AI verdict

AI pick Bartunkova N win probability ~63% confidence High best odds 1.45

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Bartunkova N. Full breakdown below.

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WTA. Monterrey
WTA. Monterrey International

Bartunkova N vs Potapova A — Tennis prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
Tennis WTA. Monterrey
WTA. Monterrey 2nd round hard 26.08.2026 03:35 UTC Finished
26.08.2026 03:35 UTC 2nd round Finished
Bartunkova N
Bartunkova N Czechia
Rank #38 Elo 1237
60Average Form
W L W L W W L L
Potapova A
Potapova A Austria
Rank #25 Elo 1756
59Average Form
L W W L W L W L
-:-
Stadium: Sonoma Klab, Tsentralnyy kort Coverage: hard
Preview

Extended stats (scorego)

Bartunkova N Potapova A
Win % 67.4% 55.2%
Hard % 64.5% 51%
Clay % 69.8% 66%
Grass % 66.7% 46.4%
Deciding set % 57.5% 60%
Tie-breaks % 45.1% 46.4%
Titles (total) 6 3
Last 10 WLWLWWLWLW LLWLWLLLWL

Source: scorego-app.com

About the athletes

Czechia Country Austria
#38 Rating #25
20 Age 25 -
- Height (cm) 1.75m
Rost (sm) 175 - Weight (kg) 57
Right Hand Right
38 Seed 25
hard Coverage hard
Posev 4 0 H2H 1

Serve and return stats

Bartunkova N Potapova A
Aces per match 4.16 2.60
Double faults per match 4.6 4.78
Breaks per match 3.31 3.97

Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)

Form over the last year

Bartunkova N
58% 19 / 33
58% 19 / 33
Sintetika
no data
clay
2 iz 4
grass
4 iz 7
hard
13 iz 22
Potapova A
59% 27 / 46
59% 27 / 46
Sintetika
no data
clay
14 iz 18
grass
1 iz 4
hard
12 iz 24

TennisStats: rating, form and serve/return

Nikola Bartunkova
Rank:38 Elo: 1237
W L W L W W L L
Anastasia Potapova
Rank:25 Elo: 1756
L W W L W L W L
Elo favourite:Potapova A (edge +519 Elo)

Hard

Nikola BartunkovaAnastasia Potapova
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 61.5% 16 / 26 Matches 45.0% 9 / 20 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 61.5% 24 / 39 Matches 48.2% 13 / 27 Matches
Aces Per Match 3.96 2.05
Most Aces in a match 65 % 40 %

Clay

Nikola BartunkovaAnastasia Potapova
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 50.0% 5 / 10 Matches 77.3% 17 / 22 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 50.0% 5 / 10 Matches 77.3% 17 / 22 Matches
Aces Per Match 3.50 3.32
Most Aces in a match 40 % 64 %

Grass

Nikola BartunkovaAnastasia Potapova
Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year 66.7% 6 / 9 Matches 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches
Win Percentage Last 12 Months 66.7% 6 / 9 Matches 33.3% 1 / 3 Matches
Aces Per Match 5.44 1.00
Most Aces in a match 67 % 0 %

Source:tennisstats.com

H2H series (tennisstats)

Nikola Bartunkova Anastasia Potapova
H2H wins 0 (0.0%) 2 (100.0%)
Sets 1 (20.0%) 4 (80.0%)
Wins this year 60.4% 29 / 48 Matches 58.7% 27 / 46 Matches
Wins in 12 mo. 60.7% 37 / 61 Matches 58.5% 31 / 53 Matches
Current rank 38 25

Source: tennisstats.com

Profile and percentages (tennisstats)

Nikola Bartunkova Anastasia Potapova
Prize money (career) $84,031 USD $4,285,519 USD
Rating 38 25
Age 20 25
Height 1.75m
Weight 57kg
Playing hand Right-handed Right-handed

Win percentage (match / set)

Nikola Bartunkova Anastasia Potapova
Match Wins 60 % 59 %
Match Wins (3 Sets) 60 % 60 %
Wins in Straight Sets 33 % 33 %
Wins From Behind 17 % 34 %
Won At Least 1 Set 83 % 70 %
Set 1 Win 67 % 41 %
Set 2 Win 50 % 62 %
Set 3 Win 57 % 71 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Head-to-Head Record

Date Tournament Results
May 5 2026 Rome WTA (Clay) Nikola Bartunkova 1 – 2 Anastasia Potapova
Apr 20 2022 Istanbul WTA (Clay) Nikola Bartunkova 0 – 2 Anastasia Potapova

Source:tennisstats.com

Betting benchmarks (tennisstats)

Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.

