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AI verdict

AI pick O'Connell C win probability ~76% confidence High best odds 1.12

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to O'Connell C. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles International
11.08.2026 16:06 UTC Match prediction

O'Connell C - Sweeny D

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles hard 11.08.2026 16:06 UTC Finished
11.08.2026 16:06 UTC Finished
O'Connell C
O'Connell C
Rank #133 Elo 461
46Struggling Form
L W L L W W W W
Sweeny D
Sweeny D
Rank #122 Elo 518
55Average Form
L W W W W W W L
2:1 6:7 6:2 7:5
1 2 3 GP
O'Connell C 6 6 7 2
Sweeny D 7 2 5 1
1 2 3
Coverage: hard
Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
#133 Rating #122
32 Age 25
1.83m Height (cm) 1.70m
78kg Weight (kg) 63kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

O'Connell C Sweeny D
Aces per match 7.09 2.84
Double faults per match 1.27 3.55
Breaks per match 1.82 2.88

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Christopher O'Connell
Rank:133 Elo: 461
L W L L W W W W
Dane Sweeny
Rank:122 Elo: 518
L W W W W W W L
Elo favourite:Sweeny D (edge +57 Elo)

Hard

Christopher O'ConnellDane Sweeny
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 10 / 20 Matches 53.1% 17 / 32 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 51.5% 17 / 33 Matches 75.9% 66 / 87 Matches

Clay

Christopher O'ConnellDane Sweeny
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 6 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 6 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches

Grass

Christopher O'ConnellDane Sweeny
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 71.4% 5 / 7 Matches 60.0% 3 / 5 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 71.4% 5 / 7 Matches 60.0% 3 / 5 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Christopher O'Connell Dane Sweeny
H2H wins 1 (50.0%) 1 (50.0%)
Sets 3 (60.0%) 2 (40.0%)
Wins this year 46.0% 17 / 37 Matches 54.6% 24 / 44 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 47.1% 24 / 51 Matches 74.0% 74 / 100 Matches
Current rank 133 122

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Christopher O'Connell Dane Sweeny
Prize money (career) $3,016,545 USD $453,765 USD
Rating 133 122
Age 32 25
Height 1.83m 1.70m
Weight 78kg 63kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Christopher O'Connell Dane Sweeny
Match Wins 46 % 55 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 45 % 53 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 50 % 80 %
Wins in Straight Sets 35 % 34 %
Wins From Behind 13 % 23 %
Won At Least 1 Set 65 % 75 %
Set 1 Win 46 % 55 %
Set 2 Win 54 % 53 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Jan 4 2026 Brisbane ATP (Hard) Christopher O'Connell 1 – 2 Dane Sweeny
Apr 11 2023 Split Chall. Men (Clay) Christopher O'Connell 2 – 0 Dane Sweeny

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Christopher O'Connell Dane Sweeny Match total
Average Games in a Set 10.78 9.93 10.36
Over 6.5 100 % 95 % 98 %
Over 7.5 100 % 84 % 92 %
Over 8.5 88 % 76 % 82 %
Over 9.5 73 % 50 % 62 %
Over 10.5 42 % 32 % 37 %
Over 11.5 42 % 32 % 37 %

Aces

Christopher O'Connell Dane Sweeny Match total
Aces Per Match 7.09 2.84 9.93
Most Aces in a match 58 % 26 % N/A
1+ 100 % 84 % 99 %
2+ 100 % 74 % 96 %
3+ 94 % 58 % 93 %
4+ 82 % 39 % 91 %
5+ 73 % 21 % 87 %

Breaks

Christopher O'Connell Dane Sweeny Match total
Breaks Per Match 1.82 2.88 4.7
Over 0.5 94 % 58 % 99 %
Over 1.5 39 % 58 % 98 %
Over 2.5 12 % 58 % 86 %
Over 3.5 6 % 8 % 81 %
Over 4.5 0 % 8 % 32 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 27 %

Tie-breaks

Christopher O'Connell Dane Sweeny Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.58 0.53 0.55
Over 0.5 45 % 39 % 42 %
Over 1.5 9 % 13 % 11 %
Under 0.5 55 % 61 % 42 %
Under 1.5 91 % 87 % 11 %

Double faults

Christopher O'Connell Dane Sweeny Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.27 3.55 4.82
Over 0.5 (1+) 67 % 92 % 97 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 33 % 76 % 92 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 15 % 58 % 82 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 6 % 55 % 69 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 3 % 34 % 59 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 3 % 21 % 44 %

Net points

Christopher O'Connell Dane Sweeny Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.25 8.93 16.18
Over 4.5 (5+) 58 % 57 % 58 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 46 % 54 % 50 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 42 % 39 % 41 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 38 % 36 % 37 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 25 % 29 % 27 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 21 % 25 % 23 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.53 78.5% BetBoom
P2 5.60 21.5% BetBoom

O'Connell C go head-to-head with Sweeny D on August 11, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): O'Connell C 2-0-3, Sweeny D 1-0-4. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 76% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 O'Connell C — 76%

1 · O'Connell C ✓ Pick75.6%
market 63%
2 · Sweeny D24.4%
market 37%

Model estimate: win O'Connell C 75.6%, win Sweeny D 24.4%. Model favourite — O'Connell C.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1O'Connell C (odds1.73) Score 2:1 confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • O'Konnell K: forma PPV (1-2)
  • • Suini D: forma PPV (1-2)
  • • Model backs O'Konnell K: probability 54% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.73)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction O'Connell C - Sweeny D August 11, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like O'Connell C.

