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AI verdict

AI pick Harris L win probability ~64% confidence High best odds 1.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Harris L. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification International
13.08.2026 21:10 UTC Match prediction

Harris L - Rottgering M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification
ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification grass 13.08.2026 21:10 UTC Finished
13.08.2026 21:10 UTC Finished
Harris L
Harris L
Rank #179 Elo 317
63Average Form
W L W L W L L W
Rottgering M
Rottgering M
Rank #416 Elo 115
71Good Form
L W L L W L W W
2:0 7:5 6:4
1 2 GP
Harris L 7 6 2
Rottgering M 5 4 0
1 2
Coverage: grass
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Kharris L. 🇿🇦 Rottgering M
Win % 54.7% 56.2%
Hard % 57.6% 59.3%
Clay % 37% 51.4%
Grass % 59.1% 40%
Deciding set % 59.3% 51.7%
Tie-breaks % 41.3% 52.9%
Titles (total) 5 2
Last 10 WLWLWLLWLW WWWLWLWLWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#179 Rating #416
29 Age 19
1.93m Height (cm) 1.80m
80kg Weight (kg) 80kg
Right Hand Left
- Seed -
grass Coverage grass
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Harris L Rottgering M
Aces per match 8.35 3.38
Double faults per match 1.38 2.62
Breaks per match 3.33 3.69

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Lloyd Harris
Rank:179 Elo: 317
W L W L W L L W
Mees Rottgering
Rank:416 Elo: 115
L W L L W L W W
Elo favourite:Harris L (edge +202 Elo)

Hard

Lloyd HarrisMees Rottgering
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 70.6% 12 / 17 Matches 75.0% 21 / 28 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 67.7% 21 / 31 Matches 68.3% 28 / 41 Matches

Clay

Lloyd HarrisMees Rottgering
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Grass

Lloyd HarrisMees Rottgering
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Lloyd Harris Mees Rottgering
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 63.0% 17 / 27 Matches 71.0% 22 / 31 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 62.8% 27 / 43 Matches 64.4% 29 / 45 Matches
Current rank 179 416

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Lloyd Harris Mees Rottgering
Prize money (career) $4,069,356 USD $8,576 USD
Rating 179 416
Age 29 19
Height 1.93m 1.80m
Weight 80kg 80kg
Playing hand Right-handed Left-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Lloyd Harris Mees Rottgering
Match Wins 63 % 71 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 62 % 71 %
Wins in Straight Sets 41 % 52 %
Wins From Behind 25 % 25 %
Won At Least 1 Set 85 % 74 %
Set 1 Win 67 % 65 %
Set 2 Win 58 % 60 %
Set 3 Win 55 % 86 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Lloyd Harris Mees Rottgering Match total
Average Games in a Set 10.15 9.52 9.84
Over 6.5 96 % 81 % 89 %
Over 7.5 92 % 77 % 85 %
Over 8.5 85 % 71 % 78 %
Over 9.5 62 % 52 % 57 %
Over 10.5 35 % 29 % 32 %
Over 11.5 35 % 29 % 32 %

Aces

Lloyd Harris Mees Rottgering Match total
Aces Per Match 8.35 3.38 11.73
Most Aces in a match 81 % 31 % N/A
1+ 96 % 100 % 100 %
2+ 92 % 92 % 100 %
3+ 88 % 69 % 98 %
4+ 81 % 46 % 96 %
5+ 81 % 23 % 92 %

Breaks

Lloyd Harris Mees Rottgering Match total
Breaks Per Match 3.33 3.69 7.02
Over 0.5 96 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 96 % 100 % 98 %
Over 2.5 46 % 31 % 98 %
Over 3.5 46 % 31 % 98 %
Over 4.5 35 % 0 % 69 %
Over 5.5 4 % 0 % 69 %

Tie-breaks

Lloyd Harris Mees Rottgering Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.38 0.26 0.32
Over 0.5 38 % 23 % 31 %
Over 1.5 0 % 3 % 2 %
Under 0.5 62 % 77 % 31 %
Under 1.5 100 % 97 % 2 %

Double faults

Lloyd Harris Mees Rottgering Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.38 2.62 4
Over 0.5 (1+) 73 % 92 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 31 % 77 % 85 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 19 % 54 % 79 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 8 % 23 % 73 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 8 % 8 % 62 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 0 % 8 % 43 %

Net points

Lloyd Harris Mees Rottgering Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.56 7.75 15.31
Over 4.5 (5+) 88 % 75 % 82 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 75 % 50 % 63 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 63 % 50 % 57 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 56 % 25 % 41 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 50 % 25 % 38 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 38 % 25 % 32 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.47 66.0% BetBoom
P2 2.85 34.0% BetBoom

Harris L take on Rottgering M on August 13, 2026 in the ATP Challenger. Brownsburg. Qualification, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Harris L 3-0-2, Rottgering M 4-0-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 64% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Harris L — 64%

1 · Harris L ✓ Pick64.3%
market 67%
2 · Rottgering M35.7%
market 33%

Model estimate: win Harris L 64.3%, win Rottgering M 35.7%. Model favourite — Harris L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Harris L (odds1.41) Score 2:1 confidence 64% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Kharris L
  • • 🇿🇦 — Rottgering M (tennis)
  • • Kharris L
  • • 🇿🇦: forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • • Rottgering M: forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.33→1.40 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Kharris L
  • • 🇿🇦: probability 64% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.41)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Harris L - Rottgering M August 13, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Harris L.

