Who is the favourite in Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC?

By the PropickAI model, Kawasaki Frontale is favoured — about 74% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Kawasaki Frontale. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC?

Live odds for Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

AI verdict

AI pick Kawasaki Frontale win probability ~74% confidence High best odds 1.20

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Kawasaki Frontale. Full breakdown below.

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Emperor Cup

26.08.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

26.08.2026 10:00 UTC

Finished

Emperor Cup

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC — Football prediction

Football

Stadium Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu

Kawasaki Frontale

3 : 1

Finished

Tochigi SC

Kawasaki Frontale face Tochigi SC on August 26, 2026 in the Emperor Cup.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kawasaki Frontale 0-4-1, Tochigi SC 3-2-0. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 74% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Kawasaki Frontale — 74%

1 · Kawasaki Frontale ✓ Pick73.6%

market 76%

X · draw15.4%

market 15%

2 · Tochigi SC11.0%

market 9%

Model estimate: win Kawasaki Frontale 73.6%, draw 15.4%, win Tochigi SC 11.0%. Model favourite — Kawasaki Frontale.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Double chance — Kawasaki Frontale or draw 1.02

Model confidence 91% ~93% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kawasaki Frontale - Tochigi SC August 26, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kawasaki Frontale.

Line favourite market consensus: Kawasaki Frontale. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.20 / X 6.00 / 2 10.50
Glicko: Kawasaki Frontale 73.6% / X 15.4% / Tochigi SC 11.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.9% 3 books · best price +1.7%

1 ✓ Pick 76.4%

X 15.0%

2 8.6%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Emperor Cup

League table

Kawasaki Frontale

#213 ptsGP 11-0-03:1

Tochigi SC

#343 ptsGP 21-0-13:3

Best price across 12 books

1 1.25 Marathonbet

X 6.60 Dafabet

2 13.00 BetVictor

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Kawasaki Frontale

W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 1.80 Conceded 1.20 xG 2.44 xGA 0.75

Tochigi SC

W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 2.01 Conceded 1.04 xG 0.95 xGA 1.33

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Kawasaki Frontale

76%

1.20

Draw

15%

6.00

Tochigi SC

10.50

Total

Over 1.5

46%

1.93

Under 1.5

54%

1.67

Both teams to score

Yes

47%

2.00

53%

1.74

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

Kawasaki FrontaleTochigi SC

5' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
7' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
10' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
13' Goal Tochigi SC
17' Yellow card Kawasaki Frontale
18' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
25' Goal Tochigi SC
29' Goal Tochigi SC
29' Goal Tochigi SC
33' Goal Tochigi SC
37' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
41' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
42' Yellow card Tochigi SC
45' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
45' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
45' Goal Tochigi SC
47' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
50' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
50' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
56' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
56' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
59' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
64' Goal Tochigi SC
66' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
77' Yellow card Tochigi SC
78' Goal Tochigi SC
82' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
85' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
90' Goal Kawasaki Frontale
90' Goal Kawasaki Frontale

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Kawasaki Frontale 1 : 1 Tochigi SC

11.22

X6.00

211.60

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket Emperor Cup 2026

Round 2

Tokyo6

Nagano Parceiro0

Shonan1

Reinmeer Aomori0

Kashiwa2

Senshu University1

Kyoto Sanga1

Okazaki0

Shimizu2

FC Osaka1

V-Varen3

Ehime2

Machida Z3

Grulla Morioka0

Imabari4

Blaublitz A1

Mito H0

Kyoto Sangyo University2

Tosu4

Kataller T0

Urawa3

Yamanashi Gakuin0

Cerezo3

Gifu1

Montedio3

Fujieda5

Omiya ArdijaA2

Vanraure Hachinohe0

Albirex0

Kagoshima Utd4

Avispa5

Verspah Oita4

Sapporo1

Ventforet3

Yokohama3

Criacao Shinjuku1

Kashima3

Atletico Suzuka Club0

Iwaki FC2

Oita0

Marinos1

Fukushima U0

Jubilo I0

Tegevajaro1

Hiroshima4

Okinawa SV1

Fagiano O3

Belugarosso Iwami0

United Chiba9

AC Numazu8

Kobe2

Veroskronos Tsuno1

Tokyo V4

Thespa Gunma1

Vegalta1

Tochigi City2

Frontale3

Tochigi1

Gamba2

Reilac Shiga0

Vortis3

FC Tokushima0

Nagoya1

Gainare T3

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Participant opinions

6 predictions Choose an outcome

1 83% 5

X 16% 1

2 0% 0

Match center

Stadium Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu

Start 26.08.2026 10:00 UTC

Market 1 76.1% @ 1.20 / X 15.2% @ 6.00 / 2 8.7% @ 10.50

🥊 Humans vs Machines

👥 Community Kawasaki Frontale 83%

📐 Math model Kawasaki Frontale 74%

💹 Market Kawasaki Frontale 76%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Kawasaki Frontale - Tochigi SC

