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Shang Juncheng — Rublev A

Tennis 04.08.2026 20:20 UTC
Favourite Rublev A best odds 2.75

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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ATP. Cincinnati. Hard
ATP. Cincinnati. Hard International
2nd round 04.08.2026 20:20 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H –Prediction
04.08.2026 20:20 UTC 2nd round
Finished

ATP. Cincinnati. Hard

Shang Juncheng - Rublev A

International Tennis
Shang Juncheng
Shang Juncheng
2 : 1
7:5 4:6 7:6
Finished
Rublev A
Rublev A

Shang Juncheng take on Rublev A on August 4, 2026 in the ATP. Cincinnati. Hard, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Shang Juncheng 1-0-4, Rublev A 4-0-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Rublev A (odds1.22) Score 0:2 confidence 76% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Shan Tszyunchen: forma V (1-0)
  • • Rublev A: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • liniya na pik P2 1.13→1.20 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Rublev A: probability 76% vs 82% on the line (odds 1.22)
  • • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shang Juncheng - Rublev A August 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shang Juncheng. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.42 / 2 2.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.0% 4 books · best price +119.1%
1 24.8%
2 75.2%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Shang Juncheng
24%
4.10
Rublev A
76%
2.75
Total
Over 22.5
47%
3.45
Under 22.5
53%
1.81

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Shang Juncheng
4-6WLWLLLLWWL
sets for 1.1sets against 1.5
Rublev A
6-4LLWWWWWLLW
sets for 1.6sets against 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Montreal, Canada

1/64-finals (R128)
Sonego, Lorenzo0
Griekspoor, Tallon2
Mochizuki, Shintaro0
Marozsan, Fabian2
Merida, Daniel2
Draxl, Liam1
Michelsen, Alex2
Struff, Jan-Lennard1
Majchrzak, Kamil0
Monfils, Gael2
Carreno Busta, Pablo1
Royer, Valentin2
Popyrin, Alexei2
Burruchaga, Roman Andres1
Chan, Duncan1
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Mpetshi Perricard, Giovanni1
Van de Zandschulp, Botic2
Hurkacz, Hubert2
Giron, Marcos1
Atmane, Terence2
Draper, Jack1
Fearnley, Jacob2
Mannarino, Adrian0
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel2
Medjedovic, Hamad0
Damm Jr, Martin0
Tsitsipas, Stefanos2
Baez, Sebastian2
Bellucci, Mattia0
Walton, Adam0
Brooksby, Jenson2
Galarneau, Alexis0
Kopriva, Vit2
Munar, Jaume2
Hijikata, Rinky0
Fucsovics, Marton0
Moutet, Corentin2
Mejia, Nicolas2
Landaluce, Martin1
Berrettini, Matteo1
Navone, Mariano2
Svajda, Zachary0
Shapovalov, Denis0
Ugo Carabelli, Camilo0
Norrie, Cameron2
Duckworth, James2
O'Connell, Christopher0
Bonzi, Benjamin1
Hanfmann, Yannick2
Kovacevic, Aleksandar1
Borges, Nuno2
Diallo, Gabriel2
Jacquet, Kyrian1
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel0
Shang, Juncheng2
Shimabukuro, Sho0
Cilic, Marin2
Zheng, Michael1
Kecmanovic, Miomir2
Vukic, Aleksandar1
Altmaier, Daniel2
Van Assche, Luca1
Droguet, Titouan2
1/32-finals (R64)
Zverev, Alexander1
Griekspoor, Tallon2
Marozsan, Fabian1
Arnaldi, Matteo2
Humbert, Ugo0
Merida, Daniel2
Michelsen, Alex2
Cerundolo, Francisco0
Tien, Learner2
Monfils, Gael1
Royer, Valentin0
Paul, Tommy2
Collignon, Raphael0
Popyrin, Alexei2
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Fritz, Taylor0
Medvedev, Daniil0
Van de Zandschulp, Botic2
Hurkacz, Hubert2
Tabilo, Alejandro0
Khachanov, Karen0
Atmane, Terence2
Fearnley, Jacob1
Mensik, Jakub2
Ruud, Casper2
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel0
Tsitsipas, Stefanos0
Fonseca, Joao2
Bergs, Zizou2
Baez, Sebastian1
Brooksby, Jenson0
Shelton, Ben2
Lehecka, Jiri2
Kopriva, Vit0
Munar, Jaume0
Blockx, Alexander0
Jodar, Rafael2
Moutet, Corentin1
Mejia, Nicolas0
Musetti, Lorenzo2
Vacherot, Valentin1
Navone, Mariano2
Svajda, Zachary1
Fils, Arthur2
Buse, Ignacio0
Norrie, Cameron2
Duckworth, James0
de Minaur, Alex2
Cobolli, Flavio0
Hanfmann, Yannick2
Borges, Nuno2
Etcheverry, Tomas Martin0
Darderi, Luciano0
Diallo, Gabriel0
Shang, Juncheng2
Rublev, Andrey1
Tiafoe, Frances2
Cilic, Marin1
Kecmanovic, Miomir1
Rinderknech, Arthur2
Nakashima, Brandon2
Altmaier, Daniel0
Droguet, Titouan2
Faria, Jaime0
1/16-finals (R32)
Griekspoor, Tallon2
Arnaldi, Matteo1
Merida, Daniel2
Michelsen, Alex1
Tien, Learner2
Paul, Tommy0
Popyrin, Alexei0
Tirante, Thiago Agustin2
Van de Zandschulp, Botic2
Hurkacz, Hubert1
Atmane, Terence0
Mensik, Jakub2
Ruud, Casper0
Fonseca, Joao2
Bergs, Zizou0
Shelton, Ben2
Lehecka, Jiri2
Blockx, Alexander0
Jodar, Rafael2
Musetti, Lorenzo0
Navone, Mariano0
Fils, Arthur2
Norrie, Cameron2
de Minaur, Alex1
Hanfmann, Yannick0
Borges, Nuno2
Darderi, Luciano2
Shang, Juncheng1
Tiafoe, Frances0
Rinderknech, Arthur0
Nakashima, Brandon2
Droguet, Titouan1
1/8-finals (R16)
Griekspoor, Tallon0
Merida, Daniel2
Tien, Learner2
Tirante, Thiago Agustin0
Van de Zandschulp, Botic0
Mensik, Jakub2
Fonseca, Joao0
Shelton, Ben2
Lehecka, Jiri0
Jodar, Rafael2
Fils, Arthur2
Norrie, Cameron0
Borges, Nuno1
Darderi, Luciano2
Rinderknech, Arthur1
Nakashima, Brandon2
Quarterfinals
Merida, Daniel0
Tien, Learner2
Mensik, Jakub0
Shelton, Ben2
Jodar, Rafael2
Fils, Arthur0
Darderi, Luciano0
Nakashima, Brandon2
Semifinals
Tien, Learner0
Shelton, Ben2
Jodar, Rafael0
Nakashima, Brandon2
Final
Shelton, Ben0
Nakashima, Brandon0

