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AI verdict

AI pick Navone M win probability ~58% confidence Medium best odds 2.45

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Navone M. Full breakdown below.

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ATP. Uinston-Seylem
ATP. Uinston-Seylem International
25.08.2026 21:00 UTC Match prediction

Duckworth J - Navone M

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis ATP. Uinston-Seylem
ATP. Uinston-Seylem 25.08.2026 21:00 UTC Finished
25.08.2026 21:00 UTC Finished
Duckworth J
Duckworth J
Rank #79 Elo 763
46Struggling Form
W L W L W L W W
Navone M
Navone M
Rank #48 Elo 1065
57Average Form
L W L W L W L L
2:0 6:3 7:6
1 2 GP
Duckworth J 6 7 2
Navone M 3 6 0
1 2
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Duckworth J Navone M
Win % 51.7% 58.2%
Hard % 53.1% 35.4%
Clay % 50% 65.1%
Grass % 45.9% 20%
Deciding set % 49.7% 54.3%
Tie-breaks % 50.2% 50.7%
Titles (total) 5 10
Last 10 WLWLWLWLWL LWLWWLWWLL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#79 Rating #48
34 Age 25
1.83m Height (cm) 1.78m
82kg Weight (kg) 73kg
Right Hand Right
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Duckworth J Navone M
Aces per match 7.24 1.29
Double faults per match 3.72 2.2
Breaks per match 2.95 3.71

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

James Duckworth
Rank:79 Elo: 763
W L W L W L W W
Mariano Navone
Rank:48 Elo: 1065
L W L W L W L L
Elo favourite:Navone M (edge +302 Elo)

Hard

James DuckworthMariano Navone
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 41.2% 7 / 17 Matches 60.0% 9 / 15 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 55.6% 25 / 45 Matches 50.0% 11 / 22 Matches

Clay

James DuckworthMariano Navone
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 62.5% 5 / 8 Matches 60.0% 15 / 25 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 62.5% 5 / 8 Matches 64.9% 24 / 37 Matches

Grass

James DuckworthMariano Navone
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 25.0% 1 / 4 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 25.0% 1 / 4 Matches 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

James Duckworth Mariano Navone
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 45.7% 16 / 35 Matches 56.5% 26 / 46 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 54.7% 35 / 64 Matches 56.9% 37 / 65 Matches
Current rank 79 48

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

James Duckworth Mariano Navone
Prize money (career) $4,021,607 USD $1,263,045 USD
Rating 79 48
Age 34 25
Height 1.83m 1.78m
Weight 82kg 73kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

James Duckworth Mariano Navone
Match Wins 46 % 57 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 45 % 59 %
Match Wins (5 Sets) 50 % 33 %
Wins in Straight Sets 29 % 37 %
Wins From Behind 21 % 26 %
Won At Least 1 Set 66 % 78 %
Set 1 Win 43 % 52 %
Set 2 Win 51 % 63 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

James Duckworth Mariano Navone Match total
Average Games in a Set 10.06 9.59 9.83
Over 6.5 100 % 98 % 99 %
Over 7.5 97 % 93 % 95 %
Over 8.5 79 % 76 % 78 %
Over 9.5 59 % 46 % 53 %
Over 10.5 28 % 24 % 26 %
Over 11.5 28 % 24 % 26 %

Aces

James Duckworth Mariano Navone Match total
Aces Per Match 7.24 1.29 8.53
Most Aces in a match 55 % 10 % N/A
1+ 100 % 66 % 94 %
2+ 100 % 32 % 92 %
3+ 100 % 17 % 81 %
4+ 90 % 7 % 80 %
5+ 79 % 2 % 75 %

Breaks

James Duckworth Mariano Navone Match total
Breaks Per Match 2.95 3.71 6.66
Over 0.5 97 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 45 % 100 % 100 %
Over 2.5 45 % 49 % 100 %
Over 3.5 45 % 49 % 99 %
Over 4.5 45 % 2 % 99 %
Over 5.5 0 % 0 % 98 %

Tie-breaks

James Duckworth Mariano Navone Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.48 0.27 0.38
Over 0.5 38 % 24 % 31 %
Over 1.5 10 % 2 % 6 %
Under 0.5 62 % 76 % 31 %
Under 1.5 90 % 98 % 6 %

Double faults

James Duckworth Mariano Navone Match total
Double Faults Per Match 3.72 2.2 5.92
Over 0.5 (1+) 86 % 88 % 99 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 76 % 68 % 96 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 62 % 34 % 84 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 52 % 17 % 71 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 41 % 10 % 55 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 28 % 2 % 49 %

