AI verdict

AI pick Collignon R win probability ~56% confidence Medium best odds 1.75

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Collignon R. Full breakdown below.

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ATP. Uinston-Seylem
ATP. Uinston-Seylem International

Collignon R - Hijikata R

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
Tennis ATP. Uinston-Seylem
ATP. Uinston-Seylem hard 25.08.2026 19:30 UTC Not started
25.08.2026 19:30 UTC Not started
Collignon R
Collignon R
Rank #95 Elo 673
57Average Form
W L W W L L L W
Hijikata R
Hijikata R
Rank #38 Elo 1222
67Average Form
W L L L L W W L
-:-
Stadium: Veyk Forest Tennis Senter Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Collignon R Hijikata R
Win % 63.8% 54.4%
Hard % 61% 57.1%
Clay % 69% 34.2%
Grass % 50% 58%
Deciding set % 54.2% 55%
Tie-breaks % 59.7% 58.6%
Titles (total) 6 3
Last 10 LLLLWWWWLL LWWLLLLWWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#95 Rating #38
25 Age 24
1.78m Height (cm) 1.91m
72kg Weight (kg) 86kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Collignon R Hijikata R
Aces per match 4.59 6.51
Double faults per match 2.72 3.74
Breaks per match 4.52 10.5

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Rinky Hijikata
Rank:95 Elo: 673
W L W W L L L W
Raphael Collignon
Rank:38 Elo: 1222
W L L L L W W L
Elo favourite:Collignon R (edge +549 Elo)

Hard

Rinky HijikataRaphael Collignon
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 60.7% 17 / 28 Matches 65.0% 13 / 20 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 61.8% 34 / 55 Matches 66.7% 28 / 42 Matches

Clay

Rinky HijikataRaphael Collignon
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 44.4% 4 / 9 Matches 76.5% 13 / 17 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 44.4% 4 / 9 Matches 76.5% 13 / 17 Matches

Grass

Rinky HijikataRaphael Collignon
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 70.0% 7 / 10 Matches 66.7% 4 / 6 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 70.0% 7 / 10 Matches 66.7% 4 / 6 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Rinky Hijikata Raphael Collignon
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 56.9% 29 / 51 Matches 67.4% 33 / 49 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 59.0% 46 / 78 Matches 67.6% 48 / 71 Matches
Current rank 95 38

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Rinky Hijikata Raphael Collignon
Prize money (career) $2,345,222 USD $746,869 USD
Rating 95 38
Age 25 24
Height 1.78m 1.91m
Weight 72kg 86kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Rinky Hijikata Raphael Collignon
Match Wins 57 % 67 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 60 % 70 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 33 % 50 %
Wins in Straight Sets 29 % 57 %
Wins From Behind 33 % 16 %
Won At Least 1 Set 73 % 80 %
Set 1 Win 41 % 65 %
Set 2 Win 59 % 71 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Rinky Hijikata Raphael Collignon Match total
Average Games in a Set 10.04 10.55 10.3
Over 6.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 7.5 91 % 95 % 93 %
Over 8.5 83 % 79 % 81 %
Over 9.5 57 % 65 % 61 %
Over 10.5 28 % 44 % 36 %
Over 11.5 28 % 44 % 36 %

Aces

Rinky Hijikata Raphael Collignon Match total
Aces Per Match 4.59 6.51 11.10
Most Aces in a match 35 % 51 % N/A
1+ 93 % 100 % 100 %
2+ 80 % 98 % 99 %
3+ 74 % 86 % 98 %
4+ 57 % 77 % 94 %
5+ 54 % 58 % 91 %

Breaks

Rinky Hijikata Raphael Collignon Match total
Breaks Per Match 4.52 10.5 15.02
Over 0.5 98 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 98 % 100 % 100 %
Over 2.5 96 % 100 % 99 %
Over 3.5 89 % 100 % 99 %
Over 4.5 46 % 100 % 99 %
Over 5.5 4 % 100 % 96 %

Tie-breaks

Rinky Hijikata Raphael Collignon Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.57 0.6 0.59
Over 0.5 47 % 51 % 49 %
Over 1.5 11 % 9 % 10 %
Under 0.5 53 % 49 % 49 %
Under 1.5 89 % 91 % 10 %

