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AI verdict

AI pick Buse I win probability ~53% best odds 1.03

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Buse I. Full breakdown below.

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ATP. Uinston-Seylem
ATP. Uinston-Seylem International
26.08.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction

Altmaier D vs Buse I — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP. Uinston-Seylem
ATP. Uinston-Seylem hard 26.08.2026 18:00 UTC Finished
26.08.2026 18:00 UTC Finished
Altmaier D
Altmaier D
Rank #57 Elo 964
44Struggling Form
W L W L W L W L
Buse I
Buse I
Rank #36 Elo 1310
56Average Form
L W L W L W L W
0:2 6:7 5:7
1 2 GP
Altmaier D 6 5 0
Buse I 7 7 2
1 2
Stadium: Veyk Forest Tennis Senter, Vtoroy kort Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Altmaier D Buse I
Win % 48.9% 59.6%
Hard % 40.9% 53.3%
Clay % 56.8% 61.6%
Grass % 39.3% 42.9%
Deciding set % 54.1% 57.1%
Tie-breaks % 47.7% 56.7%
Titles (total) 4 3
Last 10 WLWLWLWLWL WLLLWWLLWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#57 Rating #36
27 Age 22
1.88m Height (cm) 1.85m
80kg Weight (kg) 78kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Altmaier D Buse I
Aces per match 6.12 4.61
Double faults per match 2.4 2.24
Breaks per match 2.15 3.91

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Daniel Altmaier
Rank:57 Elo: 964
W L W L W L W L
Ignacio Buse
Rank:36 Elo: 1310
L W L W L W L W
Elo favourite:Buse I (edge +346 Elo)

Hard

Daniel AltmaierIgnacio Buse
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 30.0% 3 / 10 Matches 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 40.0% 10 / 25 Matches 44.4% 4 / 9 Matches

Clay

Daniel AltmaierIgnacio Buse
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 52.0% 13 / 25 Matches 61.5% 16 / 26 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 52.0% 13 / 25 Matches 67.4% 31 / 46 Matches

Grass

Daniel AltmaierIgnacio Buse
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 57.1% 4 / 7 Matches 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Daniel Altmaier Ignacio Buse
H2H wins 0 (0.0%) 1 (100.0%)
Sets 1 (33.3%) 2 (66.7%)
Wins this year 44.4% 20 / 45 Matches 56.1% 23 / 41 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 45.0% 27 / 60 Matches 61.3% 38 / 62 Matches
Current rank 57 36

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Daniel Altmaier Ignacio Buse
Prize money (career) $4,607,680 USD $90,498 USD
Rating 57 36
Age 27 22
Height 1.88m 1.85m
Weight 80kg 78kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Daniel Altmaier Ignacio Buse
Match Wins 44 % 56 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 48 % 58 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 0 % 0 %
Wins in Straight Sets 24 % 22 %
Wins From Behind 19 % 22 %
Won At Least 1 Set 58 % 76 %
Set 1 Win 36 % 59 %
Set 2 Win 47 % 39 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Aug 15 2025 Cancun 2 Chall. Men (Hard) Daniel Altmaier 1 – 2 Ignacio Buse

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Daniel Altmaier Ignacio Buse Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.42 9.73 9.58
Over 6.5 100 % 97 % 99 %
Over 7.5 90 % 92 % 91 %
Over 8.5 71 % 68 % 70 %
Over 9.5 45 % 45 % 45 %
Over 10.5 17 % 26 % 22 %
Over 11.5 17 % 26 % 22 %

Aces

Daniel Altmaier Ignacio Buse Match total
Aces Per Match 6.12 4.61 10.73
Most Aces in a match 64 % 68 % N/A
1+ 98 % 97 % 100 %
2+ 93 % 92 % 95 %
3+ 83 % 68 % 91 %
4+ 62 % 58 % 85 %
5+ 57 % 45 % 79 %

Breaks

Daniel Altmaier Ignacio Buse Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.15 3.91 6.06
Over 0.5 98 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 0 % 95 % 100 %
Over 2.5 0 % 89 % 100 %
Over 3.5 0 % 84 % 81 %
Over 4.5 0 % 39 % 80 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 42 %

Tie-breaks

Daniel Altmaier Ignacio Buse Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.36 0.39 0.38
Over 0.5 31 % 29 % 30 %
Over 1.5 5 % 11 % 8 %
Under 0.5 69 % 71 % 30 %
Under 1.5 95 % 89 % 8 %

