AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Leganes. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
07.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Match prediction
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Leganes go head-to-head with Mérida AD on August 7, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Leganes 2-3-0, Mérida AD 1-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Leganes, an implied 53% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Double chance — Leganes or draw 1.17
How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leganes.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.60 62.5% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.56 28.1% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 5.00 20.0% | 4.38 22.8% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.15 24.1% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.40 22.7% |
| Outcome | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.98 50.5% |
| yes | 1.82 55.0% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.77 56.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.48 67.6% |
| 1x | 1.20 83.3% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% |
| x2 | 1.63 61.4% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.52 65.8% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_3 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 1_0 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 1_1 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 1_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 2_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 2_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 3_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 3_1 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 3_2 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 3_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winline | 1.66 | 3.7 | 4.4 |
| Betcity | 1.65 | 3.8 | 4.3 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.68 | 3.75 | 4.4 |
Leganes
Real Madrid 🇪🇸
Mérida AD
Full head-to-head history: Leganes - Mérida AD
The Leganes - Mérida AD breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Leganes. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
Live odds for Leganes vs Mérida AD from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
August 7, 2026.
