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AI verdict

AI pick Van Assche L win probability ~67% confidence High best odds 1.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Van Assche L. Full breakdown below.

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ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles International
13.08.2026 00:40 UTC Match prediction

Van Assche L - Lajovic D

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles
ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles hard 13.08.2026 00:40 UTC Finished
13.08.2026 00:40 UTC Finished
Van Assche L
Van Assche L
Rank #149 Elo 378
52Average Form
W L W W W L L W
Lajovic D
Lajovic D
Rank #49 Elo 998
67Average Form
W W L L L L W W
2:1 7:6 2:6 6:3
1 2 3 GP
Van Assche L 7 2 6 2
Lajovic D 6 6 3 1
1 2 3
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Van Assche L Lajovic D
Win % 0% 46.9%
Hard % 0% 39.8%
Clay % 0% 53.6%
Grass % 0% 31.2%
Deciding set % 0% 47.6%
Tie-breaks % 0% 45.7%
Titles (total) 0 4
Last 10 L WLWWWLLLLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#149 Rating #49
36 Age 22
1.83m Height (cm) 1.78m
83kg Weight (kg) 72kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Van Assche L Lajovic D
Aces per match 4.05 2.90
Double faults per match 1.73 3.13
Breaks per match 2.9 2.13

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Dusan Lajovic
Rank:149 Elo: 378
W L W W W L L W
Luca van Assche
Rank:49 Elo: 998
W W L L L L W W
Elo favourite:Van Assche L (edge +620 Elo)

Hard

Dusan LajovicLuca van Assche
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 66.7% 8 / 12 Matches 73.1% 19 / 26 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 52.6% 10 / 19 Matches 66.7% 28 / 42 Matches

Clay

Dusan LajovicLuca van Assche
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 46.4% 13 / 28 Matches 65.4% 17 / 26 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 48.7% 18 / 37 Matches 65.4% 17 / 26 Matches

Grass

Dusan LajovicLuca van Assche
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 66.7% 2 / 3 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 2 / 3 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Dusan Lajovic Luca van Assche
H2H wins 1 (33.3%) 2 (66.7%)
Sets 3 (42.9%) 4 (57.1%)
Wins this year 52.3% 23 / 44 Matches 67.3% 37 / 55 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 50.0% 30 / 60 Matches 64.8% 46 / 71 Matches
Current rank 149 49

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Dusan Lajovic Luca van Assche
Prize money (career) $10,297,618 USD $1,626,984 USD
Rating 149 49
Age 36 22
Height 1.83m 1.78m
Weight 83kg 72kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Dusan Lajovic Luca van Assche
Match Wins 52 % 67 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 53 % 69 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 67 % 50 %
Wins in Straight Sets 32 % 42 %
Wins From Behind 16 % 28 %
Won At Least 1 Set 73 % 84 %
Set 1 Win 57 % 58 %
Set 2 Win 49 % 69 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Jul 13 2026 Umag ATP (Clay) Dusan Lajovic 1 – 2 Luca van Assche
Aug 19 2025 US Open ATP (Hard) Dusan Lajovic 0 – 2 Luca van Assche
Oct 4 2022 Parma 2 Chall. Men (Clay) Dusan Lajovic 2 – 0 Luca van Assche

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Dusan Lajovic Luca van Assche Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.52 9.33 9.43
Over 6.5 93 % 96 % 95 %
Over 7.5 88 % 83 % 86 %
Over 8.5 70 % 69 % 70 %
Over 9.5 48 % 37 % 43 %
Over 10.5 23 % 15 % 19 %
Over 11.5 23 % 15 % 19 %

Aces

Dusan Lajovic Luca van Assche Match total
Aces Per Match 4.05 2.90 6.95
Most Aces in a match 33 % 29 % N/A
1+ 90 % 94 % 100 %
2+ 75 % 73 % 99 %
3+ 70 % 46 % 94 %
4+ 53 % 29 % 87 %
5+ 35 % 21 % 80 %

Breaks

Dusan Lajovic Luca van Assche Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.9 2.13 5.03
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 60 % 100 % 100 %
Over 2.5 10 % 65 % 100 %
Over 3.5 3 % 12 % 73 %
Over 4.5 0 % 8 % 67 %
Over 5.5 0 % 2 % 49 %

Tie-breaks

Dusan Lajovic Luca van Assche Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.43 0.19 0.31
Over 0.5 35 % 19 % 27 %
Over 1.5 8 % 0 % 4 %
Under 0.5 65 % 81 % 27 %
Under 1.5 93 % 100 % 4 %

Double faults

Dusan Lajovic Luca van Assche Match total
Double Faults Per Match 1.73 3.13 4.86
Over 0.5 (1+) 70 % 92 % 97 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 53 % 81 % 85 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 25 % 52 % 79 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 13 % 37 % 65 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 8 % 29 % 47 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 3 % 10 % 39 %

Net points

Dusan Lajovic Luca van Assche Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.58 7.35 14.93
Over 4.5 (5+) 63 % 73 % 68 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 53 % 62 % 58 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 47 % 30 % 39 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 33 % 27 % 30 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 23 % 24 % 24 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 13 % 14 % 14 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.42 68.9% BetBoom
P2 3.15 31.1% BetBoom

Van Assche L meet Lajovic D on August 13, 2026 in the ATP Cincinnati, USA Men Singles, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Van Assche L 4-0-1, Lajovic D 4-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 67% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Van Assche L — 67%

1 · Van Assche L ✓ Pick66.6%
market 71%
2 · Lajovic D33.4%
market 29%

Model estimate: win Van Assche L 66.6%, win Lajovic D 33.4%. Model favourite — Van Assche L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Van Assche L (odds1.39) Score 2:1 confidence 67% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Van Ash L: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Layovich D: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.38→1.42 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Van Ash L: probability 67% vs 72% on the line (odds 1.39)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Van Assche L - Lajovic D August 13, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Van Assche L.