Double faults

Daniel Altmaier Ignacio Buse Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.4 2.24 4.64
Over 0.5 (1+) 83 % 87 % 98 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 64 % 58 % 90 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 40 % 34 % 82 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 24 % 18 % 61 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 14 % 11 % 47 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 10 % 5 % 32 %

Net points

Daniel Altmaier Ignacio Buse Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 8.7 8.59 17.29
Over 4.5 (5+) 61 % 76 % 69 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 54 % 72 % 63 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 36 % 62 % 49 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 32 % 52 % 42 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 32 % 38 % 35 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 32 % 34 % 33 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.07 46.1% BetBoom
P2 1.77 53.9% BetBoom

Altmaier D go head-to-head with Buse I on August 26, 2026 in the ATP. Uinston-Seylem, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Altmaier D 3-0-2, Buse I 2-0-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 47% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Buse I — 53%

1 · Altmaier D47.3%
2 · Buse I52.7%

Model estimate: win Altmaier D 47.3%, win Buse I 52.7%. Model favourite — Buse I.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Match winner — Buse I

Model confidence 92% ~95% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Altmaier D - Buse I August 26, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Buse I.

Line favourite Fonbet: Buse I. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.50 / 2 1.03
  • Glicko: Altmaier D 47.3% / Buse I 52.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.5% 6 books
1 46.3%
2 53.7%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.90 ↑ 2.05
Winner 2 1.90 ↓ 1.77

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Altmaier D
46%
11.50
Buse I
54%
1.77
Total
Over 22.5
51%
1.87
Under 22.5
49%
2.10

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Winston Salem, USA

1/32-finals (R64)
Damm Jr, Martin2
Shelbayh, Abdullah0
Shimabukuro, Sho0
Kecmanovic, Miomir2
Sonego, Lorenzo2
Herbert, Pierre-Hugues1
Vandecasteele, Quinn0
Duckworth, James2
Gorzny, Sebastian1
Hewitt, Cruz2
Choinski, Jan1
Rottgering, Mees2
Balshaw, Felix0
Kovacevic, Aleksandar2
Mpetshi Perricard, Giovanni0
Brooksby, Jenson2
Suresh, Dhakshineswar2
Giron, Marcos0
Safiullin, Roman1
Grenier, Hugo2
Comesana, Francisco2
Wu, Yibing0
Walton, Adam2
De Jong, Jesper0
Hijikata, Rinky2
Blanch, Darwin0
Majchrzak, Kamil0
Bonzi, Benjamin2
Carreno Busta, Pablo0
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel0
Landaluce, Martin1
Bellucci, Mattia2
1/16-finals (R32)
Medvedev, Daniil0
Damm Jr, Martin2
Kecmanovic, Miomir0
Marozsan, Fabian2
Mannarino, Adrian0
Sonego, Lorenzo2
Duckworth, James2
Navone, Mariano0
Fery, Arthur2
Hewitt, Cruz0
Rottgering, Mees2
Machac, Tomas0
Van Assche, Luca0
Kovacevic, Aleksandar2
Brooksby, Jenson0
Tsitsipas, Stefanos2
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel2
Suresh, Dhakshineswar0
Grenier, Hugo0
Baez, Sebastian2
Altmaier, Daniel2
Comesana, Francisco0
Walton, Adam1
Buse, Ignacio2
Collignon, Raphael1
Hijikata, Rinky2
Bonzi, Benjamin2
Halys, Quentin1
Van de Zandschulp, Botic2
Vallejo, Adolfo Daniel0
Bellucci, Mattia1
Darderi, Luciano2
1/8-finals (R16)
Damm Jr, Martin0
Marozsan, Fabian0
Sonego, Lorenzo0
Duckworth, James0
Fery, Arthur0
Rottgering, Mees0
Kovacevic, Aleksandar0
Tsitsipas, Stefanos0
Cerundolo, Juan Manuel0
Baez, Sebastian0
Altmaier, Daniel0
Buse, Ignacio0
Hijikata, Rinky0
Bonzi, Benjamin2
Van de Zandschulp, Botic2
Darderi, Luciano0
Quarterfinals
Qf10
Qf20
Qf30
Qf40
Qf50
Qf60
Bonzi, Benjamin0
Van de Zandschulp, Botic0
Semifinals
WQF10
WQF20
WQF30
WQF40
Final
WSF10
WSF20

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Veyk Forest Tennis Senter, Vtoroy kort
Start 26.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 8.2% @ 11.50 / 2 91.8% @ 1.03
Coverage hard
Form 10 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Buse I 53%
💹 Market Buse I 54%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Altmaier D - Buse I