Line favourite Fonbet: Harris L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 13.00
  • Glicko: Harris L 64.3% / Rottgering M 35.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.1% 6 books · best price +5.0%
1 ✓ Pick 66.7%
2 33.3%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.33 ↑ 1.42
Winner 2 3.05 ↓ 2.65

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Harris L
66%
1.47
Rottgering M
34%
13.00
Total
Over 22.5
49%
9.50
Under 22.5
51%
1.87

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Harris L
6-4WLLWLWLWWW
scored 1.5conceded 1.0
Rottgering M
6-4LLWWLWLWWW
scored 1.3conceded 0.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying

Qualification round 1
Boyer, Tristan2
Forbes, Matthew1
Dickerson, Ryan0
Mayo, Aidan2
Puttergill, Calum0
King, Evan2
Dieveney, Eli0
Fenty, Andrew2
Winter, Edward2
Mosejczuk, Dominick0
Manning, William0
Young, Gavin2
Jubb, Paul1
Rai, Ajeet2
Alvarado, Patricio0
Vandecasteele, Quinn2
Johns, Garrett0
Chandrasekar, Anirudh0
Kittay, Benjamin0
Rottgering, Mees2
Suresh, Dhakshineswar2
Godoy, Sebastian0
Hilderbrand, Trey0
Kim, Aidan2
Qualification Final
Boyer, Tristan0
Mayo, Aidan2
King, Evan0
Fenty, Andrew2
Winter, Edward2
Young, Gavin0
Rai, Ajeet0
Vandecasteele, Quinn2
Johns, Garrett0
Rottgering, Mees2
Suresh, Dhakshineswar2
Kim, Aidan0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

Match center
Start 13.08.2026 21:10 UTC
Market 1 92.8% @ 1.01 / 2 7.2% @ 13.00
Coverage grass
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Harris L 64%
💹 Market Harris L 67%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Harris L - Rottgering M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Harris L Rottgering M Result
Set 1 7 5 7:5
Set 2 6 4 6:4
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 64.3% fact: home hit / ROI 47.0% / Brier 0.254 / LogLoss 0.441
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 51.7% fact: home hit / ROI 47.0% / Brier 0.466 / LogLoss 0.659
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Harris L 66.1% 58.4% market and model agree
Rottgering M 33.9% 41.6% market and model agree
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko64.3% · +Elo prior (weight0.48).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 64.3% / 35.7% probabilities
Rating 1,587 / 1,697 Harris L / Rottgering M
RD 224 / 185 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,139-2,036 / 1,327-2,066 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.74 market consensus · no value · model 35.7%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 64.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 2.95 market consensus · line only
Over 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
— — 1.57 63.7% —
— — 1.10 90.9% —
— — 1.01 99.0% —
1.97 50.8% 1.98 50.5% 1.01 99.0% 1.95 51.3%
— — 4.10 24.4% —
1.76 56.8% 1.74 57.5% — 1.79 55.9%
— — 2.25 44.4% —
— — 5.40 18.5% —
— — 12.00 8.3% —
— — 11.00 9.1% —
— — 1.19 84.0% —

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
10.00 10.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 21.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 22.5 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 9.50 10.5%
Over 23.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 24.5 — — 10.50 9.5%
Over 25.5 — — 11.00 9.1%
Over 27.5 — — 2.02 49.5%
Over 28.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 29.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 30.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
Under 20.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Under 21.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Under 22.5 1.81 55.3% 1.78 56.2% 1.02 98.0%
Under 23.5 — — 1.88 53.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Harris L
W L W L W
2026-08-12 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Harris L Harris L 2:0 Fenty A
2026-08-05 2026 Lexington, USA
Harris L Harris L 1:2 Lajovic D
2026-08-03 2026 Lexington, USA
Harris L Searle H 1:2 Harris L
2026-07-23 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Harris L Michelsen A 2:0 Harris L
2026-07-20 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Harris L Echargui M 0:2 Harris L
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Rottgering M
W W W L W
2026-08-12 2026 Brownsburg, USA
Searle H 0:2 Rottgering M Rottgering M
2026-08-10 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying
Johns G 0:2 Rottgering M Rottgering M
2026-08-09 2026 Brownsburg, USA, Qualifying
Kittay B 0:2 Rottgering M Rottgering M
2026-08-03 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Shelbayh A 2:0 Rottgering M Rottgering M
2026-08-02 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Nakashima Bryce 0:2 Rottgering M Rottgering M
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHarris L - Rottgering M

Harris L
0 matches total
Rottgering M
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Recent form

Harris L WWLWLW
Rottgering M LWWWLW

More predictions

Harris L – Wendelken H 15.08 Milavsky D – Harris L 15.08 Dellavedova M – Ogura K 15.08 Chung Yunseong – Jasika O 15.08 Yuan Chengyiyi – Shao Yushan 15.08 Leong S L X – Naklo T 15.08

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Harris L vs Rottgering M?

By the PropickAI model, Harris L is favoured — about 64% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Harris L vs Rottgering M?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Harris L. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Harris L vs Rottgering M start?

August 13, 2026.