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium IGA Stadium. Kort Rodzhers
Start 04.08.2026 20:20 UTC
Market 1 65.9% @ 1.42 / 2 34.1% @ 2.75
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Match center

Shang Juncheng - Rublev A

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Tszyunchen Shan - Andrey Rublev. Monreal. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 73.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.070 / LogLoss 1.314
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 52.8% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.557 / LogLoss 0.750
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.75 Fonbet · line only
1 1.42 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% —
1.68 59.5% — —
— — 1.42 70.4%
— — 1.85 54.1%
— — 3.25 30.8%
— — 1.20 83.3%
— — 3.50 28.6%
— — 2.50 40.0%
— — 3.25 30.8%
— — 2.75 36.4%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.73 57.8%
1.71 58.5% 1.76 56.8% 3.95 25.3%
2.17 46.1% — 1.09 91.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
Over 20.5 — — 1.52 65.8%
Over 21.5 1.76 56.8% — 1.68 59.5%
Over 22.5 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 3.45 29.0%
Over 23.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 24.5 — — 3.70 27.0%
Over 25.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 26.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 27.5 — — 3.00 33.3%
Over 29.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
Over 30.5 — — 1.25 80.0%
Over 31.5 — — 3.90 25.6%
Under 21.5 2.05 48.8% — —
Under 22.5 1.78 56.2% 1.81 55.3% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
4.10 24.4% 3.80 26.3% 1.42 70.4% 3.80 26.3%
1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4% 2.75 36.4% 1.25 80.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-1
2026-08-04 · Tszyunchen Shan 2:1 Andrey Rublev
2024-01-06 · Tszyunchen Shan 1:2 Andrey Rublev
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 6.1 (Pari) · 2 1.21 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 6.1 1.13
Winline 4.4 1.21
Fonbet 5.6 1.14
Betcity 4.6 1.2
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

5 Eysy 12
3 Dvoynye oshibki 8
7 Vsego breyk-poyntov 15
4 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 4
123 Vyigrannye Points 114
79 Points na podache 67
47 Poteryannye Points na podache 44
78 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 61
45 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 42
44 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 42
35 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 25
10 Maks. ochkov podryad 7
6 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 4
13 Geymy na podache 13
18 Vyigrannye geymy 17
3 Maks. geymov podryad 4
1 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Shang Juncheng
W L L L L
2026-08-02 2026 Montreal, Canada
Shang Juncheng Vallejo A D 0:2 Shang Juncheng
2026-07-27 2026 Washington, USA
Shang Juncheng Nishikori K 2:1 Shang Juncheng
2026-02-24 2026 Dubai, UAE
Shang Juncheng Medvedev D 2:0 Shang Juncheng
2026-02-16 2026 Doha, Qatar
Shang Juncheng Medvedev D 2:0 Shang Juncheng
2026-01-22 2026 Australian Open, Melbourne, Australia
Shang Juncheng Van de Zandschulp B 3:0 Shang Juncheng
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Rublev A
L W W W W
2026-07-24 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Rublev A 1:2 Van Assche L Rublev A
2026-07-23 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Rublev A 2:0 Skatov T Rublev A
2026-07-19 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Rublev A 2:0 Darderi L Rublev A
2026-07-18 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Rublev A 2:1 Tabilo A Rublev A
2026-07-17 2026 Bastad, Sweden
Rublev A 2:0 Baez S Rublev A
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.6 Sets lost
80% Win percentage

More predictions

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Frequently asked questions

When does Shang Juncheng vs Rublev A start?

August 4, 2026.