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Mexico — Dominican Republic

Volleyball 12.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Favourite Mexico best odds 1.27

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Panamerican Cup. Mexico. Group stage
Panamerican Cup. Mexico. Group stage
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
12.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

Panamerican Cup. Mexico. Group stage

Mexico - Dominican Republic

Volleyball
Mexico
Mexico
2 : 1
24:26 25:14 25:17
Finished
Dominican Republic
Dominican Republic

Mexico go head-to-head with Dominican Republic on August 12, 2026 in the Panamerican Cup. Mexico. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mexico 2-0-0, Dominican Republic 1-0-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner Mexico

Model confidence 88% ~91% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mexico (odds1.38) Score 3:1 confidence 72% ✓ outcome correct
  • Mexico: forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • Dominican Republic: forma VPVPP (2-3)
  • ochnye 2-0 (za 2)
  • Model backs Mexico: probability 72% vs 72% on the line (odds 1.38)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico - Dominican Republic August 12, 2026

Volleyball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mexico. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 7.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 6 books · best price +5.4%
1 76.1%
2 23.9%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Mexico
76%
1.27
Dominican Republic
24%
7.70
Total
Over 175.5
50%
1.85
Under 175.5
50%
2.23

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Mexico
#1GP 33-0
Dominican Republic
#3GP 32-1

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

16Wins7
2.4Sets on average1.7

Head-to-head matches: 23 · average total 4.2 (sets)

Team form

Mexico
5-5WWWLLLLWWL
sets for 1.8sets against 1.7
Dominican Republic
4-6WLWLLWLLWL
sets for 1.9sets against 2.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 12.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 88.0% @ 1.05 / 2 12.0% @ 7.70
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Mexico - Dominican Republic

Form 2/1 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 72.3% fact: home hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.154 / LogLoss 0.325
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form home - 56.7% fact: home hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.375 / LogLoss 0.568
Glicko-2: public filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 56.7% fact: home hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.375 / LogLoss 0.568
Glicko-2: precision filter Watch caution: sets and points are still being collected Data: form home - 56.7% fact: home hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.375 / LogLoss 0.568
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 143.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 146.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.80 55.6% 1.95 51.3%
1.91 52.4% 1.72 58.1%
2.03 49.3%
2.03 49.3%
2.00 50.0%
2.05 48.8%
2.00 50.0%
1.83 54.6%
2.03 49.3%
2.25 44.4%
2.55 39.2%
4.70 21.3%
7.70 13.0%
2.05 48.8%
3.00 33.3%
1.85 54.1%

Match winner (volleyball)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.05 95.2% 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7% 1.24 80.7%
4.01 24.9% 4.50 22.2% 7.70 13.0% 3.45 29.0% 3.45 29.0% 3.69 27.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 143.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 146.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 152.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 172.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 173.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 175.5 1.85 54.1% 1.58 63.3%
Over 176.5 1.11 90.1%
Over 177.5 1.83 54.6% 3.00 33.3%
Over 178.5 7.30 13.7%
Over 179.5 7.30 13.7%
Over 180.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 181.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 182.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 183.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 175.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 177.5 1.83 54.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 4-0-2
2026-08-12 · Mexico 3:1 Dominican Republic
2026-07-28 · Mexico 3:1 Dominican Republic
2025-08-28 · Mexico 3:0 Dominican Republic
2023-11-04 · Mexico 1:3 Dominican Republic
2023-06-28 · Mexico 1:3 Dominican Republic
Source: ruscore
Mexico
W W
11.08 02:00 UTC World: Pan-American Cup
Mexico 2:0 GvatemalaGvatemala
10.08 02:00 UTC World: Pan-American Cup
Mexico 3:0 KyurasaoKyurasao
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Dominican Republic
W
10.08 00:00 UTC World: Pan-American Cup
Dominican Republic 3:2 CubaCuba
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

When does Mexico vs Dominican Republic start?

August 12, 2026.