PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
English

AI verdict

AI pick Mpetshi Perricard G win probability ~58% confidence Medium best odds 1.70

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Mpetshi Perricard G. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles International
11.08.2026 17:38 UTC Match prediction

Mpetshi Perricard G - Svajda T

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles hard 11.08.2026 17:38 UTC Finished
11.08.2026 17:38 UTC Finished
Mpetshi Perricard G
Mpetshi Perricard G
Rank #91 Elo 690
45Struggling Form
L L L W W L W W
Svajda T
Svajda T
Rank #383 Elo 129
55Average Form
W W L W W L L L
1:2 1:6 6:1 2:6
1 2 3 GP
Mpetshi Perricard G 1 6 2 1
Svajda T 6 1 6 2
1 2 3
Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
#91 Rating #383
23 Age 20
2.03m Height (cm) 1.75m
98kg Weight (kg) 69kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Mpetshi Perricard G Svajda T
Aces per match 15.67 3.27
Double faults per match 2.96 2.2
Breaks per match 1.56 2.4

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Rank:91 Elo: 690
L L L W W L W W
Trevor Svajda
Rank:383 Elo: 129
W W L W W L L L
Elo favourite:Mpetshi Perricard G (edge +561 Elo)

Hard

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardTrevor Svajda
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 46.7% 7 / 15 Matches 55.0% 11 / 20 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 45.5% 15 / 33 Matches 58.1% 18 / 31 Matches

Clay

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardTrevor Svajda
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Grass

Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardTrevor Svajda
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 66.7% 4 / 6 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 4 / 6 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Trevor Svajda
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 45.2% 14 / 31 Matches 55.0% 11 / 20 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 44.0% 22 / 50 Matches 58.1% 18 / 31 Matches
Current rank 91 383

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Trevor Svajda
Prize money (career) $1,698,874 USD $35,793 USD
Rating 91 383
Age 23 20
Height 2.03m 1.75m
Weight 98kg 69kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Trevor Svajda
Match Wins 45 % 55 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 52 % 55 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 0 % N/A
Wins in Straight Sets 19 % 40 %
Wins From Behind 19 % 10 %
Won At Least 1 Set 74 % 65 %
Set 1 Win 45 % 55 %
Set 2 Win 45 % 50 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Match stats (live, tennisstats)

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Trevor Svajda
Aces 8 3
Double Faults 1 1
1st serve percentage 57% 59%
1st serve points won 68% (23/34) 79% (30/38)
2nd serve points won 46% (12/26) 50% (13/26)
Break Points Saved 2/5 3/5
1st return points won 26% (10/38) 32% (11/34)
2nd return points won 50% (13/26) 54% (14/26)
Break Points Converted 2/5 3/5
Winners 18 17
Unforced errors 30 20
Net points won 60% (9/15) 67% (8/12)
Service Points Won 59% (35/59) 67% (43/64)
Return Points Won 33% (21/64) 41% (24/59)
Total Points Won 46% (56/123) 54% (67/123)
Last 10 balls 3 7
Match points saved 0 0
Service games won 70% (7/10) 80% (8/10)
Return games won 20% (2/10) 30% (3/10)
Total games won 45% (9/20) 55% (11/20)

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Trevor Svajda Match total
Average Games in a Set 10.29 9.5 9.9
Over 6.5 96 % 95 % 96 %
Over 7.5 93 % 85 % 89 %
Over 8.5 81 % 65 % 73 %
Over 9.5 63 % 50 % 57 %
Over 10.5 30 % 20 % 25 %
Over 11.5 30 % 20 % 25 %

Aces

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Trevor Svajda Match total
Aces Per Match 15.67 3.27 18.94
Most Aces in a match 85 % 33 % N/A
1+ 100 % 93 % 100 %
2+ 96 % 67 % 94 %
3+ 96 % 53 % 92 %
4+ 96 % 33 % 85 %
5+ 93 % 27 % 85 %

Breaks

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Trevor Svajda Match total
Breaks Per Match 1.56 2.4 3.96
Over 0.5 93 % 73 % 100 %
Over 1.5 7 % 67 % 100 %
Over 2.5 0 % 60 % 78 %
Over 3.5 0 % 7 % 60 %
Over 4.5 0 % 7 % 36 %
Over 5.5 0 % 7 % 7 %

Tie-breaks

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Trevor Svajda Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.89 0.5 0.69
Over 0.5 63 % 50 % 56 %
Over 1.5 22 % 0 % 11 %
Under 0.5 37 % 50 % 56 %
Under 1.5 78 % 100 % 11 %

Double faults

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Trevor Svajda Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.96 2.2 5.16
Over 0.5 (1+) 96 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 74 % 80 % 97 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 48 % 33 % 95 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 33 % 7 % 71 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 19 % 0 % 50 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 15 % 0 % 37 %

Net points

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Trevor Svajda Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 9.42 5.5 14.92
Over 4.5 (5+) 73 % 71 % 72 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 69 % 57 % 63 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 65 % 43 % 54 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 62 % 29 % 46 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 54 % 14 % 34 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 38 % 14 % 26 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.70 59.3% BetBoom
P2 2.48 40.7% BetBoom

Mpetshi Perricard G go head-to-head with Svajda T on August 11, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mpetshi Perricard G 2-0-3, Svajda T 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 58% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Mpetshi Perricard G — 58%