Net points

James Duckworth Mariano Navone Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 6.87 6.46 13.33
Over 4.5 (5+) 74 % 29 % 52 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 70 % 26 % 48 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 70 % 20 % 45 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 61 % 20 % 41 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 52 % 11 % 32 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 48 % 11 % 30 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 2.40 40.0% BetBoom
P2 1.60 60.0% BetBoom

Duckworth J meet Navone M on August 25, 2026 in the ATP. Uinston-Seylem, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Duckworth J 3-0-2, Navone M 3-0-2. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 42% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Navone M — 58%

1 · Duckworth J41.7%
market 40%
2 · Navone M58.3%
market 60%

Model estimate: win Duckworth J 41.7%, win Navone M 58.3%. Model favourite — Navone M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Duckworth J - Navone M August 25, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Duckworth J.

Line favourite Fonbet: Duckworth J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.52 / 2 2.45
  • Glicko: Duckworth J 41.7% / Navone M 58.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.4% 3 books · best price +56.1%
1 39.6%
2 60.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.12 ↑ 2.35
Winner 2 1.72 ↓ 1.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Duckworth J
40%
2.40
Navone M
60%
2.45
Total
Over 12.5
51%
1.83
Under 12.5
49%
1.87

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 25.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 61.7% @ 1.52 / 2 38.3% @ 2.45
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Navone M 58%
💹 Market Navone M 60%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Duckworth J - Navone M

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 24
Set Duckworth J Navone M Result
Set 1 6 3 6:3
Set 2 7 6 7:6
Metric Duckworth J Navone M SStats
Nevynuzhdennye oshibki 0 0 final
Vinnery 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty realizovany 0/0 0/0 final
Points na prieme 0% (0/0) 0% (0/2) final
Eysy 0 0 final
Breyk-poynty otygrany 0/0 0/0 final
Dvoynye oshibki 0 0 final
Pervaya podacha, % 100% 0% final
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 58.3% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.680 / LogLoss 0.875
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 51.0% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.520 / LogLoss 0.713
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Duckworth J 39.6% 43.3% market and model agree
Navone M 60.5% 56.7% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko41.7% · +Elo prior (weight0.30).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 41.7% / 58.3% probabilities
Rating 1,742 / 1,499 Duckworth J / Navone M
RD 155 / 148 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,432-2,052 / 1,204-1,795 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.45 Fonbet · value +42.9% · model 58.3%
1 1.52 Fonbet · no value · model 41.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 2.28 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.05 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
1.52 65.8%
1.50 66.7%
1.65 60.6%
2.85 35.1%
1.83 54.6%
2.02 49.5%
2.30 43.5%
2.30 43.5%
3.00 33.3%
2.75 36.4%
2.35 42.6%
2.40 41.7%
2.18 45.9%
1.37 73.0%
1.57 63.7%
1.52 65.8%
1.43 69.9%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
2.65 37.7%
1.45 69.0%
10.00 10.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 18.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 19.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 20.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 21.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 22.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 23.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 24.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 25.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 26.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 27.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 28.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 29.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 30.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 31.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 32.5 3.75 26.7%
Under 17.5 2.13 47.0%
Under 18.5 2.02 49.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.45 69.0%
Under 2.5 2.65 37.7%
Match center
Duckworth J
W L W L W
2026-08-24 2026 Winston Salem, USA
Duckworth J Vandecasteele Q 0:2 Duckworth J
2026-08-15 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Duckworth J Fery A 2:1 Duckworth J
2026-08-14 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Duckworth J Wolf J J 0:2 Duckworth J
2026-08-04 2026 Montreal, Canada
Duckworth J Duckworth J 0:2 De Minaur A
2026-08-03 2026 Montreal, Canada
Duckworth J Duckworth J 2:0 O'Connell C
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Navone M
L W L W W
2026-08-15 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Blockx A 2:0 Navone M Navone M
2026-08-13 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Navone M 2:0 Collignon R Navone M
2026-08-06 2026 Montreal, Canada
Navone M 0:2 Fils A Navone M
2026-08-05 2026 Montreal, Canada
Vacherot V 1:2 Navone M Navone M
2026-08-03 2026 Montreal, Canada
Berrettini M 1:2 Navone M Navone M
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Duckworth J vs Navone M?

By the PropickAI model, Duckworth J is favoured — about 58% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Duckworth J vs Navone M?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Duckworth J. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Duckworth J vs Navone M start?

August 25, 2026.