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Daniel Altmayer - Ignasio Buse. Uinston-Seylem. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 24
Set Altmaier D Buse I Result
Set 1 6 7 6:7
Set 2 5 7 5:7
Metric Altmaier D Buse I SStats
Nevynuzhdennye oshibki 34 19 final
Vinnery 31 19 final
Breyk-poynty realizovany 2/6 3/10 final
Points na prieme 35% (30/85) 37% (31/83) final
Eysy 5 5 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 7/10 4/6 final
Dvoynye oshibki 3 2 final
Pervaya podacha, % 64% 60% final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 52.7% fact: away hit / ROI 77.0% / Brier 0.448 / LogLoss 0.641
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H away - 50.3% fact: away hit / ROI 77.0% / Brier 0.494 / LogLoss 0.687
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Altmaier D 46.3% 47.0% market and model agree
Buse I 53.7% 53.0% market and model agree
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko47.3% · +Elo prior (weight0.36).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 47.3% / 52.7% probabilities
Rating 1,572 / 1,470 Altmaier D / Buse I
RD 165 / 174 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,243-1,902 / 1,122-1,819 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 52.7%
1 2.04 market consensus · no value · model 47.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 5.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.95 51.3% — —
1.82 55.0% 1.79 55.9% —
— — 10.00 10.0%
— — 1.98 50.5%
— — 2.07 48.3%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 1.10 90.9%
— — 1.03 97.1%
— — 1.20 83.3%
— — 2.90 34.5%
1.80 55.6% — 1.02 98.0%
1.92 52.1% 2.03 49.3% 1.78 56.2%
— — 1.67 59.9%
— — 1.52 65.8%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
6.40 15.6%
4.80 20.8%
1.15 87.0%
1.08 92.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 20.5 — — 1.47 68.0%
Over 21.5 — — 1.60 62.5%
Over 22.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.65 60.6%
Over 23.5 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
Over 24.5 — — 1.78 56.2%
Over 25.5 — — 3.60 27.8%
Over 26.5 — — 6.20 16.1%
Over 27.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 28.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 29.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Under 22.5 1.87 53.5% 1.93 51.8% —
Under 23.5 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 6.40 15.6%
Under 2.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1
2026-08-26 · Daniel Altmayer 0:2 Ignasio Buse
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.01 (Winline) · 2 1.9 (Fonbet)
Bookmaker12
Pari 2 1.8
Winline 2.01 1.81
Fonbet 1.9 1.9
Betcity 1.9 1.9
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

5 Eysy 5
3 Dvoynye oshibki 2
6 Vsego breyk-poyntov 10
2 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 3
82 Vyigrannye Points 86
52 Points na podache 55
31 Poteryannye Points na podache 30
54 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 51
26 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 32
39 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 40
13 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 15
6 Maks. ochkov podryad 6
3 Points, vyigrannye iz poslednikh 10 rozygryshey 7
9 Geymy na podache 10
11 Vyigrannye geymy 14
3 Maks. geymov podryad 5
0 Tay-breyk 1
Source: ruscore
Altmaier D
W L W L W
2026-08-25 2026 Winston Salem, USA
Altmaier D Altmaier D 2:0 Comesana F
2026-08-16 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Altmaier D Altmaier D 0:2 Musetti L
2026-08-14 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Altmaier D Wong C 1:2 Altmaier D
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Altmaier D Nakashima B 2:0 Altmaier D
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Altmaier D Vukic A 1:2 Altmaier D
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Buse I
W L L L W
2026-08-25 2026 Winston Salem, USA
Walton A 1:2 Buse I Buse I
2026-08-16 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Walton A 2:0 Buse I Buse I
2026-08-05 2026 Montreal, Canada
Buse I 0:2 Norrie C Buse I
2026-07-23 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Etcheverry T M 2:0 Buse I Buse I
2026-07-22 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Feldbausch K 1:2 Buse I Buse I
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.6 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

Recent form

Altmaier D LWLWLW
Buse I WWLLLW

Match facts

Round: 26 Stadium: Court 2

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

More predictions

Buse I – Bonzi B 28.08 Bessonov D – Bakshi A 28.08 Javia D – Krajci M 28.08 Funk A – Lorusso L 28.08 McKenzie N – Brune E-K 28.08 Diatlova K – Ezzat Y 28.08

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Altmaier D vs Buse I?

By the PropickAI model, Buse I is favoured — about 53% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Altmaier D vs Buse I?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Buse I. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Altmaier D vs Buse I?

Live odds for Altmaier D vs Buse I from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Altmaier D vs Buse I start?

August 26, 2026.