26 |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 88 % | 90 % | 89 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 75 % | 90 % | 83 % |
| Over 6.5 (7+) | 63 % | 90 % | 77 % |
| Over 7.5 (8+) | 56 % | 50 % | 53 % |
| Over 8.5 (9+) | 50 % | 40 % | 45 % |
| Over 9.5 (10+) | 38 % | 30 % | 34 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
Harris L face Fenty A on August 12, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Harris L 2-0-3, Fenty A 4-1-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 72% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Harris L — 72%
Model estimate: win Harris L 71.9%, win Fenty A 28.1%. Model favourite — Harris L.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Harris L.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Play-by-play
Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.
Playoff draw
Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko71.9% · +Elo prior (weight0.48).
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.95 51.3% | |
| — | — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | — | 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.66 60.2% | 1.60 62.5% | — | |
| 2.10 47.6% | — | — | |
| — | — | 1.93 51.8% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 2.10 47.6% | 2.20 45.5% | — | |
| 1.66 60.2% | — | — | |
| — | — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | — | 1.95 51.3% | |
| — | — | 3.15 31.8% | |
| — | — | 2.60 38.5% | |
| — | — | 10.00 10.0% | |
| — | — | 11.00 9.1% | |
| — | — | 1.23 81.3% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 10.00 10.0% | |
| 11.00 9.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 | — | — | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 20.5 | — | — | 11.00 9.1% |
| Over 21.5 | 1.76 56.8% | 1.76 56.8% | 10.00 10.0% |
| Over 22.5 | — | — | 2.50 40.0% |
| Over 23.5 | — | — | 2.45 40.8% |
| Over 24.5 | — | — | 1.68 59.5% |
| Over 25.5 | — | — | 2.02 49.5% |
| Over 26.5 | — | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| Under 19.5 | — | — | 3.75 26.7% |
| Under 20.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Under 21.5 | 1.97 50.8% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.02 98.0% |
| Under 22.5 | — | — | 1.47 68.0% |
| Under 23.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Under 24.5 | — | — | 2.05 48.8% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 10.00 10.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
Harris L
Fenty A
Full head-to-head historyHarris L - Fenty A
The Harris L - Fenty A breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
| 13 | Aces | 2 |
| 1 | Double Faults | 5 |
| 3/10 | Break Points Won | 1/6 |
| 89 | Points won | 66 |
| 9 | Max Points in a Row | 6 |
| 13 | Games won | 7 |
| 7 | Max Games in a Row | 3 |
| 52/23/75 | Service Points Won | 43/37/80 |
| 37/43/80 | Receiver Points Won | 23/52/75 |
| 9/1/10 | Service Games Won | 6/3/9 |
| 1 | Tiebreaks Won | 0 |
| 39/8/47 | 1st Serve Pts. Won | 31/25/56 |
| 13/15/28 | 2nd Serve Pts. Won | 12/12/24 |
| 47/28/75 | 1st Serve Successful | 56/24/80 |
| 27/1/28 | 2nd Serve Successful | 19/5/24 |
Sportradar · Winline StatsHub
By the PropickAI model, Harris L is favoured — about 72% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Harris L. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
August 12, 2026.