AI verdict

AI pick Pinnington Jones J win probability ~53% best odds 1.13

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Pinnington Jones J. Full breakdown below.

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Manakor
Manakor International

Echargui M vs Pinnington Jones J — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
Tennis Manakor
Manakor 01.09.2026 10:00 UTC Finished
01.09.2026 10:00 UTC Finished
Echargui M
Echargui M
Pinnington Jones J
Pinnington Jones J
1:2 6:2 4:6 4:6
1 2 3 GP
Echargui M 6 4 4 1
Pinnington Jones J 2 6 6 2
1 2 3
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Pinnington Jones J53%

1 · Echargui M46.8%
2 · Pinnington Jones J53.2%

Model estimate: win Echargui M 46.8%, win Pinnington Jones J 53.2%. Model favourite — Pinnington Jones J.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner Pinnington Jones J

Model confidence 82% ~87% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Echargui M - Pinnington Jones J September 1, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pinnington Jones J.

Line favourite Fonbet: Pinnington Jones J. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.00 / 2 1.13
  • Glicko: Echargui M 46.8% / Pinnington Jones J 53.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 18.4%
2 81.6%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.50 → 2.50
Winner 2 1.45 → 1.45

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Preview

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
Odds
P1 2.50 36.7% BetBoom
P2 1.45 63.3% BetBoom

Echargui M go head-to-head with Pinnington Jones J on September 1, 2026 in the Manakor, International.

PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 47% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Echargui M
3-7LLLWLLLWWL
sets for 0.9sets against 1.6
Pinnington Jones J
4-6WLLLLWWLWL
sets for 0.9sets against 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 01.09.2026 10:00 UTC
Market 1 18.4% @ 5.00 / 2 81.6% @ 1.13
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Pinnington Jones J 53%
💹 Market Pinnington Jones J 82%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Echargui M - Pinnington Jones J

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Echargui M Pinnington Jones J Result
Set 1 6 2 6:2
Set 2 4 6 4:6
Set 3 4 6 4:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 53.2% fact: away hit / ROI 45.0% / Brier 0.437 / LogLoss 0.631
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form away - 50.4% fact: away hit / ROI 45.0% / Brier 0.492 / LogLoss 0.685
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Echargui M 36.7% 46.8%
Pinnington Jones J 63.3% 53.2% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 46.8% / 53.2% probabilities
Rating 1,523 / 1,669 Echargui M / Pinnington Jones J
RD 140 / 112 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,243-1,804 / 1,445-1,893 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.13 Fonbet · no value · model 53.2%
1 5.00 Fonbet · weak value +133.8% · model 46.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.27 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 3.35 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Over 18.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
3.35 29.9%
1.82 55.0%
4.90 20.4%
2.02 49.5%
1.68 59.5%
2.60 38.5%
1.27 78.7%
3.35 29.9%
2.00 50.0%
1.68 59.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.27 78.7%
1.88 53.2%
1.13 88.5%
1.70 58.8%
2.05 48.8%
1.78 56.2%
1.55 64.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
6.30 15.9%
1.07 93.5%
11.50 8.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 18.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 19.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 20.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 21.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 22.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 23.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 24.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 25.5 1.28 78.1%
Over 26.5 3.40 29.4%
Over 27.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 28.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 30.5 4.20 23.8%
Under 17.5 2.08 48.1%
Under 18.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 19.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 20.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 21.5 1.73 57.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.07 93.5%
Under 2.5 6.30 15.9%
Match center
Echargui M
L L W W W
25.08 22:05 UTC+0 US Open. Men
Echargui M 0:2 Dellien UDellien U
22.08 23:00 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Kankun
Echargui M 0:2 Khurkach KhKhurkach Kh
21.08 23:45 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Kankun
Echargui M 2:1 Kuame MKuame M
21.08 00:35 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Kankun
Echargui M 2:0 Ugo Karabeli KUgo Karabeli K
19.08 20:00 UTC+0 ATP Challenger. Kankun
Echargui M 2:0 Virtanen OVirtanen O
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Pinnington Jones J
L L W W L
26.08 17:05 UTC+0 US Open. Men
Pinnington Jones J 1:2 Virtanen OVirtanen O
26.08 15:00 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship USA 🇺🇸 - Qualifying, hard
Pinnington Jones J 1:2 Virtanen OVirtanen O
24.08 23:20 UTC+0 US Open. Men
Pinnington Jones J 2:0 Svayda TSvayda T
24.08 22:05 UTC+0 ATP - Singles: Otkrytyy Championship USA 🇺🇸 - Qualifying, hard
Pinnington Jones J 2:0 Svajda T. 🇺🇸Svajda T. 🇺🇸
15.08 23:00 UTC+0 Challenger Men - Singles: Brownsburg 🇺🇸, hard
Pinnington Jones J 0:2 Ilagan A. 🇺🇸Ilagan A. 🇺🇸
2 Wins
3 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Echargui M vs Pinnington Jones J?

By the PropickAI model, Pinnington Jones J is favoured — about 53% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Echargui M vs Pinnington Jones J?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Pinnington Jones J. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Echargui M vs Pinnington Jones J?

Live odds for Echargui M vs Pinnington Jones J from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Echargui M vs Pinnington Jones J start?

September 1, 2026.