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NY Liberty — Phoenix Mercury (w)

Basketball 29.05.2026 21:30 UTC
Favourite NY Liberty best odds 1.07

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
29.05.2026 21:30 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

NY Liberty - Phoenix Mercury (w)

Basketball
NY Liberty
NY Liberty
75 : 68
Finished
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Phoenix Mercury (w)

NY Liberty face Phoenix Mercury (w) on May 29, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): NY Liberty 1-0-3, Phoenix Mercury (w) 0-0-4. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction NY Liberty - Phoenix Mercury (w) May 29, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: NY Liberty. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.07 / 2 7.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.0%
1 87.4%
2 12.6%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

NY Liberty
#3GP 3622-14
Phoenix Mercury (w)
#6GP 3513-22

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

NY Liberty
8-2WWLWWWWLWW
points for 95.8points against 90.1
Phoenix Mercury (w)
5-5LWWWLWLLLW
points for 85.3points against 87.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 29.05.2026 21:30 UTC
Market 1 87.4% @ 1.07 / 2 12.6% @ 7.40
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Match center

NY Liberty - Phoenix Mercury (w)

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 137.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Over 138.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
2.10 47.6%
2.40 41.7%
2.80 35.7%
2.60 38.5%
2.70 37.0%
1.65 60.6%
1.50 66.7%
1.35 74.1%
1.53 65.4%
2.80 35.7%
2.60 38.5%
2.20 45.5%
1.97 50.8%
2.80 35.7%
2.40 41.7%
1.33 75.2%
1.92 52.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 137.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 138.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 139.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 140.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 141.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 142.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 143.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 144.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 145.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 146.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 147.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 148.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 149.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 150.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 151.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 152.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 153.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 154.5 2.30 43.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.07 93.5%
7.40 13.5%
Match center
NY Liberty
W L L
27.05 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 84:74 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
25.05 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 74:81 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
24.05 17:30 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 76:91 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
1 Wins
2 Losses
78.0 Scored
82.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Phoenix Mercury (w)
L L L L
27.05 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 74:84 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
24.05 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 80:82 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
22.05 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 88:97 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
20.05 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 90:98 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
0 Wins
4 Losses
83.0 Scored
90.3 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: NY Liberty - Phoenix Mercury (w)

NY Liberty
1 matches total
Phoenix Mercury (w)
NY Liberty: 0 (0%)
Phoenix Mercury (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Nyu-York Liberti (Zh) 84:74 (27.05 21:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 158 points (84:74, 27.05 21:00 UTC) most points in a game

Match history

27.05 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
84:74
Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)

Frequently asked questions

When does NY Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury (w) start?

May 29, 2026.