1 · Mpetshi Perricard G57.8%
2 · Svajda T42.2%

Model estimate: win Mpetshi Perricard G 57.8%, win Svajda T 42.2%. Model favourite — Mpetshi Perricard G.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mpetshi Perricard G (odds1.40) Score 2:1 confidence 66% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Mpetshi-Perrikar Dzh: forma P (0-1)
  • • Svayda T: forma PVPVP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Mpetshi-Perrikar Dzh: probability 66% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.40)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mpetshi Perricard G - Svajda T August 11, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mpetshi Perricard G.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mpetshi Perricard G. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.70 / 2 2.10
  • Glicko: Mpetshi Perricard G 57.8% / Svajda T 42.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.4% 5 books · best price +10.4%
1 60.4%
2 39.6%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.40 ↑ 1.70
Winner 2 3.00 ↓ 2.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Mpetshi Perricard G
61%
1.70
Svajda T
39%
2.48
Total
Over 23.5
48%
2.00
Under 23.5
52%
2.35

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Mpetshi Perricard G
4-6LLWWLWWLLL
scored 1.2conceded 1.5
Svajda T
5-5LWLLWWLWLW
scored 1.2conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.08.2026 16:48 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score2:0 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 1-0
AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 65% 35% 2:0 Over 22.5
Match center
Start 11.08.2026 17:38 UTC
Market 1 55.3% @ 1.70 / 2 44.7% @ 2.10
Coverage hard
Form 4 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Mpetshi Perricard G 65%
📐 Math model Mpetshi Perricard G 58%
💹 Market Mpetshi Perricard G 60%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

My virtual bank & leaderboard →
Match center

Mpetshi Perricard G - Svajda T

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 24
Set Mpetshi Perricard G Svajda T Result
Set 1 1 6 1:6
Set 2 6 1 6:1
Set 3 2 6 2:6
Metric Mpetshi Perricard G Svajda T SStats
Nevynuzhdennye oshibki 30 20 final
Vinnery 18 17 final
Breyk-poynty realizovany 2/5 3/5 final
Points na prieme 33% (21/64) 41% (24/59) final
Eysy 8 3 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 2/5 3/5 final
Dvoynye oshibki 1 1 final
Pervaya podacha, % 57% 59% final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 57.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.668 / LogLoss 0.863
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 50.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.519 / LogLoss 0.712
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mpetshi Perricard G 59.3% 56.5% market and model agree
Svajda T 40.7% 43.5% market and model agree
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko57.8% · +Elo prior (weight0.58).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 57.8% / 42.2% probabilities
Rating 1,289 / 1,544 Mpetshi Perricard G / Svajda T
RD 285 / 180 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 718-1,860 / 1,184-1,903 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.10 Fonbet · no value · model 42.2%
1 1.70 Fonbet · no value · model 57.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
Over 17.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.94 51.6% 2.06 48.5% —
2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% —
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 1.75 57.1%
1.79 55.9% 1.76 56.8% 1.92 52.1%
1.71 58.5% 1.72 58.1% 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.45 69.0%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 1.55 64.5%
— — 1.78 56.2%
— — 1.47 68.0%
— — 1.25 80.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.06 94.3%
12.50 8.0%
1.01 99.0%
7.60 13.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 17.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 19.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 20.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Over 21.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 22.5 1.74 57.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.82 55.0%
Over 23.5 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.57 63.7%
Over 24.5 — 2.00 50.0% 2.25 44.4%
Over 25.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
Under 22.5 2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5% —
Under 23.5 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% —
Under 24.5 — 1.80 55.6% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.06 94.3%
Under 2.5 7.60 13.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2026-08-11 · Dzhovanni Mpetshi-Perrikar 1:2 Trevor Svayda
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.61 (Betcity) · 2 2.45 (Winline)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.57 2.4
Winline 1.55 2.45
Fonbet 1.57 2.4
Betcity 1.61 2.3
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

8 Eysy 3
1 Dvoynye oshibki 1
5 Vsego breyk-poyntov 7
2 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 4
58 Vyigrannye Points 73
37 Points na podache 45
28 Poteryannye Points na podache 21
37 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 39
27 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 26
24 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 31
13 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 14
6 Maks. ochkov podryad 6
3 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 7
7 Geymy na podache 9
9 Vyigrannye geymy 13
5 Maks. geymov podryad 5
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Mpetshi Perricard G
L L L W W
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Mpetshi Perricard G Mpetshi Perricard G 1:2 Van de Zandschulp B
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Mpetshi Perricard G Hanfmann Y 3:1 Mpetshi Perricard G
2026-06-15 2026 London, Great Britain
Mpetshi Perricard G Mpetshi Perricard G 1:2 Moutet C
2026-06-14 2026 London, Great Britain, Qualifying
Mpetshi Perricard G Kovacevic A 0:2 Mpetshi Perricard G
2026-06-13 2026 London, Great Britain, Qualifying
Mpetshi Perricard G Monday J 0:2 Mpetshi Perricard G
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Svajda T
L W L W W
2026-08-03 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Martin Andres 2:0 Svajda T Svajda T
2026-08-02 2026 Lexington, USA, Qualifying
Stephenson E 0:2 Svajda T Svajda T
2026-07-28 2026 Washington, USA
Svajda T 1:2 Mensik J Svajda T
2026-07-26 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
McDonald M 0:2 Svajda T Svajda T
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
Svajda T 2:0 Ymer E Svajda T
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage

More predictions

Marozsan F – Zheng Michael 15.08 Landaluce M – Arnaldi M 15.08 Kecmanovic M – Cobolli F 15.08 Blockx A – Navone M 15.08 Bellucci M – Mensik J 15.08 Djokovic N – Tirante T A 15.08

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mpetshi Perricard G vs Svajda T?

By the PropickAI model, Mpetshi Perricard G is favoured — about 58% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Mpetshi Perricard G vs Svajda T?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Mpetshi Perricard G. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Mpetshi Perricard G vs Svajda T start?

August 11, 2026.