AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Fery A. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
| Duckworth J | Fery A | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 52% | 67.8% |
| Hard % | 53.4% | 71.2% |
| Clay % | 50% | 54.5% |
| Grass % | 45.9% | 51.4% |
| Deciding set % | 49.7% | 66.1% |
| Tie-breaks % | 50.4% | 50.8% |
| Titles (total) | 5 | 6 |
| Last 10 | WWWLWLWLWL | WWLWLWWWWW |
Source: scorego-app.com
| Duckworth J | Fery A | |
|---|---|---|
| Aces per match | 7.16 | 4.40 |
| Double faults per match | 3.84 | 1.57 |
| Breaks per match | 2.95 | 4.92 |
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
| James Duckworth | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 50.0% 10 / 20 Matches | 78.6% 11 / 14 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 59.6% 28 / 47 Matches | 74.3% 26 / 35 Matches |
| James Duckworth | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 62.5% 5 / 8 Matches | 42.9% 3 / 7 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 62.5% 5 / 8 Matches | 42.9% 3 / 7 Matches |
| James Duckworth | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 25.0% 1 / 4 Matches | 66.7% 6 / 9 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 25.0% 1 / 4 Matches | 66.7% 6 / 9 Matches |
Source:tennisstats.com
| James Duckworth | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| H2H wins | 2 (66.7%) | 1 (33.3%) |
| Sets | 5 (62.5%) | 3 (37.5%) |
| Wins this year | 50.0% 19 / 38 Matches | 66.7% 26 / 39 Matches |
| Wins in 12 mo. | 57.6% 38 / 66 Matches | 68.3% 41 / 60 Matches |
| Current rank | 79 | 37 |
Source: tennisstats.com
| James Duckworth | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Prize money (career) | $4,021,607 USD | $515,721 USD |
| Rating | 79 | 37 |
| Age | 34 | 24 |
| Height | 1.83m | 1.75m |
| Weight | 82kg | 76kg |
| Playing hand | Right-handed | Right-handed |
| James Duckworth | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Match Wins | 50 % | 67 % |
| Match Wins (3 Sets) | 50 % | 67 % |
| Match Wins (5 Sets) | 50 % | 50 % |
| Wins in Straight Sets | 32 % | 28 % |
| Wins From Behind | 24 % | 38 % |
| Won At Least 1 Set | 68 % | 74 % |
| Set 1 Win | 45 % | 49 % |
| Set 2 Win | 55 % | 54 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Date | Tournament | Results |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15 2026 | Cincinnati ATP (Hard) | James Duckworth 1 – 2 Arthur Fery |
| May 16 2024 | Taipei Chall. Men (Hard) | James Duckworth 2 – 0 Arthur Fery |
| Apr 10 2024 | Busan Chall. Men (Hard) | James Duckworth 2 – 1 Arthur Fery |
Source:tennisstats.com
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
| James Duckworth | Arthur Fery | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Games in a Set | 10.16 | 10 | 10.08 |
| Over 6.5 | 100 % | 97 % | 99 % |
| Over 7.5 | 97 % | 90 % | 94 % |
| Over 8.5 | 81 % | 67 % | 74 % |
| Over 9.5 | 59 % | 50 % | 55 % |
| Over 10.5 | 31 % | 23 % | 27 % |
| Over 11.5 | 31 % | 23 % | 27 % |
| James Duckworth | Arthur Fery | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces Per Match | 7.16 | 4.40 | 11.56 |
| Most Aces in a match | 56 % | 47 % | N/A |
| 1+ | 100 % | 90 % | 100 % |
| 2+ | 100 % | 83 % | 99 % |
| 3+ | 100 % | 70 % | 94 % |
| 4+ | 91 % | 60 % | 92 % |
| 5+ | 78 % | 40 % | 85 % |
| James Duckworth | Arthur Fery | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breaks Per Match | 2.95 | 4.92 | 7.87 |
| Over 0.5 | 97 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 | 47 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 2.5 | 47 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 3.5 | 47 % | 100 % | 99 % |
| Over 4.5 | 47 % | 100 % | 99 % |
| Over 5.5 | 0 % | 57 % | 99 % |
| James Duckworth | Arthur Fery | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tie Breaks Per Match | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.45 |
| Over 0.5 | 41 % | 40 % | 40 % |
| Over 1.5 | 9 % | 0 % | 5 % |
| Under 0.5 | 59 % | 60 % | 40 % |
| Under 1.5 | 91 % | 100 % | 5 % |