Line favourite Fonbet: Van Assche L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00
  • Glicko: Van Assche L 66.6% / Lajovic D 33.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.4% 6 books · best price +4.2%
1 ✓ Pick 70.6%
2 29.5%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.38 ↑ 1.42
Winner 2 3.05 ↓ 2.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Van Assche L
70%
1.38
Lajovic D
30%
14.00
Total
Over 22.5
47%
1.99
Under 22.5
53%
1.92

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins1
1.3Average score1.0

Head-to-head matches: 3 · average total 2.3 (goals)

Team form

Van Assche L
8-2WLWWWWWLWW
scored 1.8conceded 1.0
Lajovic D
6-4WWLLLWWWLW
scored 1.6conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 13.08.2026 00:40 UTC
Market 1 93.3% @ 1.01 / 2 6.7% @ 14.00
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Van Assche L 67%
💹 Market Van Assche L 71%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Van Assche L - Lajovic D

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 20
Set Van Assche L Lajovic D Result
Set 1 7 6 7:6
Set 2 2 6 2:6
Set 3 6 3 6:3
Metric Van Assche L Lajovic D SStats
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 0% 0% final
Points na pervoy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
Points na vtoroy podache 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0) final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 66.6% fact: home hit / ROI 42.0% / Brier 0.224 / LogLoss 0.407
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 52.0% fact: home hit / ROI 42.0% / Brier 0.461 / LogLoss 0.654
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Van Assche L 67.3% 63.1% market and model agree
Lajovic D 32.7% 36.9% market and model agree
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko66.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.33).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 66.6% / 33.4% probabilities
Rating 1,821 / 1,615 Van Assche L / Lajovic D
RD 154 / 164 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,513-2,130 / 1,287-1,943 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.13 market consensus · no value · model 33.4%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 66.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.28 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 7.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 3.35 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.20 market consensus · line only
Over 19.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.07 93.5%
1.01 99.0%
1.53 65.4%
3.35 29.9%
2.25 44.4%
2.40 41.7%
3.10 32.3%
2.35 42.6%
2.90 34.5%
7.00 14.3%
11.50 8.7%
2.35 42.6%
1.28 78.1%
1.58 63.3%
1.50 66.7%
1.32 75.8%
1.53 65.4%
1.35 74.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
13.00 7.7%
1.01 99.0%
10.00 10.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 19.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 20.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 21.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 22.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 23.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 24.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 25.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 26.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 27.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 28.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 29.5 1.28 78.1%
Over 30.5 7.00 14.3%
Over 31.5 10.00 10.0%
Over 32.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 33.5 3.05 32.8%
Under 19.5 2.60 38.5%
Under 20.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 21.5 2.07 48.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Under 2.5 13.00 7.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-0
2026-08-13 · Lyuka Van Ash 2:1 Dushan Layovich
2026-07-13 · Lyuka Van Ash 2:1 Dushan Layovich
2025-08-19 · Lyuka Van Ash 2:0 Dushan Layovich
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.42 (Pari) · 2 3.1 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.42 2.9
Winline 1.39 3
Fonbet 1.42 2.9
Betcity 1.37 3.1
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

6 Eysy 5
8 Dvoynye oshibki 1
4 Vsego breyk-poyntov 4
3 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 3
92 Vyigrannye Points 89
57 Points na podache 59
30 Poteryannye Points na podache 35
55 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 56
24 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 37
41 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 41
16 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 18
11 Maks. ochkov podryad 5
10 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 0
11 Geymy na podache 12
15 Vyigrannye geymy 15
3 Maks. geymov podryad 4
1 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Van Assche L
W L W W W
2026-08-11 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Van Assche L Van Assche L 2:0 Heide G
2026-08-03 2026 Montreal, Canada
Van Assche L Van Assche L 1:2 Droguet T
2026-07-26 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Van Assche L Van Assche L 2:1 Blockx A
2026-07-25 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Van Assche L Van Assche L 2:0 Gaston H
2026-07-24 2026 Estoril, Portugal
Van Assche L Rublev A 1:2 Van Assche L
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Lajovic D
W L W W W
2026-08-11 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Lajovic D 2:1 Bonzi B Lajovic D
2026-08-08 2026 Lexington, USA
Butvilas E 2:1 Lajovic D Lajovic D
2026-08-07 2026 Lexington, USA
Shelbayh A 1:2 Lajovic D Lajovic D
2026-08-05 2026 Lexington, USA
Harris L 1:2 Lajovic D Lajovic D
2026-08-04 2026 Lexington, USA
McCabe J 1:2 Lajovic D Lajovic D
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.8 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVan Assche L - Lajovic D

Van Assche L
1 matches total
Lajovic D
Van Assche L: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lajovic D: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Van Assche L 1:2 (2026-07-13) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 2026-07-13) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-13 2026 Umag, Croatia
Lajovic D 1:2 Van Assche L

More predictions

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Van Assche L vs Lajovic D?

By the PropickAI model, Van Assche L is favoured — about 67% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Van Assche L vs Lajovic D?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Van Assche L. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Van Assche L vs Lajovic D start?

August 13, 2026.