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AI verdict

AI pick Salkova D win probability ~57% confidence Medium best odds 12.50

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Salkova D. Full breakdown below.

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US Open. Women
US Open. Women International
26.08.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction

Salkova D vs Knutson G A — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
Tennis US Open. Women
US Open. Women hard 26.08.2026 16:30 UTC Finished
26.08.2026 16:30 UTC Finished
Salkova D
Salkova D
Rank #118 Elo 622
52Average Form
W L L W W W L L
Knutson G A
Knutson G A
Rank #184 Elo 421
50Average Form
W W W L W W W W
0:2 3:6 1:6
1 2 GP
Salkova D 3 1 0
Knutson G A 6 6 2
1 2
Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Salkova D Knutson G A
Win % 61.6% 60.3%
Hard % 68.1% 61.1%
Clay % 55.6% 57.1%
Grass % 25% 55%
Deciding set % 59.8% 56.1%
Tie-breaks % 49.2% 42%
Titles (total) 8 6
Last 10 WLLWWWLWWW WLWWWWLWLW

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

- Country -
#118 Rating #184
22 Age 29
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
hard Coverage hard
1 H2H 1

Serve and return stats

Salkova D Knutson G A
Aces per match 1.43 3.78
Double faults per match 4.17 4.56
Breaks per match 4.58 4.24

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Dominika Salkova
Rank:118 Elo: 622
W L L W W W L L
Gabriela Knutson
Rank:184 Elo: 421
W W W L W W W W
Elo favourite:Salkova D (edge +201 Elo)

Hard

Dominika SalkovaGabriela Knutson
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 64.7% 11 / 17 Matches 50.0% 14 / 28 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 61.5% 16 / 26 Matches 51.1% 24 / 47 Matches
Aces Per Match 2.00 3.17
Most Aces in a match 18 % 67 %

Clay

Dominika SalkovaGabriela Knutson
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 46.2% 12 / 26 Matches 50.0% 3 / 6 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 45.2% 14 / 31 Matches 50.0% 4 / 8 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.00 4.50
Most Aces in a match 14 % 75 %

Grass

Dominika SalkovaGabriela Knutson
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 55.6% 5 / 9 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 0.0% 0 / 1 Matches 55.6% 5 / 9 Matches
Aces Per Match 1.00 5.40
Most Aces in a match 0 % 100 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Dominika Salkova Gabriela Knutson
H2H wins 2 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Sets 4 (100.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Wins this year 52.3% 23 / 44 Matches 50.0% 22 / 44 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 51.7% 30 / 58 Matches 50.0% 33 / 66 Matches
Current rank 118 184

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Dominika Salkova Gabriela Knutson
Prize money (career) $208,889 USD $153,458 USD
Rating 118 184
Age 22 29

Win percentage (match / set)

Dominika Salkova Gabriela Knutson
Match Wins 52 % 50 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 52 % 51 %
Wins in Straight Sets 41 % 39 %
Wins From Behind 13 % 8 %
Won At Least 1 Set 64 % 66 %
Set 1 Win 52 % 55 %
Set 2 Win 52 % 50 %
Set 3 Win 50 % 42 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
Jul 19 2026 Livesport Prague Open WTA (Hard) Dominika Salkova 2 – 0 Gabriela Knutson
Mar 14 2024 W75 Ricany ITF Women (Hard) Dominika Salkova 2 – 0 Gabriela Knutson

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Dominika Salkova Gabriela Knutson Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.32 9.09 9.21
Over 6.5 95 % 95 % 95 %
Over 7.5 75 % 81 % 78 %
Over 8.5 61 % 56 % 59 %
Over 9.5 39 % 37 % 38 %
Over 10.5 25 % 16 % 21 %
Over 11.5 25 % 16 % 21 %

Aces

Dominika Salkova Gabriela Knutson Match total
Aces Per Match 1.43 3.78 5.21
Most Aces in a match 15 % 74 % N/A
1+ 73 % 100 % 95 %
2+ 35 % 93 % 87 %
3+ 18 % 67 % 74 %
4+ 5 % 56 % 63 %
5+ 5 % 30 % 47 %

Breaks

Dominika Salkova Gabriela Knutson Match total
Breaks Per Match 4.58 4.24 8.82
Over 0.5 100 % 100 % 100 %
Over 1.5 100 % 52 % 100 %
Over 2.5 100 % 52 % 100 %
Over 3.5 50 % 52 % 100 %
Over 4.5 45 % 44 % 100 %
Over 5.5 5 % 4 % 98 %

Tie-breaks

Dominika Salkova Gabriela Knutson Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.3 0.19 0.24
Over 0.5 27 % 19 % 23 %
Over 1.5 2 % 0 % 1 %
Under 0.5 73 % 81 % 23 %
Under 1.5 98 % 100 % 1 %

Double faults

Dominika Salkova Gabriela Knutson Match total
Double Faults Per Match 4.17 4.56 8.73
Over 0.5 (1+) 95 % 93 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 85 % 89 % 98 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 65 % 81 % 93 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 48 % 70 % 85 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 35 % 56 % 76 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 25 % 37 % 66 %

Net points

Dominika Salkova Gabriela Knutson Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 8.83 6.88 15.71
Over 4.5 (5+) 100 % 75 % 88 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 100 % 50 % 75 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 100 % 50 % 75 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 83 % 50 % 67 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 83 % 25 % 54 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 50 % 25 % 38 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.70 56.7% BetBoom
P2 2.23 43.3% BetBoom

Salkova D meet Knutson G A on August 26, 2026 in the US Open. Women, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Salkova D 3-0-2, Knutson G A 4-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 57% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Salkova D — 57%

