AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Walton A. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
| Walton A | Buse I | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 57.1% | 59.4% |
| Hard % | 58.9% | 51.7% |
| Clay % | 47.1% | 61.6% |
| Grass % | 46.2% | 42.9% |
| Deciding set % | 58.4% | 56.6% |
| Tie-breaks % | 51.1% | 56.7% |
| Titles (total) | 5 | 3 |
| Last 10 | WLWWLWLLWW | LLLWWLLWLW |
Source: scorego-app.com
| Walton A | Buse I | |
|---|---|---|
| Aces per match | 6.88 | 4.57 |
| Double faults per match | 1.66 | 2.3 |
| Breaks per match | 1.06 | 3.91 |
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
| Adam Walton | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 63.0% 29 / 46 Matches | 42.9% 3 / 7 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 56.1% 32 / 57 Matches | 50.0% 6 / 12 Matches |
| Adam Walton | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches | 61.5% 16 / 26 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches | 67.4% 31 / 46 Matches |
| Adam Walton | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 70.0% 7 / 10 Matches | 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 70.0% 7 / 10 Matches | 50.0% 2 / 4 Matches |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Adam Walton | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| H2H wins | 1 (100.0%) | 0 (0.0%) |
| Sets | 2 (100.0%) | 0 (0.0%) |
| Wins this year | 60.3% 38 / 63 Matches | 55.0% 22 / 40 Matches |
| Wins in 12 mo. | 54.7% 41 / 75 Matches | 61.5% 40 / 65 Matches |
| Current rank | 93 | 36 |
Source: tennisstats.com
| Adam Walton | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Prize money (career) | $748,972 USD | $90,498 USD |
| Rating | 93 | 36 |
| Age | 27 | 22 |
| Height | 1.83m | 1.85m |
| Weight | 77kg | 78kg |
| Playing hand | Right-handed | Right-handed |
| Adam Walton | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Match Wins | 60 % | 55 % |
| Match Wins (3 Sets) | 63 % | 57 % |
| Match Wins (5 Sets) | 33 % | 0 % |
| Wins in Straight Sets | 38 % | 23 % |
| Wins From Behind | 17 % | 22 % |
| Won At Least 1 Set | 75 % | 75 % |
| Set 1 Win | 63 % | 58 % |
| Set 2 Win | 48 % | 40 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Date | Tournament | Results |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16 2026 | Cincinnati ATP (Hard) | Adam Walton 2 – 0 Ignacio Buse |
Source:tennisstats.com
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
| Adam Walton | Ignacio Buse | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Games in a Set | 9.65 | 9.78 | 9.72 |
| Over 6.5 | 100 % | 97 % | 99 % |
| Over 7.5 | 95 % | 92 % | 94 % |
| Over 8.5 | 69 % | 70 % | 70 % |
| Over 9.5 | 47 % | 46 % | 47 % |
| Over 10.5 | 22 % | 27 % | 25 % |
| Over 11.5 | 22 % | 27 % | 25 % |
| Adam Walton | Ignacio Buse | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces Per Match | 6.88 | 4.57 | 11.45 |
| Most Aces in a match | 49 % | 68 % | N/A |
| 1+ | 100 % | 97 % | 100 % |
| 2+ | 97 % | 92 % | 98 % |
| 3+ | 92 % | 68 % | 95 % |
| 4+ | 86 % | 57 % | 89 % |
| 5+ | 69 % | 43 % | 87 % |
| Adam Walton | Ignacio Buse | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breaks Per Match | 1.06 | 3.91 | 4.97 |
| Over 0.5 | 98 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 | 3 % | 95 % | 99 % |
| Over 2.5 | 0 % | 89 % | 54 % |
| Over 3.5 | 0 % | 84 % | 49 % |
| Over 4.5 | 0 % | 38 % | 49 % |
| Over 5.5 | 0 % | 0 % | 43 % |
| Adam Walton | Ignacio Buse | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tie Breaks Per Match | 0.49 | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| Over 0.5 | 42 % | 30 % | 36 % |
| Over 1.5 | 7 % | 11 % | 9 % |
| Under 0.5 | 58 % | 70 % | 36 % |
| Under 1.5 | 93 % | 89 % | 9 % |
| Adam Walton | Ignacio Buse | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Faults Per Match | 1.66 | 2.3 | 3.96 |
| Over 0.5 (1+) | 80 % | 89 % | 99 % |
| Over 1.5 (2+) | 46 % | 59 % | 89 % |
| Over 2.5 (3+) | 20 % | 35 % | 81 % |
| Over 3.5 (4+) | 8 % | 19 % | 63 % |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 5 % | 11 % | 48 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 5 % | 5 % | 33 % |
| Adam Walton | Ignacio Buse | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Points Won Per Match | 6.42 | 8.59 | 15.01 |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 68 % | 76 % | 72 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 53 % | 72 % | 63 % |
| Over 6.5 (7+) | 40 % | 62 % | 51 % |
| Over 7.5 (8+) | 28 % | 52 % | 40 % |
| Over 8.5 (9+) | 18 % | 38 % | 28 % |
| Over 9.5 (10+) | 15 % | 34 % | 25 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
Walton A meet Buse I on August 25, 2026 in the ATP. Uinston-Seylem, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Walton A 3-0-2, Buse I 2-0-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 60% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Walton A — 60%
Model estimate: win Walton A 60.0%, win Buse I 40.0%. Model favourite — Walton A.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Match winner — Buse I
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Buse I.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Get the 7-AI consensus, math-model probabilities, value picks and full reports for every match with Full Access.
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Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Adam Uolton - Ignasio Buse, 25 avgusta 2026. Uinston-Seylem. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Adam Uolton - Ignasio Buse, kto pobedil.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko60.0% · +Elo prior (weight0.34).
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.85 35.1% | |
| 2.02 49.5% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 2.10 47.6% | |
| 2.75 36.4% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.52 65.8% | |
| 1.04 96.2% | |
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| 1.10 90.9% | |
| 3.10 32.3% | |
| 4.40 22.7% | |
| 1.37 73.0% | |
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| 1.40 71.4% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| 12.00 8.3% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 2.40 41.7% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 16.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 17.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 18.5 | 4.70 21.3% |
| Over 19.5 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 20.5 | 5.40 18.5% |
| Over 21.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| Over 22.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Over 23.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 24.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 25.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Over 26.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 27.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 28.5 | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 29.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Over 30.5 | 6.90 14.5% |
| Over 32.5 | 9.00 11.1% |
| Under 16.5 | 2.55 39.2% |
| Under 17.5 | 3.20 31.3% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.55 | 2.45 |
| Winline | 1.43 | 2.69 |
| Fonbet | 1.45 | 2.75 |
| Betcity | 1.6 | 2.34 |
Walton A
Buse I
The Walton A - Buse I breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
By the PropickAI model, Buse I is favoured — about 60% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Buse I. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
August 25, 2026.