Total games

Nikola Bartunkova Anastasia Potapova Match total
Average Games in a Set 9.33 9.65 9.49
Over 6.5 98 % 100 % 99 %
Over 7.5 82 % 78 % 80 %
Over 8.5 71 % 64 % 68 %
Over 9.5 47 % 53 % 50 %
Over 10.5 18 % 29 % 24 %
Over 11.5 18 % 29 % 24 %

Aces

Nikola Bartunkova Anastasia Potapova Match total
Aces Per Match 4.16 2.60 6.76
Most Aces in a match 60 % 49 % N/A
1+ 93 % 76 % 97 %
2+ 84 % 62 % 89 %
3+ 67 % 42 % 81 %
4+ 51 % 29 % 70 %
5+ 44 % 22 % 58 %

Breaks

Nikola Bartunkova Anastasia Potapova Match total
Breaks Per Match 3.31 3.97 7.28
Over 0.5 56 % 98 % 100 %
Over 1.5 51 % 96 % 100 %
Over 2.5 51 % 53 % 100 %
Over 3.5 49 % 51 % 79 %
Over 4.5 49 % 9 % 75 %
Over 5.5 7 % 7 % 75 %

Tie-breaks

Nikola Bartunkova Anastasia Potapova Match total
Tie Breaks Per Match 0.29 0.31 0.3
Over 0.5 22 % 29 % 26 %
Over 1.5 7 % 2 % 4 %
Under 0.5 78 % 71 % 26 %
Under 1.5 93 % 98 % 4 %

Double faults

Nikola Bartunkova Anastasia Potapova Match total
Double Faults Per Match 4.6 4.78 9.38
Over 0.5 (1+) 98 % 96 % 100 %
Over 1.5 (2+) 91 % 93 % 100 %
Over 2.5 (3+) 76 % 76 % 98 %
Over 3.5 (4+) 62 % 64 % 91 %
Over 4.5 (5+) 47 % 53 % 83 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 33 % 42 % 71 %

Net points

Nikola Bartunkova Anastasia Potapova Match total
Net Points Won Per Match 11.4 7.38 18.78
Over 4.5 (5+) 100 % 75 % 88 %
Over 5.5 (6+) 100 % 63 % 82 %
Over 6.5 (7+) 100 % 38 % 69 %
Over 7.5 (8+) 90 % 25 % 58 %
Over 8.5 (9+) 90 % 13 % 52 %
Over 9.5 (10+) 90 % 13 % 52 %

Source:tennisstats.com

Odds
P1 1.56 64.2% BetBoom
P2 2.80 35.8% BetBoom

Bartunkova N face Potapova A on August 26, 2026 in the WTA. Monterrey, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Bartunkova N 3-0-2, Potapova A 2-0-3. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Bartunkova N63%

1 · Bartunkova N ✓ Pick63.1%
market 64%
2 · Potapova A36.9%
market 36%

Model estimate: win Bartunkova N 63.1%, win Potapova A 36.9%. Model favourite — Bartunkova N.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Match winner Bartunkova N

Model confidence 65% ~79% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bartunkova N - Potapova A August 26, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bartunkova N. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.45 / 2 2.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 7 books · best price +6.1%
1 ✓ Pick 64.5%
2 35.5%

Odds source: consensus of 7 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.53 ↓ 1.45
Winner P2 2.50 ↑ 2.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Bartunkova N
64%
1.56
Potapova A
36%
2.80
Total
Over 17.5
51%
1.82
Under 17.5
49%
1.88

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket 2026 Monterrey, Mexico, Qualifying