1 · Salkova D56.8%
2 · Knutson G A43.2%

Model estimate: win Salkova D 56.8%, win Knutson G A 43.2%. Model favourite — Salkova D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Match winner — Knutson G A

Model confidence 92% ~95% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Salkova D - Knutson G A August 26, 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Knutson G A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Knutson G A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 12.50 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: Salkova D 56.8% / Knutson G A 43.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.6% 6 books · best price +664.5%
1 57.0%
2 43.0%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.57 ↑ 1.68
Winner 2 2.40 ↓ 2.20

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Salkova D
57%
12.50
Knutson G A
43%
2.23
Total
Over 21.5
50%
1.95
Under 21.5
50%
1.89

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

Salkova DKnutson G A
  • Match started
  • Set 1 Break 1-2 Knutson G A
  • Set 1 Break 2-2 Salkova D
  • Set 1 Break 3-4 Knutson G A
  • Set 1 3-6 Knutson G A
  • Set 2 Break 1-3 Knutson G A
  • Set 2 Break 1-5 Knutson G A
  • Set 2 1-6 Knutson G A
  • Match ended 0-2 Knutson G A

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 26.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Market 1 7.5% @ 12.50 / 2 92.5% @ 1.02
Coverage hard
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Salkova D 57%
💹 Market Salkova D 57%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Salkova D - Knutson G A

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Salkova D Knutson G A Result
Set 1 3 6 3:6
Set 2 1 6 1:6
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 56.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.645 / LogLoss 0.839
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit tennis is audit-only for now: surface, serve/return and market are needed Data: line, form, coverage, H2H home - 50.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.516 / LogLoss 0.710
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Salkova D 57.3% 55.1% market and model agree
Knutson G A 42.7% 44.9% market and model agree
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko56.8% · +Elo prior (weight0.36).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 56.8% / 43.2% probabilities
Rating 1,769 / 1,773 Salkova D / Knutson G A
RD 179 / 156 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,412-2,126 / 1,462-2,085 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 43.2%
1 1.64 market consensus · no value · model 56.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 3.70 market consensus · line only
Over 16.5 4.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% —
1.97 50.8% 1.93 51.8% —
1.88 53.2% 1.92 52.1% —
— — 1.75 57.1%
1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% —
1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3% —
1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6% —
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 1.57 63.7%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
11.00 9.1%
9.50 10.5%
1.03 97.1%
1.01 99.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 16.5 — — 4.90 20.4%
Over 17.5 — — 7.00 14.3%
Over 18.5 — — 11.00 9.1%
Over 19.5 — — 1.77 56.5%
Over 20.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 21.5 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3%
Over 22.5 — — 2.35 42.6%
Over 23.5 — — 2.07 48.3%
Over 24.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
Under 16.5 — — 1.14 87.7%
Under 17.5 — — 1.05 95.2%
Under 18.5 — — 1.01 99.0%
Under 19.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Under 20.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Under 21.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% —

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 2.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-1
2026-08-26 · Dominika Shalkova 0:2 Gabriela Knutson
2026-07-19 · Dominika Shalkova 2:0 Gabriela Knutson
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.57 (Fonbet) · 2 2.8 (Pari)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.45 2.8
Winline 1.48 2.62
Fonbet 1.57 2.4
Betcity 1.45 2.65
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

0 Eysy 6
9 Dvoynye oshibki 5
3 Vsego breyk-poyntov 9
1 Vyigrannye breyk-poynty 5
41 Vyigrannye Points 62
23 Points na podache 34
28 Poteryannye Points na podache 18
35 Uspeshnaya 1-ya podacha 30
7 Uspeshnaya 2-ya podacha 18
20 Vyigrysh 1-y podachi 25
3 Vyigrysh 2-y podachi 9
5 Maks. ochkov podryad 6
3 Geymy na podache 7
4 Vyigrannye geymy 12
2 Maks. geymov podryad 5
0 Tay-breyk 0
Source: ruscore
Salkova D
W L L W W
2026-08-24 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying
Salkova D Salkova D 2:1 Urhobo A
2026-08-12 2026 Cincinnati, USA, Qualifying
Salkova D Salkova D 0:2 Blinkova A
2026-07-24 2026 Prague, Czech Republic
Salkova D Salkova D 0:2 Krejcikova B
2026-07-22 2026 Prague, Czech Republic
Salkova D Salkova D 2:0 Dodin O
2026-07-20 2026 Prague, Czech Republic
Salkova D Ruzic A 0:2 Salkova D
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.2 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Knutson G A
W L W W W
2026-08-24 2026 US Open, New York, USA, Qualifying
Knutson G A 2:0 Lepchenko V Knutson G A
2026-08-08 2026 Warsaw, Poland
Lee Carol Young Suh 2:0 Knutson G A Knutson G A
2026-08-07 2026 Warsaw, Poland
Yaneva E 0:2 Knutson G A Knutson G A
2026-08-06 2026 Warsaw, Poland
Mikulskyte J 0:2 Knutson G A Knutson G A
2026-08-05 2026 Warsaw, Poland
Knutson G A 2:0 Seidel E Knutson G A
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.4 Sets lost
80% Win percentage

Recent form

Salkova D LWLLWW
Knutson G A WWLWWW

Match facts

Round: 15 Stadium: Court 13

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salkova D vs Knutson G A?

By the PropickAI model, Knutson G A is favoured — about 57% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Salkova D vs Knutson G A?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Knutson G A. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Salkova D vs Knutson G A?

Live odds for Salkova D vs Knutson G A from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Salkova D vs Knutson G A start?

August 26, 2026.