| James Duckworth | Arthur Fery | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Faults Per Match | 3.84 | 1.57 | 5.41 |
| Over 0.5 (1+) | 88 % | 77 % | 99 % |
| Over 1.5 (2+) | 75 % | 53 % | 94 % |
| Over 2.5 (3+) | 63 % | 20 % | 81 % |
| Over 3.5 (4+) | 53 % | 7 % | 74 % |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 44 % | 0 % | 63 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 31 % | 0 % | 53 % |
| James Duckworth | Arthur Fery | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Points Won Per Match | 6.58 | 9.43 | 16.01 |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 71 % | 86 % | 79 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 67 % | 77 % | 72 % |
| Over 6.5 (7+) | 67 % | 77 % | 72 % |
| Over 7.5 (8+) | 58 % | 68 % | 63 % |
| Over 8.5 (9+) | 50 % | 64 % | 57 % |
| Over 9.5 (10+) | 46 % | 55 % | 51 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
Duckworth J take on Fery A in tennis, in ATP. Uinston-Seylem, on 28 August 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Fery A as the favourite at around 58%. Sportsbook prices (5 books) put that result at roughly 58%.
Latest form: Duckworth J 4 won and 1 lost; Fery A 3 won and 1 lost. Duckworth J arrive on a winning run. Glicko ratings: Duckworth J 1786, Fery A 1781, a gap of 4 points. Across 1 recent head-to-head meeting between them, the full record is shown below on this page.
Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is low. The favourite's edge is moderate, so a protective market (double chance or draw-no-bet) is steadier than a single outright bet. Key markers: an edge of 4 Glicko rating points, the model's 58% for Fery A. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Fery A — 58%
Model estimate: win Duckworth J 42.0%, win Fery A 58.0%. Model favourite — Fery A.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Match winner — Fery A
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fery A.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Playoff draw
Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko42.0% · +Elo prior (weight0.34).
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.30 43.5% | |
| 2.80 35.7% | |
| 3.70 27.0% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| 2.55 39.2% | |
| 2.90 34.5% | |
| 3.30 30.3% | |
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| 1.40 71.4% | |
| 1.23 81.3% | |
| 1.67 59.9% | |
| 3.20 31.3% | |
| 1.63 61.4% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 1.28 78.1% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.80 35.7% | |
| 7.30 13.7% | |
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 1.40 71.4% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | 2.15 46.5% |
| Over 1.5 | — | 8.00 12.5% |
| Over 20.5 | 1.60 62.5% | — |
| Over 21.5 | 1.70 58.8% | — |
| Over 22.5 | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Over 23.5 | 2.40 41.7% | — |
| Over 24.5 | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Over 25.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — |
| Over 26.5 | 2.55 39.2% | — |
| Over 27.5 | 2.75 36.4% | — |
| Under 20.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — |
| Under 21.5 | 2.02 49.5% | — |
| Under 22.5 | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 23.5 | 1.50 66.7% | — |
| Under 24.5 | 1.75 57.1% | — |
| Under 25.5 | 1.65 60.6% | — |
| Under 26.5 | 1.45 69.0% | — |
| Under 27.5 | 1.40 71.4% | — |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.80 35.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.25 | 1.65 |
| Winline | 2.11 | 1.7 |
| Fonbet | 2.25 | 1.65 |
| Betcity | 2.2 | 1.68 |
Duckworth J
Fery A
The Duckworth J - Fery A breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
By the PropickAI model, Fery A is favoured — about 58% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Fery A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
Live odds for Duckworth J vs Fery A from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
August 28, 2026.