Line favourite Fonbet: O'Connell C. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.12 / 2 5.60
  • Glicko: O'Connell C 75.6% / Sweeny D 24.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.1% 5 books · best price +2.0%
1 ✓ Pick 62.7%
2 37.4%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
O'Connell C
62%
1.53
Sweeny D
38%
5.60
Total
Over 22.5
48%
2.05
Under 22.5
52%
2.40

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

O'Connell C
7-3WWWWLLWLWW
scored 1.5conceded 0.9
Sweeny D

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.08.2026 15:09 UTC
1 55% ✓ favourite
2 45%
Score2:1 Total games: Over 22.5 Bet:Over 22.5
Per AI data H2H: 0:1
AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 55% 45% 2:1 Over 22.5 Over 22.5
Match center
Start 11.08.2026 16:06 UTC
Market 1 83.3% @ 1.12 / 2 16.7% @ 5.60
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models O'Connell C 55%
📐 Math model O'Connell C 76%
💹 Market O'Connell C 63%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

O'Connell C - Sweeny D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set O'Connell C Sweeny D Result
Set 1 6 7 6:7
Set 2 6 2 6:2
Set 3 7 5 7:5
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 75.6% fact: home hit / Brier 0.119 / LogLoss 0.279
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage home - 53.1% fact: home hit / Brier 0.440 / LogLoss 0.633
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
O'Connell C 78.5% 62.7% model more cautious than market
Sweeny D 21.5% 37.3%
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko75.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.50).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 75.6% / 24.4% probabilities
Rating 1,367 / 1,447 O'Connell C / Sweeny D
RD 214 / 203 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 938-1,796 / 1,041-1,853 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.60 Fonbet · no value · model 24.4%
1 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 75.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.00 market consensus · line only
Over 19.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.93 51.8%
— 1.85 54.1% —
1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% —
— — 1.68 59.5%
— 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%
1.98 50.5% 2.02 49.5% 2.30 43.5%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 2.95 33.9%
— — 1.82 55.0%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 5.20 19.2%
— — 2.45 40.8%
— — 1.27 78.7%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
11.00 9.1%
1.01 99.0%
11.50 8.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 19.5 — — 1.35 74.1%
Over 20.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 21.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 22.5 1.94 51.6% 2.05 48.8% 1.55 64.5%
Over 23.5 — — 2.55 39.2%
Over 24.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
Over 25.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 26.5 — — 2.70 37.0%
Over 28.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 29.5 — — 1.30 76.9%
Over 30.5 — — 1.25 80.0%
Over 31.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
Over 33.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
Under 19.5 — — 2.95 33.9%
Under 22.5 1.79 55.9% 1.77 56.5% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.02 98.0%
Under 2.5 11.50 8.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-1
2026-08-11 · Kristofer O`Konnell 2:1 Deyn Suini
2026-01-04 · Kristofer O`Konnell 1:2 Deyn Suini
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.55 (Winline) · 2 2.55 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.52 2.55
Winline 1.55 2.45
Fonbet 1.52 2.55
Betcity 1.54 2.48
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

9 Eysy 6
2 Dvoynye oshibki 8
9 Vsego breyk-poyntov 7
6 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 3
111 Vyigrannye Points 91
64 Points na podache 59
32 Poteryannye Points na podache 47
57 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 65
38 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 34
38 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 39
26 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 20
8 Maks. ochkov podryad 6
6 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 4
13 Geymy na podache 10
19 Vyigrannye geymy 14
7 Maks. geymov podryad 3
0 Tay-breyk 1
Source: ruscore
O'Connell C
L W L L W
2026-08-03 2026 Montreal, Canada
O'Connell C Duckworth J 2:0 O'Connell C
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
O'Connell C Faria J 1:2 O'Connell C
2026-07-25 2026 Washington, USA, Qualifying
O'Connell C O'Connell C 1:2 Martin Andres
2026-06-25 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 3rd Round
O'Connell C McDonald M 3:0 O'Connell C
2026-06-24 2026 Wimbledon, London, GB, Qualifying, 1st - 2nd Round
O'Connell C Tomic B 0:2 O'Connell C
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage
Sweeny D
L L W L L
2026-08-01 2026 Montreal, Canada, Qualifying
Mochizuki S 2:1 Sweeny D Sweeny D
2026-07-29 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Sweeny D 0:2 Milavsky D Sweeny D
2026-07-28 2026 Vancouver, Canada
Sweeny D 2:0 Chan Duncan Sweeny D
2026-07-21 2026 Bloomfield Hills, USA
Martin Andres 2:1 Sweeny D Sweeny D
2026-06-30 2026 Wimbledon, London, Great Britain
Sweeny D 0:3 Dimitrov G Sweeny D
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyO'Connell C - Sweeny D

O'Connell C
0 matches total
Sweeny D
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

More predictions

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in O'Connell C vs Sweeny D?

By the PropickAI model, O'Connell C is favoured — about 76% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for O'Connell C vs Sweeny D?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to O'Connell C. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does O'Connell C vs Sweeny D start?

August 11, 2026.