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Aalborg — Hillerod

Football 24.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Favourite Aalborg best odds 2.12

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Denmark: First Division
Denmark: First Division
24.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Denmark: First Division

Aalborg - Hillerod

Football
Aalborg
Aalborg
1 : 0
Finished
Hillerod
Hillerod

Aalborg face Hillerod on July 24, 2026 in the Denmark: First Division.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Double chance Aalborg or draw 1.30

Model confidence 80% ~80% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Aalborg (odds2.08) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • Model backs Olborg: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.08)
  • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Aalborg - Hillerod July 24, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Aalborg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 7.00 / 2 3.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.3% 6 books · best price +2.9%
1 45.5%
X 25.9%
2 28.7%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Bet365, Bet365 (no latency), Betcity, Betfair, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Aalborg 3 : 1 Hillerod
12.07
X3.50
23.29

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 24.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 69.8% @ 1.01 / X 10.1% @ 7.00 / 2 20.1% @ 3.50
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Match center

Aalborg - Hillerod

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 44.9% fact: home hit / ROI 112.0% / Brier 0.457 / LogLoss 0.802
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 44.9% fact: home hit / ROI 112.0% / Brier 0.457 / LogLoss 0.802
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.27 market consensus · line only
X 7.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
X2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.02 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.36 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.08 92.6% 2.25 44.4%
yes 6.10 16.4% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.24 80.7% 1.24 80.7% 1.04 96.2%
1x 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
x2 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2% 9.00 11.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.54 39.4%
X 2.28 43.9%
3.74 26.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.35 42.6%
Under 1.5 1.48 67.6%
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Aalborg - Hillerod

Aalborg
0 matches total
Hillerod
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Aalborg vs Hillerod start?

July 24, 2026.