Kawasaki Frontale: win 1.18 Kawasaki Frontale: draw 6.00 Tochigi SC win: 10.50 Obschiy Total goals Over 3.5: 2.00 Obschiy Total goals Under 3.5: 1.66 Individualnyy Total goals Kawasaki Frontale Over 2.5: 1.74 Individualnyy Total goals Kawasaki Frontale Under 2.5: 1.85…

Lineups 2/0 probable starting lineup

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Post-match / SStats

Score 3:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 73.6% fact: home hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.106 / LogLoss 0.307

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 73.6% fact: home hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.106 / LogLoss 0.307

Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 73.6% fact: home hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.106 / LogLoss 0.307

Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 73.6% fact: home hit / ROI 20.0% / Brier 0.106 / LogLoss 0.307

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Kawasaki Frontale 76.4% 73.6% market and model agree

Draw 15.0% 15.4% draw risk

Tochigi SC 8.6% 11.0%

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 73.6% / 15.4% / 11.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,374 / 1,697 Kawasaki Frontale / Tochigi

RD 300 / 263 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 774-1,973 / 1,171-2,223 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 5.93 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 73.6%

Double chance

12 1.07 market consensus · no value · model 84.6%

1X 1.02 market consensus · no value · model 89.0%

X2 3.55 market consensus · no value · model 26.4%

Total

Over 2.5 1.38 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.63 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.74 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet	Leon
no	1.74 57.5%	1.74 57.5%	1.73 57.8%
yes	1.94 51.6%	1.94 51.6%	2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome	Kambi BetMGM	Kambi Unibet
12	1.07 93.5%	1.07 93.5%
1x	1.02 98.0%	1.02 98.0%
x2	3.55 28.2%	3.55 28.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.59 62.9%
X	2.70 37.0%
	9.10 11.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.18 45.9%
Under 1.5	1.61 62.1%

Match center

1 Lui Yamaguti 22 Filip Uremovich

Kawasaki Frontale

Probable starting lineup

1 LY Lui Yamaguti

Lui Yamaguti

22 FU Filip Uremovich

Filip Uremovich

Head coach S. Hasebe

Tochigi SC

Kawasaki Frontale

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Tochigi SC

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

SStats Market - Form - H2H - Table

Match center

10 Matches 10

10 Goals 10

1.0 Per match 1.0

3 Wins 4

4 Draws 2

3 Losses 4

Kawasaki Frontale

D D D D L

22.08, 05:15

Sanfrechche Khirosima 1:1 Kavasaki Frontale

15.08, 05:00

Kavasaki Frontale 2:2 Kioto Sanga

09.08, 04:00

Tokio Verdi 1:1 Kavasaki Frontale

15.07, 20:30

Kavasaki Frontale 0:0 Vanraure Khachinokhe

06.06, 05:00

Kavasaki Frontale 0:1 Sanfrechche Khirosima

0 Wins

4 Draws

1 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

4 Points

Tochigi SC

D W D W W

22.08, 05:00

Totigi SK 2:2 Dzhiravants Kitakyusyu

19.08, 05:00

Totigi SK 2:0 Briobekka Urayasu

15.08, 05:00

Roasso Kumamoto 0:0 Totigi SK

09.08, 06:00

Totigi SK 3:2 Tsvaygen Kanadzava

06.06, 23:59

Totigi SK 2:1 Dzhiravants Kitakyusyu

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history: Kawasaki Frontale - Tochigi SC

Kawasaki Frontale

1 matches total

Tochigi SC

Kawasaki Frontale: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Tochigi SC: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Kawasaki Frontale 4:1 (02.06.24, 22:00) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (4:1, 02.06.24, 22:00) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 4

Match history

Event

Kawasaki Frontale

4:1

Tochigi

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Kawasaki Frontale

Data 0 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Tochigi SC

Matches in history 1

Highest-scoring match 4:1

Tovarischeskiy (kluby) 1 / 1 / 0 / 0 / 4 / 1

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC — Football prediction

AI match prediction Kawasaki Frontale - Tochigi SC August 26, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Forecast by market

Match timeline

Score prediction

Tournament bracket Emperor Cup 2026

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