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Indiana — NY Liberty

Basketball 11.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Favourite Indiana best odds 1.72

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
11.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Indiana - NY Liberty

Basketball
Indiana
Indiana
106 : 92
Finished
NY Liberty
NY Liberty

Indiana take on NY Liberty on August 11, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Indiana 3-0-2, NY Liberty 4-0-1. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Indiana (odds1.57) Score 82:78 confidence 61% ✓ outcome correct
  • Indiana Fiver (Zh): forma VPPVV (3-2)
  • Nyu-York Liberti (Zh): forma VVVPV (4-1)
  • ochnye 1 (za 2)
  • Model backs Indiana Fiver (Zh): probability 61% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.57)
  • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Indiana - NY Liberty August 11, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Indiana. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.72 / 2 2.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.7% 5 books · best price +4.9%
1 57.8%
2 42.2%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Indiana
57%
1.72
NY Liberty
43%
2.35
Total
Over 190.5
50%
1.92
Under 190.5
50%
1.94

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Indiana
#1GP 3422-12
NY Liberty
#3GP 3622-14

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

66Wins36
76.2Points on average72.3

Head-to-head matches: 102 · average total 148.5 (points)

Team form

Indiana
8-2WWWWWLLWWW
points for 103.6points against 93.5
NY Liberty
8-2WWLWWWWLWW
points for 95.8points against 90.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 11.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Market 1 57.7% @ 1.72 / 2 42.3% @ 2.35
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Match center

Indiana - NY Liberty

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 60.5% fact: home hit / ROI 58.0% / Brier 0.312 / LogLoss 0.502
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 54.2% fact: home hit / ROI 58.0% / Brier 0.419 / LogLoss 0.612
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.25 market consensus · line only
1 1.66 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 12.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Over 180.5 1.33 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4%
1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8%
1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0%
1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.81 55.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 189.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 190.5 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%
Over 191.5 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8%
Over 192.5 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6%
Over 193.5 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8%
Over 194.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 195.5 2.06 48.5%
Under 189.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 190.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 191.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 192.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 193.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 194.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.71 58.5% 1.72 58.1% 1.64 61.0%
2.35 42.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.17 46.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.32 43.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 5-0-5
2026-08-11 · Indiana Fiver (Zh) 106:92 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
2026-07-19 · Indiana Fiver (Zh) 108:88 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
2026-06-07 · Indiana Fiver (Zh) 75:83 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
2026-04-25 · Indiana Fiver (Zh) 109:91 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
2025-07-23 · Indiana Fiver (Zh) 84:98 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
Source: ruscore

Match stats

48 Ball possession 52
44 2-kh broskov vsego 40
21 2-kh realizovano 24
25 3-kh broskov vsego 36
16 3-kh realizovano 11
19 Shtrafnykh broskov vsego 13
16 Shtrafnykh broskov realizovano 11
27 Vsego podborov 39
4 Podbory v napadenii 13
23 Podbory v zaschite 26
22 Rezultativnye peredachi 23
4 Blok-shoty 5
11 Poteri 13
7 Perekhvaty 7
17 Fouls 18
3 Half-auty 2
0 Komandnye poteri myacha 0
7 Komandnye podbory 5
2301 Vremya v liderstve 40
2 Komanda lidiruet 1
21 Maksimalnoe preimuschestvo 2
Source: ruscore
Indiana
W L L W W
08.08 19:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Indiana 90:86 Chikago Skay (Zh)Chikago Skay (Zh)
06.08 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Indiana 84:86 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
01.08 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Indiana 100:108 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
01.08 02:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Indiana 112:98 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
28.07 23:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Indiana 105:95 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
98.2 Scored
94.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
NY Liberty
W W W W L
09.08 16:30 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 111:71 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
05.08 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 92:86 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
03.08 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 95:83 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
01.08 19:00 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 94:92 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
31.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 99:104 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
4 Wins
1 Losses
98.2 Scored
87.2 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Indiana - NY Liberty

Indiana
2 matches total
NY Liberty
Indiana: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
NY Liberty: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Indiana Fiver (Zh) 108:88 (18.07 22:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 196 goals (108:88, 18.07 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

18.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Indiana Fiver (Zh)
108:88
Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
06.06 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Indiana Fiver (Zh)
75:83
Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)

Frequently asked questions

When does Indiana vs NY Liberty start?

August 11, 2026.