AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Gauff C. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
| Gauff C | Rybakina E | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 71.2% | 70.2% |
| Hard % | 70.8% | 69.7% |
| Clay % | 74.8% | 71.9% |
| Grass % | 65% | 69.8% |
| Deciding set % | 66.1% | 57.9% |
| Tie-breaks % | 64.1% | 54% |
| Titles (total) | 11 | 13 |
| Last 10 | WWWWLWWWWW | WWWLWWLLWL |
Source: scorego-app.com
| Gauff C | Rybakina E | |
|---|---|---|
| Aces per match | 2.59 | 6.61 |
| Double faults per match | 5.61 | 2.83 |
| Breaks per match | 4.34 | 3.86 |
Source:tennisstats.com (per-match averages)
| Coco Gauff | Elena Rybakina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 76.2% 16 / 21 Matches | 86.2% 25 / 29 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 75.0% 30 / 40 Matches | 84.6% 44 / 52 Matches |
| Aces Per Match | 2.05 | 7.45 |
| Most Aces in a match | 43 % | 76 % |
| Coco Gauff | Elena Rybakina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 71.4% 10 / 14 Matches | 76.9% 10 / 13 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 71.4% 10 / 14 Matches | 76.9% 10 / 13 Matches |
| Aces Per Match | 2.50 | 5.17 |
| Most Aces in a match | 21 % | 83 % |
| Coco Gauff | Elena Rybakina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win Percentage 2026 Calendar Year | 83.3% 5 / 6 Matches | 60.0% 3 / 5 Matches |
| Win Percentage Last 12 Months | 83.3% 5 / 6 Matches | 60.0% 3 / 5 Matches |
| Aces Per Match | 4.67 | 5.20 |
| Most Aces in a match | 83 % | 60 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Coco Gauff | Elena Rybakina | |
|---|---|---|
| H2H wins | 1 (100.0%) | 0 (0.0%) |
| Sets | 2 (66.7%) | 1 (33.3%) |
| Wins this year | 73.8% 31 / 42 Matches | 77.6% 38 / 49 Matches |
| Wins in 12 mo. | 73.8% 45 / 61 Matches | 79.2% 57 / 72 Matches |
| Current rank | 4 | 2 |
Source: tennisstats.com
| Coco Gauff | Elena Rybakina | |
|---|---|---|
| Prize money (career) | $16,776,989 USD | $15,049,990 USD |
| Rating | 4 | 2 |
| Age | 22 | 27 |
| Height | 1.75m | 1.84m |
| Weight | 55kg | 72kg |
| Playing hand | Right-handed | Right-handed |
| Coco Gauff | Elena Rybakina | |
|---|---|---|
| Match Wins | 74 % | 78 % |
| Match Wins (3 Sets) | 76 % | 81 % |
| Wins in Straight Sets | 38 % | 53 % |
| Wins From Behind | 48 % | 39 % |
| Won At Least 1 Set | 93 % | 92 % |
| Set 1 Win | 55 % | 71 % |
| Set 2 Win | 76 % | 73 % |
| Set 3 Win | 65 % | 63 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
| Date | Tournament | Results |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10 2022 | Toronto WTA (Hard) | Coco Gauff 2 – 1 Elena Rybakina |
Source:tennisstats.com
Outcome percentages for totals and props: values for each player and a match-total column.