Qualification round 1
Joint, Maya2
Hinojosa Gomez, Jessica0
Rodriguez, Victoria0
Putintseva, Yulia2
Bondar, Anna2
Jacquemot, Elsa0
Liang, En-Shuo2
Kraus, Sinja1
Udvardy, Panna2
Arango, Emiliana1
Werner, Caroline0
Vidmanova, Darja2
Tararudee, Lanlana1
Timofeeva, Maria2
Jeanjean, Leolia1
Rakhimova, Kamilla2
Qualification Final
Joint, Maya2
Putintseva, Yulia1
Bondar, Anna2
Liang, En-Shuo1
Udvardy, Panna1
Vidmanova, Darja2
Timofeeva, Maria2
Rakhimova, Kamilla1

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Sonoma Klab, Tsentralnyy kort
Start 26.08.2026 03:35 UTC
Market 1 65.1% @ 1.45 / 2 34.9% @ 2.70
Stage 2-y krug
Coverage hard
Form 10 matches
H2H 8
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Bartunkova N 63%
💹 Market Bartunkova N 64%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Match center

Bartunkova N - Potapova A

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matcha Nikola Bartunkova - Anastasiya Potapova. Monterrey. Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 8 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bartunkova N 64.5% 55.6% model more cautious than market
Potapova A 35.5% 44.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko63.1% · +Elo prior (weight0.41).

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 63.1% / 36.9% probabilities
Rating 1,532 / 1,583 Bartunkova N / Potapova A
RD 190 / 175 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,152-1,913 / 1,232-1,934 strength interval

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.70 Fonbet · no value · model 36.9%
1 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 63.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 0.5 3.35 market consensus · line only
Over 10.5 3.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.45 69.0%
1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1%
2.70 37.0%
2.95 33.9%
1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 3.00 33.3%
1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2%
2.55 39.2%
2.35 42.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.58 63.3%
1.35 74.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.20 83.3%
2.12 47.2%
1.68 59.5%
4.30 23.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 18.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 19.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 20.5 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.70 58.8%
Over 21.5 1.93 51.8% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3%
Over 22.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 23.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 24.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 25.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 26.5 3.05 32.8%
Under 18.5 2.90 34.5%
Under 20.5 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3%
Under 21.5 1.81 55.3% 1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 2.5 1.50 66.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-2
2026-05-05 · Nikola Bartunkova 1:2 Anastasiya Potapova
2022-04-20 · Nikola Bartunkova 0:2 Anastasiya Potapova
Source: ruscore

Odds · 3 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.6 (Pari) · 2 2.6 (Betcity)
Bookmaker12
Pari 1.6 2.35
Fonbet 1.53 2.5
Betcity 1.5 2.6
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Bartunkova N
W L W L W
2026-08-24 2026 Monterrey, Mexico
Bartunkova N Ruzic A 0:2 Bartunkova N
2026-08-15 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Bartunkova N Cirstea S 2:0 Bartunkova N
2026-08-14 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Bartunkova N Bartunkova N 2:1 Charaeva A
2026-08-06 2026 Toronto, Canada
Bartunkova N Bartunkova N 1:2 Anisimova A
2026-08-05 2026 Toronto, Canada
Bartunkova N Tauson C 0:2 Bartunkova N
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
60% Win percentage
Potapova A
L L W L W
2026-08-16 2026 Cincinnati, USA
Stephens S 2:0 Potapova A Potapova A
2026-08-07 2026 Toronto, Canada
Svitolina E 2:0 Potapova A Potapova A
2026-08-04 2026 Toronto, Canada
Ruse E G 0:2 Potapova A Potapova A
2026-07-30 2026 Washington, USA
Shnaider D 2:0 Potapova A Potapova A
2026-07-29 2026 Washington, USA
Potapova A 2:0 Williams V Potapova A
2 Wins
3 Losses
0.8 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
40% Win percentage

Recent form

Bartunkova N WWLWLW
Potapova A LLWLWL

Match facts

Round: 26

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Bartunkova N vs Potapova A?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Bartunkova N. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Bartunkova N vs Potapova A?

Live odds for Bartunkova N vs Potapova A from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Bartunkova N vs Potapova A start?

August 26, 2026.