AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Collignon R. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
| Collignon R | Hijikata R | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 63.8% | 54.4% |
| Hard % | 61% | 57.1% |
| Clay % | 69% | 34.2% |
| Grass % | 50% | 58% |
| Deciding set % | 54.2% | 55% |
| Tie-breaks % | 59.7% | 58.6% |
| Titles (total) | 6 | 3 |
| Last 10 | LLLLWWWWLL | LWWLLLLWWW |
Source: scorego-app.com
| Collignon R | Hijikata R | |
|---|---|---|
| Aces per match | 4.59 | 6.51 |
| Double faults per match | 2.72 | 3.74 |
| Breaks per match | 4.52 | 10.5 |
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
| Rinky Hijikata | Raphael Collignon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 60.7% 17 / 28 Matches | 65.0% 13 / 20 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 61.8% 34 / 55 Matches | 66.7% 28 / 42 Matches |
| Rinky Hijikata | Raphael Collignon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 44.4% 4 / 9 Matches | 76.5% 13 / 17 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 44.4% 4 / 9 Matches | 76.5% 13 / 17 Matches |
| Rinky Hijikata | Raphael Collignon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 70.0% 7 / 10 Matches | 66.7% 4 / 6 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 70.0% 7 / 10 Matches | 66.7% 4 / 6 Matches |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Rinky Hijikata | Raphael Collignon | |
|---|---|---|
| H2H wins | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| Sets | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
| Wins this year | 56.9% 29 / 51 Matches | 67.4% 33 / 49 Matches |
| Wins in 12 mo. | 59.0% 46 / 78 Matches | 67.6% 48 / 71 Matches |
| Current rank | 95 | 38 |
Source: tennisstats.com
| Rinky Hijikata | Raphael Collignon | |
|---|---|---|
| Prize money (career) | $2,345,222 USD | $746,869 USD |
| Rating | 95 | 38 |
| Age | 25 | 24 |
| Height | 1.78m | 1.91m |
| Weight | 72kg | 86kg |
| Playing hand | Right-handed | Right-handed |
| Rinky Hijikata | Raphael Collignon | |
|---|---|---|
| Match Wins | 57 % | 67 % |
| Match Wins (3 Sets) | 60 % | 70 % |
| Match Wins (5 Sets) | 33 % | 50 % |
| Wins in Straight Sets | 29 % | 57 % |
| Wins From Behind | 33 % | 16 % |
| Won At Least 1 Set | 73 % | 80 % |
| Set 1 Win | 41 % | 65 % |
| Set 2 Win | 59 % | 71 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
| Rinky Hijikata | Raphael Collignon | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Games in a Set | 10.04 | 10.55 | 10.3 |
| Over 6.5 | 100 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 7.5 | 91 % | 95 % | 93 % |
| Over 8.5 | 83 % | 79 % | 81 % |
| Over 9.5 | 57 % | 65 % | 61 % |
| Over 10.5 | 28 % | 44 % | 36 % |
| Over 11.5 | 28 % | 44 % | 36 % |
| Rinky Hijikata | Raphael Collignon | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces Per Match | 4.59 | 6.51 | 11.10 |
| Most Aces in a match | 35 % | 51 % | N/A |
| 1+ | 93 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| 2+ | 80 % | 98 % | 99 % |
| 3+ | 74 % | 86 % | 98 % |
| 4+ | 57 % | 77 % | 94 % |
| 5+ | 54 % | 58 % | 91 % |
| Rinky Hijikata | Raphael Collignon | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breaks Per Match | 4.52 | 10.5 | 15.02 |
| Over 0.5 | 98 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 | 98 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 2.5 | 96 % | 100 % | 99 % |
| Over 3.5 | 89 % | 100 % | 99 % |
| Over 4.5 | 46 % | 100 % | 99 % |
| Over 5.5 | 4 % | 100 % | 96 % |
| Rinky Hijikata | Raphael Collignon | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tie Breaks Per Match | 0.57 | 0.6 | 0.59 |
| Over 0.5 | 47 % | 51 % | 49 % |
| Over 1.5 | 11 % | 9 % | 10 % |
| Under 0.5 | 53 % | 49 % | 49 % |
| Under 1.5 | 89 % | 91 % | 10 % |
| Rinky Hijikata | Raphael Collignon | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Faults Per Match | 2.72 | 3.74 | 6.46 |
| Over 0.5 (1+) | 91 % | 93 % | 99 % |
| Over 1.5 (2+) | 67 % | 81 % | 96 % |
| Over 2.5 (3+) | 46 % | 65 % | 89 % |
| Over 3.5 (4+) | 30 % | 49 % | 78 % |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 20 % | 37 % | 55 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 9 % | 21 % | 45 % |
| Rinky Hijikata | Raphael Collignon | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Points Won Per Match | 7.99 | 6.59 | 14.58 |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 69 % | 71 % | 70 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 59 % | 59 % | 59 % |
| Over 6.5 (7+) | 56 % | 38 % | 47 % |
| Over 7.5 (8+) | 46 % | 32 % | 39 % |
| Over 8.5 (9+) | 41 % | 21 % | 31 % |
| Over 9.5 (10+) | 36 % | 18 % | 27 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
Collignon R meet Hijikata R on August 25, 2026 in the ATP. Uinston-Seylem, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Collignon R 1-0-4, Hijikata R 3-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Collignon R — 56%
Model estimate: win Collignon R 56.2%, win Hijikata R 43.8%. Model favourite — Collignon R.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
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Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Rafael Kollinon - Rinki Khidzikata. Uinston-Seylem. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko56.2% · +Elo prior (weight0.46).
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.65 60.6% | — | |
| 1.55 64.5% | — | |
| 1.45 69.0% | — | |
| 1.30 76.9% | — | |
| 1.75 57.1% | — | |
| 1.92 52.1% | — | |
| 2.10 47.6% | — | |
| 2.55 39.2% | — | |
| 2.10 47.6% | 1.93 51.8% | |
| 2.30 43.5% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 2.60 38.5% | — | |
| 3.20 31.3% | — | |
| 1.95 51.3% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| 1.65 60.6% | — | |
| 1.45 69.0% | — |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 2.75 36.4% | |
| 1.42 70.4% | |
| 3.40 29.4% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 10.5 | — | 3.05 32.8% |
| Over 20.5 | 1.43 69.9% | — |
| Over 21.5 | 1.57 63.7% | — |
| Over 22.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Over 23.5 | 2.02 49.5% | — |
| Over 24.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — |
| Over 25.5 | 2.25 44.4% | — |
| Over 26.5 | 2.55 39.2% | — |
| Over 27.5 | 2.80 35.7% | — |
| Under 20.5 | 2.60 38.5% | — |
| Under 21.5 | 2.25 44.4% | — |
| Under 22.5 | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Under 23.5 | 1.70 58.8% | — |
| Under 24.5 | 1.65 60.6% | — |
| Under 25.5 | 1.55 64.5% | — |
| Under 26.5 | 1.45 69.0% | — |
| Under 27.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
Collignon R
Hijikata R
The Collignon R - Hijikata R breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 25, 2026.