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AI verdict

AI pick Mashtakov N win probability ~64% confidence High best odds 1.45

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Mashtakov N. Full breakdown below.

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Plovdiv 3
Plovdiv 3 International
31.08.2026 09:00 UTC Match prediction

Mashtakov N vs Opitz J — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis Plovdiv 3
Plovdiv 3 31.08.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
31.08.2026 09:00 UTC Finished
Mashtakov N
Mashtakov N
Rank #838 Elo 32
47Struggling Form
L W L W W W L W
Opitz J
Opitz J
Rank #576 Elo 69
66Average Form
L W W L L L W W
2:0 6:4 6:4
1 2 GP
Mashtakov N 6 6 2
Opitz J 4 4 0
1 2
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Mashtakov N — 64%

1 · Mashtakov N ✓ Pick64.4%
market 64%
2 · Opitz J35.6%
market 36%

Model estimate: win Mashtakov N 64.4%, win Opitz J 35.6%. Model favourite — Mashtakov N.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mashtakov N - Opitz J August 31, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mashtakov N.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mashtakov N. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.45 / 2 2.55
  • Glicko: Mashtakov N 64.4% / Opitz J 35.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9% 3 books
1 ✓ Pick 64.4%
2 35.6%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.40 ↑ 1.45
Winner 2 2.75 ↓ 2.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Mashtakov N
64%
1.45
Opitz J
36%
2.60

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Mashtakov N Opitz J
Win % 59.3% 55.7%
Hard % 65.2% 64.2%
Clay % 58.5% 39.4%
Grass % 0% 0%
Deciding set % 50.9% 55.6%
Tie-breaks % 66.7% 56.8%
Titles (total) 4 0
Last 10 WLWWWWWWWW WLWLLLWLWW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#838 Rating #576
28 Age 27
1.93m Height (cm) 1.75m
95kg Weight (kg) 77kg
Left Hand Right
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0

Serve and return stats

Mashtakov N Opitz J
Aces per match 8.60 2.75
Double faults per match 5 2.25
Breaks per match 13 9

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Jannik Opitz
Rank:838 Elo: 32
L W L W W W L W
Nikita Mashtakov
Rank:576 Elo: 69
L W W L L L W W
Elo favourite:Mashtakov N (edge +37 Elo)

Hard

Jannik OpitzNikita Mashtakov
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 40.0% 2 / 5 Matches 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 54.6% 6 / 11 Matches 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches

Clay

Jannik OpitzNikita Mashtakov
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 6 / 12 Matches 70.4% 19 / 27 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 46.2% 6 / 13 Matches 65.6% 21 / 32 Matches

Grass

Jannik OpitzNikita Mashtakov
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months N/A 0 / 0 Matches N/A 0 / 0 Matches

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Jannik Opitz Nikita Mashtakov
H2H wins 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Sets 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Wins this year 47.1% 8 / 17 Matches 65.7% 23 / 35 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 52.0% 13 / 25 Matches 62.5% 25 / 40 Matches
Current rank 838 576

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Jannik Opitz Nikita Mashtakov
Prize money (career) $12,454 USD $37,478 USD
Rating 838 576
Age 28 27
Height 1.93m 1.75m
Weight 95kg 77kg
Playing hand Left-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Jannik Opitz Nikita Mashtakov
Match Wins 47 % 66 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 47 % 66 %
Wins in Straight Sets 29 % 46 %
Wins From Behind 10 % 20 %
Won At Least 1 Set 47 % 69 %
Set 1 Win 41 % 60 %
Set 2 Win 35 % 54 %
Set 3 Win 100 % 88 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Jannik Opitz Nikita Mashtakov Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.88 9.37 9.63
Over 6.5 100 % 91 % 96 %
Over 7.5 94 % 86 % 90 %
Over 8.5 82 % 54 % 68 %
Over 9.5 41 % 40 % 41 %
Over 10.5 29 % 26 % 28 %
Over 11.5 29 % 26 % 28 %

Aces

Jannik Opitz Nikita Mashtakov Match total
Aces Per Match 8.60 2.75 11.35
Most Aces in a match 80 % 25 % N/A
1+ 100 % 100 % 100 %
2+ 100 % 50 % 100 %
3+ 80 % 25 % 90 %
4+ 80 % 25 % 90 %
5+ 80 % 25 % 78 %