Double faults

Rinky Hijikata Raphael Collignon Match total
Double Faults Per Match 2.72 3.74 6.46
Over 0.5 (1+) 91 % 93 % 99 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 67 % 81 % 96 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 46 % 65 % 89 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 30 % 49 % 78 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 20 % 37 % 55 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 9 % 21 % 45 %

Net points

Rinky Hijikata Raphael Collignon Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 7.99 6.59 14.58
Over 4.5 (5+) 69 % 71 % 70 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 59 % 59 % 59 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 56 % 38 % 47 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 46 % 32 % 39 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 41 % 21 % 31 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 36 % 18 % 27 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.72 56.9% BetBoom
P2 2.27 43.1% BetBoom

Collignon R meet Hijikata R on August 25, 2026 in the ATP. Uinston-Seylem, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Collignon R 1-0-4, Hijikata R 3-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Collignon R56%

1 · Collignon R56.2%
2 · Hijikata R43.8%

Model estimate: win Collignon R 56.2%, win Hijikata R 43.8%. Model favourite — Collignon R.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Collignon R - Hijikata R August 25, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Collignon R. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.75 / 2 2.08

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.7% 5 books · best price +3.0%
1 53.2%
2 46.8%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.62 ↑ 1.72
Winner P2 2.30 ↓ 2.13

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Collignon R
53%
1.83
Hijikata R
47%
2.08
Total
Over 13.5
48%
1.92
Under 13.5
52%
1.79

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Stadium Veyk Forest Tennis Senter
Start 25.08.2026 19:30 UTC
Market 1 54.3% @ 1.75 / 2 45.7% @ 2.08
Coverage hard
Form 10 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Collignon R 56%
💹 Market Collignon R 53%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Collignon R - Hijikata R

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Rafael Kollinon - Rinki Khidzikata. Uinston-Seylem. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Collignon R 56.8% 55.9% market and model agree
Hijikata R 43.2% 44.1% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko56.2% · +Elo prior (weight0.46).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 56.2% / 43.8% probabilities
Rating 1,522 / 1,580 Collignon R / Hijikata R
RD 225 / 171 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,072-1,972 / 1,239-1,921 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.08 Fonbet · no value · model 43.8%
1 1.75 Fonbet · no value · model 56.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.05 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.65 60.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%
1.30 76.9%
1.75 57.1%
1.92 52.1%
2.10 47.6%
2.55 39.2%
2.10 47.6% 1.93 51.8%
2.30 43.5% 1.85 54.1%
2.60 38.5%
3.20 31.3%
1.95 51.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.65 60.6%
1.45 69.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.30 76.9%
2.75 36.4%
1.42 70.4%
3.40 29.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM
Over 0.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 10.5 3.05 32.8%
Over 20.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 21.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 22.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 23.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 24.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 25.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 26.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 27.5 2.80 35.7%
Under 20.5 2.60 38.5%
Under 21.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 22.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 23.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 24.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 25.5 1.55 64.5%
Under 26.5 1.45 69.0%
Under 27.5 1.38 72.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 2.5 1.60 62.5%
Match center
Collignon R
L L L L W
2026-08-13 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Collignon R Navone M 2:0 Collignon R
2026-08-05 2026 Montreal, Canada
Collignon R Collignon R 0:2 Popyrin A
2026-07-21 2026 Kitzbuhel, Austria
Collignon R Altmaier D 2:0 Collignon R
2026-07-19 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Collignon R Tsitsipas S 2:1 Collignon R
2026-07-18 2026 Gstaad, Switzerland
Collignon R Collignon R 2:1 Cerundolo J M
1 Wins
4 Losses
0.6 Sets won
1.8 Sets lost
20% Win percentage
Hijikata R
W L W W L
2026-08-24 2026 Winston Salem, USA
Hijikata R 2:0 Blanch Darwin Hijikata R
2026-08-17 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Hijikata R 0:2 Mensik J Hijikata R
2026-08-15 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Darderi L 0:2 Hijikata R Hijikata R
2026-08-13 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Hijikata R 2:1 Monfils G Hijikata R
2026-08-02 2026 Montreal, Canada
Munar J 2:0 Hijikata R Hijikata R
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

When does Collignon R vs Hijikata R start?

August 25, 2026.