| Coco Gauff | Elena Rybakina | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Games in a Set | 9.02 | 9.84 | 9.43 |
| Over 6.5 | 98 % | 98 % | 98 % |
| Over 7.5 | 88 % | 89 % | 89 % |
| Over 8.5 | 68 % | 72 % | 70 % |
| Over 9.5 | 39 % | 53 % | 46 % |
| Over 10.5 | 7 % | 26 % | 17 % |
| Over 11.5 | 7 % | 26 % | 17 % |
| Coco Gauff | Elena Rybakina | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces Per Match | 2.59 | 6.61 | 9.20 |
| Most Aces in a match | 41 % | 76 % | N/A |
| 1+ | 83 % | 100 % | 97 % |
| 2+ | 54 % | 91 % | 91 % |
| 3+ | 34 % | 80 % | 76 % |
| 4+ | 27 % | 74 % | 69 % |
| 5+ | 17 % | 70 % | 60 % |
| Coco Gauff | Elena Rybakina | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breaks Per Match | 4.34 | 3.86 | 8.2 |
| Over 0.5 | 100 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 1.5 | 95 % | 100 % | 100 % |
| Over 2.5 | 95 % | 96 % | 99 % |
| Over 3.5 | 95 % | 93 % | 99 % |
| Over 4.5 | 41 % | 54 % | 84 % |
| Over 5.5 | 37 % | 0 % | 80 % |
| Coco Gauff | Elena Rybakina | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tie Breaks Per Match | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| Over 0.5 | 22 % | 21 % | 22 % |
| Over 1.5 | 0 % | 2 % | 1 % |
| Under 0.5 | 78 % | 79 % | 22 % |
| Under 1.5 | 100 % | 98 % | 1 % |
| Coco Gauff | Elena Rybakina | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Faults Per Match | 5.61 | 2.83 | 8.44 |
| Over 0.5 (1+) | 95 % | 83 % | 97 % |
| Over 1.5 (2+) | 90 % | 57 % | 92 % |
| Over 2.5 (3+) | 85 % | 43 % | 85 % |
| Over 3.5 (4+) | 71 % | 30 % | 83 % |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 63 % | 24 % | 77 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 49 % | 17 % | 65 % |
| Coco Gauff | Elena Rybakina | Match total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Points Won Per Match | 10.5 | 6.75 | 17.25 |
| Over 4.5 (5+) | 79 % | 92 % | 86 % |
| Over 5.5 (6+) | 71 % | 92 % | 82 % |
| Over 6.5 (7+) | 64 % | 67 % | 66 % |
| Over 7.5 (8+) | 57 % | 58 % | 58 % |
| Over 8.5 (9+) | 50 % | 42 % | 46 % |
| Over 9.5 (10+) | 50 % | 42 % | 46 % |
Source:tennisstats.com
Gauff C meet Rybakina E on August 13, 2026 in the WTA Toronto, Canada Women Singles.
Recent form (W-D-L): Gauff C 4-0-1, Rybakina E 4-0-1. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 51% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Gauff C — 51%
Model estimate: win Gauff C 50.6%, win Rybakina E 49.4%. Model favourite — Gauff C.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rybakina E.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Playoff draw
Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.
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Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty tennisnogo matcha Kori Gauff - Elena Rybakina, 13 avgusta 2026. Toronto. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Kori Gauff - Elena Rybakina, kto pobedil.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
1:2 E. Rybakina Elena Rybakina obygrala Kori Gauff v polufinale turnira v Toronto — 5:7, 6:2, 6:2. Elena neudachno provela kontsovku pervogo sets, no v dalneyshem aktivno vklyuchilas v igru, dobavila na prieme and vynuzhdala sopernitsu oshibatsya. I v nuzhnyy moment u Rybakinoy khorosho letela pervaya podacha. 17/60 po udaram navylet / nevynuzhdennym oshibkam u Kori, 21/49 u Eleny. I teper v finale Rybakina vstretitsya s Igoy Shventek. Na etom nasha translyatsiya zavershena. Vsego khoroshego! A Men trofey v Monreale osporyat amerikantsy Shelton and Nakashima Rybakina pobedila vtoruyu chempionku TBSh podryad! Za titul v Toronto ona srazitsya so Shventek 2:6 E. Rybakina V setku prinyala podachu sopernitsy Gauff Matchbol. Otlichn
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Model = Glicko + Elo strength prior (heuristic, historical calibration in progress). Glicko50.6% · +Elo prior (weight0.44).
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | — | — | |
| — | 1.74 57.5% | — | |
| 1.85 54.1% | — | — | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.94 51.6% | — | 1.45 69.0% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.18 84.8% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | — | 1.87 53.5% | |
| — | 2.10 47.6% | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | — | 1.65 60.6% | |
| — | — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | — | 1.40 71.4% | |
| — | — | 1.20 83.3% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.17 85.5% | |
| 5.20 19.2% | |
| 1.13 88.5% | |
| 4.50 22.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 | — | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 20.5 | — | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 21.5 | — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 22.5 | 2.00 50.0% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 23.5 | — | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 24.5 | — | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 25.5 | — | — | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 26.5 | — | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 27.5 | — | — | 2.08 48.1% |
| Over 28.5 | — | — | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 29.5 | — | — | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 30.5 | — | — | 5.70 17.5% |
| Over 31.5 | — | — | 3.30 30.3% |
| Over 32.5 | — | — | 4.40 22.7% |
| Under 22.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.13 88.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 5.20 19.2% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.73 | 2.1 |
| Winline | 1.74 | 2.07 |
| Fonbet | 1.73 | 2.1 |
| Betcity | 1.78 | 2.04 |
Gauff C
Rybakina E
Full head-to-head historyGauff C - Rybakina E
The Gauff C - Rybakina E breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
By the PropickAI model, Rybakina E is favoured — about 51% win probability.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Rybakina E. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
August 13, 2026.