Breaks

Jannik Opitz Nikita Mashtakov Match total
Breaks Per Match 13 9 22
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 2.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 3.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 4.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 5.5 100 % 100 % 100 %

Tie-breaks

Jannik Opitz Nikita Mashtakov Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.24 0.37 0.3
Over 0.5 24 % 31 % 27 %
Over 1.5 0 % 6 % 3 %
Under 0.5 76 % 69 % 27 %
Under 1.5 100 % 94 % 3 %

Double faults

Jannik Opitz Nikita Mashtakov Match total
Double Faults Per Match 5 2.25 7.25
Over 0.5 (1+) 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 100 % 50 % 100 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 80 % 50 % 88 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 80 % 25 % 75 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 40 % 0 % 53 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 20 % 0 % 53 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.45 64.2% BetBoom
P2 2.60 35.8% BetBoom

Mashtakov N host Opitz J in tennis, in Plovdiv 3, on 31 August 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Mashtakov N as the favourite at around 64%. The bookmaker consensus (3 books) implies about 64% for the same outcome.

Latest form: Mashtakov N 4 won and 0 lost; Opitz J 1 won and 2 lost. Mashtakov N arrive on a winning run. Glicko ratings: Mashtakov N 1886, Opitz J 1422, a gap of 464 points.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is moderate. The favourite's edge is moderate, so a protective market (double chance or draw-no-bet) is steadier than a single outright bet. Key markers: an edge of 464 Glicko rating points, the model's 64% for Mashtakov N. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

Match center
Start 31.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Market 1 63.8% @ 1.45 / 2 36.3% @ 2.55
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Mashtakov N 64%
💹 Market Mashtakov N 64%
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Match center

Mashtakov N - Opitz J

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Mashtakov N Opitz J Result
Set 1 6 4 6:4
Set 2 6 4 6:4
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 64.4% fact: home hit / ROI 45.0% / Brier 0.254 / LogLoss 0.441
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form home - 51.7% fact: home hit / ROI 45.0% / Brier 0.466 / LogLoss 0.659
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mashtakov N 64.4% 57.4% market and model agree
Opitz J 35.6% 42.6% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko64.4% · +Elo prior (weight0.50).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 64.4% / 35.6% probabilities
Rating 1,886 / 1,422 Mashtakov N / Opitz J
RD 206 / 213 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,475-2,297 / 996-1,848 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.55 Fonbet · no value · model 35.6%
1 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 64.4%
Total
Over 19.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.20 83.3%
2.15 46.5%
1.70 58.8%
4.50 22.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 19.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 20.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 21.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 22.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 19.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 20.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 21.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 22.5 1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 2.5 1.52 65.8%
Match center
Mashtakov N
W L W W W
2026-08-30 2026 Plovdiv 3, Bulgaria, Qualifying
Mashtakov N Mashtakov N 2:1 Basel V
2026-08-11 2026 Todi, Italy
Mashtakov N Roca Batalla O 2:0 Mashtakov N
2026-08-10 2026 Todi, Italy, Qualifying
Mashtakov N Ferrari G 1:2 Mashtakov N
2026-08-09 2026 Todi, Italy, Qualifying
Mashtakov N Ribero F 0:2 Mashtakov N
2026-03-29
Mashtakov N Porras J C 0:2 Mashtakov N
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage
Opitz J
W L W L L
2026-08-30 2026 Plovdiv 3, Bulgaria, Qualifying
Opitz J 2:0 Haita S H Opitz J
2026-08-10 2026 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying
Opitz J 0:2 Krutykh O Opitz J
2026-08-09 2026 Hamburg, Germany, Qualifying
Nijboer R 1:2 Opitz J Opitz J
2026-08-02 2026 Hagen, Germany, Qualifying
Dodig M 2:0 Opitz J Opitz J
2026-07-19 2026 Tampere, Finland, Qualifying
Kuzmanov D 2:0 Opitz J Opitz J
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.4 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mashtakov N vs Opitz J?

By the PropickAI model, Mashtakov N is favoured — about 64% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Mashtakov N vs Opitz J?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Mashtakov N. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Mashtakov N vs Opitz J?

Live odds for Mashtakov N vs Opitz J from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Mashtakov N vs Opitz J start?

August 31, 2026.